hey mono.. I just noticed you put your plays in really early and you dont always get the best number. maybe you should wait a little?Just a suggestion. Good luck tonight.
tough loss yesterday with portland i was on it too.
Denver +4
Comment
dwluv3333
SBR Sharp
02-05-11
262
#184
Originally posted by monologue
0-1
2012 SEASON 38-29 +10.35
Todays pick
den+3.5 x2
better win tonight!!
Just curious why make this play when nene and gallinari are both out?
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#185
Originally posted by Bbobbi
hey mono.. I just noticed you put your plays in really early and you dont always get the best number. maybe you should wait a little?Just a suggestion:
The way I see it over time this balances out because you can't really predict what the line will do unless you're fading a public play. Some times it moves in your favour other times it doesn't.
Comment
Bbobbi
SBR High Roller
12-29-11
181
#186
Originally posted by ugabooga
The way I see it over time this balances out because you can't really predict what the line will do unless you're fading a public play. Some times it moves in your favour other times it doesn't.
yea i hear ya. The way i see it with dogs and half points is that Id rather wait and see if I can get the hook at the better number i.e +3.5 to +4. And if it happened to drop to +3 I would take it there. That half point I believe is worth it and even if you get the worse number your only risking a push as compared to a loss.
Comment
monologue
SBR Wise Guy
12-10-10
565
#187
Originally posted by monologue
0-1
2012 SEASON 38-29 +10.35
Todays pick
den+3.5 x2
better win tonight!!
2012 SEASON 39-29 +12.15
1-0 +1.8U tonight
Originally posted by Bbobbi
hey mono.. I just noticed you put your plays in really early and you dont always get the best number. maybe you should wait a little?Just a suggestion. Good luck tonight.
tough loss yesterday with portland i was on it too.
Denver +4
because I rather play my own pick before looking at other people and usually it goes up or down either way so I think waiting wont give me +0.5 or +1 everytime, it really depends on the bookies...
Originally posted by dwluv3333
Just curious why make this play when nene and gallinari are both out?
because den was in bad position in flows and performances... plus 2 important guys are out and mem rocks at home, i found this play as "square" to be honest. many people were betting on mem, it doesnt show in concensus but I knew it...
Comment
dwluv3333
SBR Sharp
02-05-11
262
#188
Originally posted by monologue
because den was in bad position in flows and performances... plus 2 important guys are out and mem rocks at home, i found this play as "square" to be honest. many people were betting on mem, it doesnt show in concensus but I knew it...
ok so why didn't you play the washington wizards ml today? since 100% of public is betting on jazz ml ?
Comment
Bbobbi
SBR High Roller
12-29-11
181
#189
Originally posted by dwluv3333
ok so why didn't you play the washington wizards ml today? since 100% of public is betting on jazz ml ?
Im pretty sure that was one of the criteria he looked at the cap the game.. obviously not every square bet loses. And i think looking at the percentage of public bets only applies to the spread. And even if 100% of the bets were on jazz ML then all those people are not very smart because it cant be profitable betting -500 juice everytime. Faves lose all the time.
Mono thanks for the pick
Comment
monologue
SBR Wise Guy
12-10-10
565
#190
Originally posted by dwluv3333
ok so why didn't you play the washington wizards ml today? since 100% of public is betting on jazz ml ?
spread and ml is totally different
I dont bet on every square games, if I did bet on sac or cle
Originally posted by Bbobbi
Im pretty sure that was one of the criteria he looked at the cap the game.. obviously not every square bet loses. And i think looking at the percentage of public bets only applies to the spread. And even if 100% of the bets were on jazz ML then all those people are not very smart because it cant be profitable betting -500 juice everytime. Faves lose all the time.
Mono thanks for the pick
sure it was ur pick anyway
Comment
dwluv3333
SBR Sharp
02-05-11
262
#191
Originally posted by Bbobbi
Im pretty sure that was one of the criteria he looked at the cap the game.. obviously not every square bet loses. And i think looking at the percentage of public bets only applies to the spread. And even if 100% of the bets were on jazz ML then all those people are not very smart because it cant be profitable betting -500 juice everytime. Faves lose all the time.
Mono thanks for the pick
my point being that i didn't see any reason in there for picking the nuggets... other than the fact that everything pointed to them being in a disadvantageous spot... and the only reason to take them would be cuz it's not looking like the "obvious winning play".
anyways good pick...
Comment
monologue
SBR Wise Guy
12-10-10
565
#192
Originally posted by dwluv3333
my point being that i didn't see any reason in there for picking the nuggets... other than the fact that everything pointed to them being in a disadvantageous spot... and the only reason to take them would be cuz it's not looking like the "obvious winning play".
anyways good pick...
if u look for only good reason in picking ur game, u wont b able to last in sport gambling for long time. the line is made considering all the facts we know (means everything is equal except feeding games and trap games). we can simply ditch those 50:50 games and pick either feeding and trap games...
Comment
monologue
SBR Wise Guy
12-10-10
565
#193
2012 SEASON 39-29 +12.15
Today's Pick
gsw+6 x1
Expecting a clean sheet tonight
Comment
monologue
SBR Wise Guy
12-10-10
565
#194
adding
nets+12 x1.5
Comment
CallMeMrOMac
SBR MVP
10-17-11
1213
#195
My thread that you laughed at is now 7-1, just saying.
You looked silly
This Nets/Bulls spread will probably be close, I don't why I took it, but I went Chi -11.5
Comment
monologue
SBR Wise Guy
12-10-10
565
#196
Originally posted by monologue
2012 SEASON 39-29 +12.15
Today's Pick
gsw+6 x1
Expecting a clean sheet tonight
Originally posted by monologue
adding
nets+12 x1.5
2-0 +2.25u tonight
SEASON 41-29 +14.40
Originally posted by CallMeMrOMac
My thread that you laughed at is now 7-1, just saying.
You looked silly
This Nets/Bulls spread will probably be close, I don't why I took it, but I went Chi -11.5
i suggest u to post more plays over at least couple of weeks before posting something in my thread. 7-1 is definitely good but i dont think u can hit 70-10 so dont brag about 7-1, anyone can actually hit 7-1
nice pick on Bulls btw
Comment
CallMeMrOMac
SBR MVP
10-17-11
1213
#197
Today was definitely a "bet for the hell of it day" with low bets and see what those get ya. Bad idea! Sigh.
I've posted numerous threads on here and done okay to good. Not just those first 8.
Not a good day for home team covers, lots of shenanigans. MEM and LAC basically gave covers away (Clippers certainly did).
Comment
monologue
SBR Wise Guy
12-10-10
565
#198
Originally posted by CallMeMrOMac
Today was definitely a "bet for the hell of it day" with low bets and see what those get ya. Bad idea! Sigh.
I've posted numerous threads on here and done okay to good. Not just those first 8.
Not a good day for home team covers, lots of shenanigans. MEM and LAC basically gave covers away (Clippers certainly did).
I don't care about ur previous plays, just show me something constantly in ur own thread.
I don't understand people like you who only complain about their unlucky games. Why don't u consider ur lucky games days ago? ur dal and det barely covered in last quarter. It doesn't matter how they cover the spread, what matters is if they covered or not, so dont complain about ur mem and lac games today. That is such a cheap excuse
and... who gives a shit about bad day for home team? u simply didnt pick well