Is Dallas going to bury 85% of the public??

Speedy88 · 01-21-12, 04:44 PM

yes it is a trap, so is OKC -8

yoman456 · 01-21-12, 04:49 PM

How do you define trap? I have never understood that

YouHave2outs · 01-21-12, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by yoman456

How do you define trap? I have never understood that

bets that on the surface look like obvious winners that really have no value or are -ev plays to sharp bettors. usually huge public plays. is how i think people use the term around here.

yoman456 · 01-21-12, 05:00 PM

so basically you're saying it's a trap here because....?

Gndias · 01-21-12, 05:07 PM

you have to buy that book "Trap for Dummies"

Speedy88 · 01-21-12, 05:07 PM

Originally posted by yoman456

so basically you're saying it's a trap here because....?

because over 80% of the public is on Dallas and the line hasn't moved up. The public is playing against the books. If a high percentage of bets go on one side, typically the line should move depending on which side the majority of the public is on. Notice how 85% are on Mavs, yet the line hasn't moved. They want ppl to keep putting bets on Dallas.

lunchbawks · 01-21-12, 05:08 PM

It may be a trap because the line opened at Dallas -5.5 and STAYED THERE even with 80-85% of bets coming in on MAVS!!

Hornets buried after losing in Houston

Masu485 · 01-21-12, 05:08 PM

Dallas loses outright, or wins by 5

yoman456 · 01-21-12, 05:10 PM

yeah I see that, but the Mavs are going to win, so I don't get what the bookers are doing!

Where can I see the percentage of bets for each side??

lunchbawks · 01-21-12, 05:11 PM

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Speedy88 · 01-21-12, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by yoman456

yeah I see that, but the Mavs are going to win, so I don't get what the bookers are doing!

Where can I see the percentage of bets for each side??

thespread.com and then go to the NBA tab and click on public bets.

Dallis will probably win, but I doubt they win by more than 6. Anyways, trust the lines man. A few weeks ago Portland was 2 point favorites at Phoenix and they lost by 30. The bad teams have to win too.

manutd19 · 01-21-12, 05:15 PM

So far this week, trap games have bn winning. The better teams have been winning

yoman456 · 01-21-12, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

thespread.com and then go to the NBA tab and click on public bets. Dallis will probably win, but I doubt they win by more than 6. Anyways, trust the lines man. A few weeks ago Portland was 2 point favorites at Phoenix and they lost by 30. The bad teams have to win too.

that's definitely true!! Yeah, come to think of it I wouldn't put money on the -5.5 either. I have dallas for the win in my huge parlay because it's Dallas -143 which is a pretty good ML

M.W. · 01-21-12, 05:32 PM

<i>because over 80% of the public is on Dallas and the line hasn't moved up. The public is playing against the books. </i>

And how does that make it a trap? The Mavs are going to cover.

cleaveland · 01-21-12, 05:44 PM

Originally posted by M.W.

because over 80% of the public is on Dallas and the line hasn't moved up. The public is playing against the books.

And how does that make it a trap? The Mavs are going to cover.

Let's say that homer refs are reffing this game + Dirk's injury is worse than the public knows about + a million other potential factors that you don't know about. If the books know things that the general public don't that would make them think that New Orleans has a good chance to win this game and therefore they'd want to get as much money Dallas as possible...that kind of thing makes for a trap.

Check out Tim Donaghy's book for an explanation of some of what I'm talking about.

BTW, the Mavs could easily lose this game if a few things don't go their way.