Got the following info from another board but Bet.At.Your.Own.Risk .. consider it as a strong play "for him" and what he goes by. He's 11-3 or so going by such referee data over the past 3 weeks. I validated that record. I will copy and paste his findings here:
HOU +7.5 VERY STRONG
THE REFS...
MATT BOLAND - HOU has covered the last 3 he has officiated. LAL have NOT covered 8 of the last 9 with him on the court.
MARC DAVIS - HOU has covered 3 of the last 5 with him (and one of the non-covers was a push). Also, LA LAKERS HAVE NOT COVERED 10 CONSECUTIVE GAMES WITH HIM ON COURT.
MARAT KOGUT - HOU has covered the last 3 he has officiated.
Combined trend is 27-2-1. On top of that there are some other factors... THis crew ( BOLAND and DAVIS in particular) have a general tendency to lean to the road team. At times, BOLAND is almost specifically defiant of the crowd and seems to go out of his way to make a point that he will not be influenced by a home crowd. Lastly, KOGUT was on the court for the LAKERS 55 point win against CLE (112-57) almost a year ago to the day AND for a 28 point win against DAL in the last week of the season last year.
That would seem like possible LAKER favortism, but i have it on good authority that he was admonished by the league office after both games and was left off of the playoff rotation for some blatant no calls that should have gone against the lakers in both games as well as for generally allowing the CLE game to get that far out of hand. How do you think he will react tonight knowing he is being watched closely? The game against the MAVS was the last LAKER game he has officiated.
You should be more than fine with a +7, but the line is starting to move in our direction (7.5's arent that hard to get) and you might get an 8 if you wait. Nothing is ever for sure, even at this strong a play - I still only go to 3x my regular amount... But you rarely get info THIS strong.
BEST OF LUCK, use them however you choose.
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HOU +7.5 VERY STRONG
THE REFS...
MATT BOLAND - HOU has covered the last 3 he has officiated. LAL have NOT covered 8 of the last 9 with him on the court.
MARC DAVIS - HOU has covered 3 of the last 5 with him (and one of the non-covers was a push). Also, LA LAKERS HAVE NOT COVERED 10 CONSECUTIVE GAMES WITH HIM ON COURT.
MARAT KOGUT - HOU has covered the last 3 he has officiated.
Combined trend is 27-2-1. On top of that there are some other factors... THis crew ( BOLAND and DAVIS in particular) have a general tendency to lean to the road team. At times, BOLAND is almost specifically defiant of the crowd and seems to go out of his way to make a point that he will not be influenced by a home crowd. Lastly, KOGUT was on the court for the LAKERS 55 point win against CLE (112-57) almost a year ago to the day AND for a 28 point win against DAL in the last week of the season last year.
That would seem like possible LAKER favortism, but i have it on good authority that he was admonished by the league office after both games and was left off of the playoff rotation for some blatant no calls that should have gone against the lakers in both games as well as for generally allowing the CLE game to get that far out of hand. How do you think he will react tonight knowing he is being watched closely? The game against the MAVS was the last LAKER game he has officiated.
You should be more than fine with a +7, but the line is starting to move in our direction (7.5's arent that hard to get) and you might get an 8 if you wait. Nothing is ever for sure, even at this strong a play - I still only go to 3x my regular amount... But you rarely get info THIS strong.
BEST OF LUCK, use them however you choose.
covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101228673&pa ge=1
, I like the over, how do the refs fair up there??
