Anyone Else Think Today's Card Is Tough?

robinhood · 01-20-12, 05:15 PM

I'm going huge tonight. If I win I'm driving past McDonald's and pulling into the Red Lobster.

Speedy88 · 01-20-12, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by robinhood

I'm going huge tonight. If I win I'm driving past McDonald's and pulling into the Red Lobster.

Man I've always wanted to eat Red Lobster, but they don't have any near where I live. Well I hope your night ends at Red Lobster and not McDonalds.

I can't even find one game that really jumps out at me. Mil +5 seems interesting because this line is way fishy. Steven Jackson gets ruled out at the line moves down????

robinhood · 01-20-12, 05:19 PM

Just some FYI, I checked last Friday's card in the NBA and every home team won. Not saying that repeats, but it's a starting point. NBA wants their home fans happy at the end of the work week!

Yezzir · 01-20-12, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Man I've always wanted to eat Red Lobster, but they don't have any near where I live. Well I hope your night ends at Red Lobster and not McDonalds.

I can't even find one game that really jumps out at me. Mil +5 seems interesting because this line is way fishy. Steven Jackson gets ruled out at the line moves down????

Raps/Wiz interest me.

Bullet Kays · 01-20-12, 05:19 PM

Warriors all day speedy

Speedy88 · 01-20-12, 05:23 PM

Games that interest me are :

MIL +5 (RLM)
Wiz +7
Toronto +7.5 (Casey know's McMillan well from their days together in Seattle)
MEM -4 (84% on Memphis scares me though)

N88 · 01-20-12, 05:32 PM

i totally agree. Very similar to Wednesday's card. I wont be playing much. Only 3 locks. I rather fight another day.

Speedy88 · 01-20-12, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by N88

i totally agree. Very similar to Wednesday's card. I wont be playing much. Only 3 locks. I rather fight another day.

Agreed. I'll probably play 2 or 3 games rather than my usual 6-8 plays.

MrSink · 01-20-12, 05:35 PM

like Warriors also

kdavis · 01-20-12, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by Bullet Kays

Warriors all day speedy

Careful.

N88 · 01-20-12, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Agreed. I'll probably play 2 or 3 games rather than my usual 6-8 plays.

curious, any locks yet?

Speedy88 · 01-20-12, 05:49 PM

Definitely going to play MIL +5. 73% of the public is on NY, and Steven Jackson gets announced out for the game, yet the line moves from NY -6 to NY -5. This is a case of Reverse Line Movement. Going to take my chances with MIL. MIL gets Dunleavy back too (not sure how much he helps though).

Leaning towards locking in Memphis. Even though over 80% is on Memphis, the line has moved more than a point in most books. My book has them at -4.5. Line movement in this game is very indicative that Memphis should cover.

I have leans for all of these games, but I don't know if I want to play them: MIN +5 (a lot of books have it at MIN +4.5, another game showing some RLM, big letdown spot for LAC too), WASH +7, TOR +7.5, and GS +2.5

EDIT: Thinking of adding Cavs +5

N88 · 01-20-12, 06:16 PM

i have mem locked in at -3.5. got it early. i also have spurs covering against kings. Still waiting on any news if rondo's playing, leaning towards suns. Like i said, too many dangerous games on tnite's cards. I want to lock in denver cuz i think the wizards win over okc was a fluke tbh but..still not sure about that. Ignoring GS, 76ers, and Knicks. Unstable teams and coinflips imo

Speedy88 · 01-20-12, 06:21 PM

I really liked SA -11 until I saw that the line hasn't moved up. SA always plays well at home, and to be honest, SAC just plain sucks on the road. I think they are 1-7 ATS on the road.