Denver -6 is a terrible line

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  • The Special One
    Restricted User
    • 01-08-11
    • 3972

    #36
    Originally posted by SpreadSniper

    by this logic you might as well flip a coin to make your picks.

    What happens if the Clips spank Denver? Gonna be awful weird wouldn't it? Kinda like watching your buddy fuk your old lady.

    Good luck with your future in sports "handicapping"
    flipping a coin would work better than tailing 80% of handicappers (not in this forum, in all of them)

    getting the correct side is about the strength of a statistic or evidence to take that side... this will fluctuate for close games until you find the stat that means the most... and thats usually the best decision

    Im still not sure about the spread but I know (based on my most valued stat) that Denver will win.... and if they somehow dont, I wont worry too much
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    • Jayvegas420
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-09-11
      • 28213

      #37
      Denver's 6 game winning streak & covering 5 of those six must count for something?
      Comment
      • The Special One
        Restricted User
        • 01-08-11
        • 3972

        #38
        Denver's next game is in Memphis, who should get a win there.. so I assume LAC will not be the team that breaks the W6
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        • SpreadSniper
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-17-09
          • 6125

          #39
          so what's "your" most valued stat?
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          • The Special One
            Restricted User
            • 01-08-11
            • 3972

            #40
            Originally posted by SpreadSniper
            so what's "your" most valued stat?
            both teams' next games... LAC more likely to lose tonight and beat OKC while Denver will definitely not win in Memphis..

            this to me is more important than form or ATS records.
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            • The Special One
              Restricted User
              • 01-08-11
              • 3972

              #41
              Im not betting this one but I would have bet LAC if not for that info
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              • SpreadSniper
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-17-09
                • 6125

                #42
                I've seen others post tomorrow's Clip play and I couldnt disagree more... depends how many points OKC is giving, but a rested OKC team playing a team on a b2b coming from Denver the night before is not a wise bet...
                Comment
                • The Special One
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-08-11
                  • 3972

                  #43
                  Originally posted by SpreadSniper
                  I've seen others post tomorrow's Clip play and I couldnt disagree more... depends how many points OKC is giving, but a rested OKC team playing a team on a b2b coming from Denver the night before is not a wise bet...
                  you could be right, lets wait until after tonights game...
                  Comment
                  • thebestthereis
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-01-09
                    • 11459

                    #44
                    Denver is -6 at home playing well vs a shit road team; dog shit actually which is worse than regular shit. The line isn't -10 because Chris Paul was traded to the Clippers. The Clippers have done zero on the road to this point. If you are taking the Clippers you are praying they happen to show up here and Denver doesn't. It's that simple.
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                    • SpreadSniper
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-17-09
                      • 6125

                      #45
                      Originally posted by The Special One



                      if Denver wins by 25 I dont care if I switched sides 1000 times as long as the 1000th time landed on Denver
                      shoulda changed your mind 1001 times I guess huh?
                      Comment
                      • William Walters
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 6372

                        #46
                        Originally posted by wantitall4moi
                        Clippers might throw the towel in early as this is a first of a back to back with OKC at home tomorrow, So they might do what they did in Utah and rest guys if it gets away from them. Rationale being they give this one away and then come back home as rested as you can be on a back to back and take their chances at home versus OKC.

                        OKC obviously better than Denver but Denver rough place to play. Clips havent had a ton of road games. Normally I woud say Clips have a shot to win but Vinnie has a style of coaching that makes it difficult to bet them under these circumstances.
                        Tell us more wanti.
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                        • PR9
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-30-11
                          • 2813

                          #47
                          Great spot for Clips last night. Denver looked very vulnerable in the last game vs the Raps turning it over and were careless with the ball, the raps cut the deficit to 6 pts with just 3 minutes left to play. Raps couldn't make a wide-open shot after that, but if they did nail just one 3, that game would have been a hell of a lot closer.

                          Last night was denver's 2nd home game back after a long road trip. And any good capper knows what a bad spot it is for the home team in their 2nd home game after a successful long road trip, and especially after winning their first home game back.

                          denver was easy pickings last night, especially without Lawson in the lineup to contend with LA's good guards..
                          Comment
                          • The Special One
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-08-11
                            • 3972

                            #48
                            Originally posted by SpreadSniper

                            shoulda changed your mind 1001 times I guess huh?
                            yep, happens all the time, I take the hit and move on
                            Comment
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