Winning Margins

[Deol]

Wouldn't recommend tailing as I'm fairly confident this will be a losing technique hence I will be betting small. Basically looking for games with two roughly evenly matched teams and/or two low scoring teams and predict the winning margin on the team I'm leaning towards. Also will go with my gut for some of them. Will use 1 unit to keep the tracking simple. Basically the team has to win by at least 3 and no more then 9 points. Again I don't think this will be a winning technique but its kinda fun and worth a shot.

LA 3-6 +450
LA 7-9 +700
SA 3-6 + 450
SA 7-9 + 650
GS 3-6 +450
GS 7-9 +700

[Deol]

LA 3-6 +450
LA 7-9 +700
SA 3-6 + 450
SA 7-9 + 650
GS 3-6 +450
GS 7-9 +700

Today: +7.50 Units
YTD: +7.50 Units

Great Start!!!! Yay!!!!

[H1Cypher]

Are these prop bets?

[Deol]

Yah, I mainly use Bet 365. I'm really contemplating doing a hockey one as well. 12 of the 13 games yesterday were decided by 1 or 2 goals only. It's not a winning strategy in the long run, its more for fun for me. Best way is obviously to find value and pound but with this approach a little streak can payoff big in the long run. I did this with NE and the NYG this past Sunday and hit a very nice parlay (NE to win 1-6 and NYG to win 1-6 @ +2400). I'm going big with NE to win 1-6 and NE to win 7-12 on Superbowl if anyone cares. My rational is basically lines are so sharp in sports handicapping why not use them to your advantage, kinda like making the bookies do the work. Its just a random approach that I think I might succeed at, but most likely not haha. Good for now, but I'm sure after a few wekks I'll be in the red. But you never know!

[H1Cypher]

Well good luck

Wish I could play at Bet365

[Deol]

Today just going with the Clippers after a close loss last night, think they pull out a close win.

LAC 3-6 +450
LAC 7-9 +700

[Deol]

LAC 3-6 +450
LAC 7-9 +700

Count it!!! Sikk start!!!

Today: +6.0 Units
YTD: +13.50 Units

[Deol]

Taking some home dogs tonight, hopefully one hits and I continue my streak.

MIN 3-6 +600
MIN 7-9 +850
BOS 3-6 +550
BOS 7-9 +1000
GS 3-6 +600
GS 7-9 +1100

[JuniorAnalyst]

Nice work will definitely be following you

[Deol]

Taking some home dogs tonight, hopefully one hits and I continue my streak.

MIN 3-6 +600
MIN 7-9 +850
BOS 3-6 +550
BOS 7-9 +1000
GS 3-6 +600
GS 7-9 +1100

Regardless of what happens, another sikk night!!! Count it!!!!
Up 14.5 units today with a slim chance of adding more. Yay!!!!

[Deol]

Nice work will definitely be following you

Hope you tailed today

[JuniorAnalyst]

I had already locked in spurs -1 before I'd seen your thread. I should of hedged but I guess I was kind of hoping you would miss thT one lol! I'm putting money in 365 on Monday and will follow some of your Plays. Going to start betting slot more dog ML and live lines as I think a lot of the value are hidden in there. Especially these winning margins. I mean the numbers don't lie your killing Em!

[Deol]

Too bad GSW didnt come through, regardless great night:

Yesterday: +14.5 Units
YTD: +28.0 Units

Will most likely have some plays later today, leaning HOU and CHL, also LA but they on the road.

[Deol]

Don't like taking road favorites, but am on fire lately, so against my better judgment I will take LA. Hopefully my streak continues and I hit another. Still jacked being up 28 Units with this approach in 4 days!

CHA 3-6 +500
CHA 7-9 +1000
HOU 3-6 +450
HOU 7-9 +650
LA 3-6 +450
LA 7-9 +650

[JuniorAnalyst]

Take Jazz to cover by like 10-18 should hit nicely

[LeagueCapper]

Great run so far mate. What book offers these lines?

[Deol]

Take Jazz to cover by like 10-18 should hit nicely

It would be 10-13, 14-16, and 17-20. I personally don't like taking big home favorites, could easily be a backdoor cover or huge blowout. I prefer to stay with games where the spreads around 6 or less. Thx for the advice tho. Hope it hits.

[Deol]

Great run so far mate. What book offers these lines?

bet365. My favorite book, never have had a single problem withdrawing or depositing. Live Action is unbelievably addicting, especially in the NBA, but I work late so kinda sucks for me.

[JuniorAnalyst]

Betting against any road underdog coming off of a home game is 58-26, 69.0 percent ATS this season.

Betting against any road underdog coming off of two or more straight up wins is 26-8, 76.5 percent ATS this season.
As of thursday

Thanks to LT profits

[JuniorAnalyst]

So those 2 stats say bet Jazz and fade Kings

[JuniorAnalyst]

Doesn't look like a good night. Oh well if you won 100units a week it would be to easy

[Deol]

Don't like taking road favorites, but am on fire lately, so against my better judgment I will take LA. Hopefully my streak continues and I hit another. Still jacked being up 28 Units with this approach in 4 days!

CHA 3-6 +500
CHA 7-9 +1000
HOU 3-6 +450
HOU 7-9 +650
LA 3-6 +450
LA 7-9 +650

Didn't expect the Knicks to suck as much as they did, ah well can't win them all. CHA made a great comeback but all for nothing, and I should of known better to bet against slight home dogs.

Yesterday: -6.0 Units
YTD: +22.0 Units

[Deol]

Almost all of the games today could qualify for a play, so gonna be either a big day or a big losing one. I do like the fact that 10-13 is another 4 points as opposed to 3 so ima add that today. Staying away from the DEN game, too high scoring for me and don't like ORL for some reason. Fully expect the LAK game to be within 9 points so kinda taking both sides haha. 15 units at play, basically have to hit a minimum of two to semi-break even.

MIA 3-6 +450
MIA 7-9 +700
MIA 10-13 +600
NJ 3-6 +450
NJ 7-9 +650
NJ 10-13 +600
BOS 3-6 +450
BOS 7-9 +650
BOS 10-13 +550
DAL 3-6 +450
DAL 7-9 +650
DAL 10-13 +550
LA 3-6 +500
MIN 3-6 +450
MIN 7-9 +750

[Deol]

MIA 3-6 +450
MIA 7-9 +700
MIA 10-13 +600

Only up by 2, instead of holding for a game deciding 3 Rose shoots early on a broken play, Boozer fouls with 0.1 seconds left, Bosh drains two, fckn beauty!!! Count it!!

[VBPro7]

...Boozer fouls with 0.1 seconds left, Bosh drains two, fckn beauty!!! Count it!!

[Deol]

MIA 3-6 +450
MIA 7-9 +700
MIA 10-13 +600
NJ 3-6 +450
NJ 7-9 +650
NJ 10-13 +600
BOS 3-6 +450
BOS 7-9 +650
BOS 10-13 +550
DAL 3-6 +450
DAL 7-9 +650
DAL 10-13 +550
LA 3-6 +500
MIN 3-6 +450
MIN 7-9 +750

Free throws won me the MIA game but lost me the DAL game so can't be too upset. 4th quarters were terrible for me in both the BOS and DAL games. Terrible collapses. But overall not a terrible night, but still a losing 1.

Today: -3.5 Units
YTD: +18.5 Units

[LeagueCapper]

You gotta get rid of the 10-13 plays. Too many sides that way and will really diminish your profits in the long run as its too many plays. 3-7 and 7-9 is good

[Deol]

Haha, I was actually just thinking that after todays results. I'm still tinkering with this system. I definitely won't be doing 3 plays that often unless I'm on a big dog in the future. It just that 4 point cushion versus the 3 seems monumental at times haha. After the NY HOU game on Sat I thought about adding it beause I woulda won there and I think one more earlier. Thanks for the advice tho.

[Deol]

Hoping the OKC LAC is just like OKC vs GSW a few days ago and OKC win a close one. UTA POR should go down to the wire, so I'ma just play the home side. Think things repeat like yesterday, DAL wins a close one, and SA loses a close one hence the DAL and MEM plays.

UTA 3-6 +500
UTA 7-9 +900
OKC 3-6 +450
OKC 7-9 +750
MEM 3-6 +450
MEM 7-9 +650
DAL 3-6 +450
DAL 7-9 +750

[JuniorAnalyst]

your gonna cash on OKC MEM and 1 of the other 2. 10+ units today easy

[Deol]

your gonna cash on OKC MEM and 1 of the other 2. 10+ units today easy

I will just be happy if I hit two. Thanx tho

[JuniorAnalyst]

Bad night to tail you heavy ;/ the only 2 i didnt play were the jazz ones and got screwed on Philly 7-9

[Deol]

Bad night to tail you heavy ;/ the only 2 i didnt play were the jazz ones and got screwed on Philly 7-9

That sucks, I wish you tailed fully, would only be down two units at worst, still an outside shot of being up if OKC gets there shit together. Get em next time.

[Deol]

UTA 3-6 +500
UTA 7-9 +900
OKC 3-6 +450
OKC 7-9 +750
MEM 3-6 +450
MEM 7-9 +650
DAL 3-6 +450
DAL 7-9 +750

Meh night, was hoping to hit two, but $hit happens, only down 2 units so not too terrible. Really surprised MEM didn't win.

Today: -2.0 Units
YTD: +16.5 Units

[Deol]

Think BOS rebounds after there close home loss. Think TOR plays well again like they did in NJ but come up a bit short as ATL aint NJ. Using past results I really like GSW as well, but think I'ma just hold with these two plays.

BOS 3-6 +450
BOS 7-9 +700
ATL 3-6 +450
ATL 7-9 +650