ShawnJohn's NBA Money Maker (Season)

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  • shawnjohn5
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-13-10
    • 836

    #1
    ShawnJohn's NBA Money Maker (Season)
    Hi sbr, how we doing tonight/today, I have been on fire with nba so i figured why not start posting. I follow some threads in ncaa hoops (filmoz) (madhatter) (ayo, sonny, buck) and have appreciated some of their insights picks and the fact that i have made a decent amount of money following their advice with my own knowledge.

    I have been gambling for the better part of the past 5 years, currently I am griding it out in Vegas playing $1/2 nlhe as well as supplementing income with blackjack, but my money maker has been sports. I have been very good over the past decade wagering on NFL, NBA and ESPECIALLY MLB. I make a modest living I'm not a baller, a fake, or a fly by night. Obviously to get this thread going I'm going to need some winners, and obviously friendly banter as well as discussions is always welcomed. If you are simply going to flame, talk crap or say I told you so, please don't bother.

    The goal here is to make us all money, I will do my best to post plays daily prove myself and hopefully I can help some of you make money in NBA as well as MLB this year. I have been a winning player (per year) since 2001, and keep all records of plays. I dont play much online anymore because I feel the doj is on the verge of shutting things down in a major way (full tilt has owed me over 9k for a while) finally looks like i might get that $$, we shall see. I am lucky enough to live in sin city so I have many options, i know juice here in vegas isn't the best but I also have a local I can use.

    Anyways back to the basics, the picks!!!! If you are a player who has to take action i will post plays that I feel are only "leans," leans are plays that I WILL NOT be wagering on myself, but if i had to pick a side I'd pick that side. Plays are actual WAGERS I place myself, I dont believe in the 1-10 unit plays some of you believe in so I will strictly be using 1unit 2unit and 3unit plays. My unit amount isn't important but for the curious sole, it will be $200. I will probably have 2-3 ACTUAL plays each day with a half time or two as well. My twitter handle is @shawnj5 if any of you care, and i will likely post some plays on there but not as often as I will here.

    I dont follow the 1-10 unit play because simply a bet is worth a bet or not. Often you will see a game you feel you have an edge in so you bet it (1unit), if you see a bet you really think is strong (2unit), if you absolutely LOVE a game (3unit) I dont do 10 units I dont do 5 units, I feel like that's too much of a variance in +ev vs -ev in the event you lose. I find it difficult to swallow going 3 out of 4 on a day only to lose my 10unit play and be down 7units that day. I have learned the hard way over the past 5 years. I know i dont have the experience as some of you do but I haev been gambling since 1998 almost daily on a sporting event or cards in some sort. I haev been bust many times, and bounced back many times, I have tried to be a pro for a few years now, and about a year ago I really hit my stride with money management and disciplined wages. Again I have recently figured out what works for me. Let's work together, and make some more money!!!. It's not mind blowing but it will leave you +money at the end of the year and isn't that the goal?!

    I will try and post plays the night before or at least 2 hours prior to the game depending on the line, if/when i like it. Good luck guys happy wagering... If you want to post your own plays in my thread I dont mind, but in all honesty I dont see the point. if you want to discuss certain games, feel free to do so but posting 10 plays a day everyday START YOUR OWN THREAD...

    DAILY Record 0-0
    Weekly Record 0-0
    Total Record 0-0
  • shawnjohn5
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-13-10
    • 836

    #2
    Day 1 Dec. 29th

    Leans
    Dallas +6.5
    Portland -5
    Lakers -3.5
    NJ Orl O181
    Hou SA U196
    OKC DAL O196

    ACTUAL GRADED WAGERS. Nothing jumps out at me today therefore no 3 unit plays
    Orlando -11.5 1unit
    Spurs +1 1unit
    Kings +7.5 2units
    Den Por O199 1unit


    Good luck and happy wagering!!!
    Comment
    • Kadinni
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-16-11
      • 639

      #3
      Hey man! Im on dallas and spurs myself.

      Just wondering, whats the reason for you not pulling the trigger on the dallas game?? I love the spurs bet too, Rockets look like they might be heading to the lottery this year.
      Comment
      • shawnjohn5
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-13-10
        • 836

        #4
        Hey Kad, good luck on your plays my friend, I'm hesitant on dallas simply because I want to see more from this team. A few variables go into this game, OKC can be potent on offense and with Westbrook going 0-13 this game and the little spat he and Durant have I'm not quite sure if he's going to mature and have a great game or fold and pout. If i had to guess I would think he's young immature and would be more likely to fold then bounce back so soon.

        I am also weary about dallas because of the pieces they lost, this is NOT the same team that won a championship last year. Losing Stevenson their best perimeter defender, losing Chandler their best interior defender and losing their spark plug off the bench (JJ) might be a huge huge problem. I think Dallas still gets into the playoffs (4-6) seed, but will be WAY overvalued by the public in the early stages. It looks like they are saving cap space for next summer while somewhat sacrificing this years team. The lines on all dallas games early should show this but we will see. I think Dallas will be overvalued quite a bit, I'm just not sure which OKC team shows up tomorrow (westbrook will be key). Generally the next couple weeks I'll be more likely to bet against Dallas, but i think this is a let down game for okc.

        As far as Houston go's, man this team is very very AVERAGE. Spurs had a pretty easy go of it tonight the season is young the fact that this is a b2b shouldn't be much of an issue. This game is basically a pick so i'm picking the MUCH better team. Houston doesn't have Hayes, no center to speak of and an inconsistent #1 option (martin). I dont like this teams depth it's front line or it's starters, i do agree LOTTERY...
        Comment
        • shawnjohn5
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-13-10
          • 836

          #5
          Gl to all today!
          Comment
          • shawnjohn5
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-13-10
            • 836

            #6
            Editing
            Kings +7.5 3u play get in it.
            Comment
            • shawnjohn5
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-13-10
              • 836

              #7
              Bump
              Comment
              • shawnjohn5
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-13-10
                • 836

                #8
                Leans Record 5-1 (should have took my leans lol)
                1unit plays 2-1
                3unit plays 0-1
                Total Record 2-2
                Total Units -2.2


                Not the best day after my hot start, and the Kings melted down late in the 4th not surprised but still bummed..
                Comment
                • shawnjohn5
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-13-10
                  • 836

                  #9
                  Friday Dec 30
                  Leans
                  Pacers -9.5
                  Pacers/Cavs O187
                  Hawks/Nets U175
                  Bulls/Clips O189.5

                  Actual PLAYS
                  Hawks -11 2u
                  Miami -8 2u
                  Philly -3 3u
                  Memphis -5 1u
                  Raps +8.5 1u

                  Heres looking for a bounce back day...
                  Comment
                  • blankoblanco
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-18-11
                    • 3499

                    #10
                    gl man, following some of your plays. here's to a profitable season
                    Comment
                    • shawnjohn5
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-13-10
                      • 836

                      #11
                      Hey thanks a lot man, sounds good, i look forward to building a bankroll so we can crush baseball. I hope you were on my leans today as well as my plays 5-1 on leans. Tomorrow almost all plays, feel real good about the card, looks good!!
                      Comment
                      • mission
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-19-11
                        • 198

                        #12
                        I'll be checking some of these out... Good luck, full tilt owes me a couple stacks too. I like your mentality, sounds like a true poker player. Bol man
                        Comment
                        • DegenerateGmblr
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 12-28-11
                          • 15

                          #13
                          I'll be following your plays too BOL!
                          Comment
                          • iuliux
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 09-17-10
                            • 76

                            #14
                            Good luck with this!
                            Comment
                            • shawnjohn5
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-13-10
                              • 836

                              #15
                              Thanks a lot fella's very juicy board today I'm tempering my plays, I wanted to play several at 3u. Also might be some good middle opportunities. If you followed my (lean) on the bulls over last night, it's a nice 3 point middle opportunity taking the bulls under 192.5 right now. I didn't lock it in but maybe some of you did. GL.

                              A middle: When the line moves so much you have an opportunity to win 2 bets with one outcome. For instance I bet 200 on the over bulls 189.5 (last night) today the line is 192.5 bet the under for 200. If the game ends anywhere between 190-192 you win BOTH bets while only risking the juice. At worst you lose $20, at best you hit BOTH bets and win 400. You can also always bet less on the over for a middle if you still like the under.
                              Comment
                              • shawnjohn5
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-13-10
                                • 836

                                #16
                                Adding
                                Hornets -2.5 1u
                                Comment
                                • shawnjohn5
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-13-10
                                  • 836

                                  #17
                                  Added play 2h Hornets/Suns O90
                                  Comment
                                  • shawnjohn5
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-13-10
                                    • 836

                                    #18
                                    1 possession 3 missed layups for the hornets, holy cow..
                                    Comment
                                    • shawnjohn5
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-13-10
                                      • 836

                                      #19
                                      Bulls +2 2units
                                      Comment
                                      • shawnjohn5
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-13-10
                                        • 836

                                        #20
                                        Bulls/Clips 2h O94 2u
                                        Comment
                                        • shawnjohn5
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-13-10
                                          • 836

                                          #21
                                          Friday Dec 30
                                          Leans
                                          Pacers -9.5
                                          Pacers/Cavs O187
                                          Hawks/Nets U175
                                          Bulls/Clips O189.5

                                          Actual PLAYS
                                          Hawks -11 2u
                                          Miami -8 2u
                                          Philly -3 3u
                                          Memphis -5 1u
                                          Raps +8.5 1u
                                          Hornets -2.5 1u
                                          Nor/Pho 2h O90 1u
                                          Bulls +2 2u
                                          Bulls/clips 2h O94 2u
                                          Heres looking for a bounce back day...
                                          Comment
                                          • shawnjohn5
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-13-10
                                            • 836

                                            #22
                                            Leans 7-3
                                            1unit plays 3-4 (1-3)
                                            2unit plays 2-2 (2-2)
                                            3unit plays 0-2 (0-1)
                                            Total Record 5-7
                                            Total Units -5
                                            Comment
                                            • shawnjohn5
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-13-10
                                              • 836

                                              #23
                                              Leans 12-31
                                              Nuggets +5.5
                                              Atlanta -1
                                              OKC -13

                                              Wagered Plays
                                              LA/Den O199 2u
                                              Pacers -2 3u
                                              Jazz/Spurs U196.5 1u
                                              Comment
                                              • shawnjohn5
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-13-10
                                                • 836

                                                #24
                                                Added plays
                                                Kings +1.5. 1u
                                                Gs/phi U190 1u
                                                Okc -11. 2u
                                                Comment
                                                • suicidekings
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                  • 9962

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by shawnjohn5
                                                  Leans 7-3 1unit plays 3-4 (1-3) 2unit plays 2-2 (2-2) 3unit plays 0-2 (0-1) Total Record 5-7 Total Units -5
                                                  You're not accounting for the juice in your record? The W-L record listed above should have resulted in -8.4u @ -110, not -5u
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shawnjohn5
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-13-10
                                                    • 836

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                    You're not accounting for the juice in your record? The W-L record listed above should have resulted in -8.4u @ -110, not -5u
                                                    Of course minting for juice but last night my math was a little off. Don't forget my 1u is $200.
                                                    1u plays I'm up $600 down $880 total down $280 down 1.4units total.
                                                    My 2u plays I'm 2-2 down juice $80 -0.4units, and 3u plays down $1320. Down 6.6 total down 8.4. You're absolutely correct I post often at 2-3am so apologies. but thanks for pointing that out
                                                    Comment
                                                    • suicidekings
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-23-09
                                                      • 9962

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by shawnjohn5
                                                      You're absolutely correct I post often at 2-3am so apologies.
                                                      I'm very familiar with late night math fails, haha. GL this year.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shawnjohn5
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-13-10
                                                        • 836

                                                        #28
                                                        Haha appreciate it u too, who u taking today?!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shawnjohn5
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 01-13-10
                                                          • 836

                                                          #29
                                                          Lakers nuggets combined 1-21 from 3 point range. Wow not helping my over! Smh
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shawnjohn5
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-13-10
                                                            • 836

                                                            #30
                                                            Not a good week, no worries it's all about the long haul!!

                                                            Denver -3. 1u
                                                            Clip/por O201 2u
                                                            Charlotte +15 3u
                                                            Toronto +12 3u
                                                            Cle/nj O186 1u
                                                            Dallas -2. 2u
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shawnjohn5
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-13-10
                                                              • 836

                                                              #31
                                                              Total record!

                                                              Originally posted by shawnjohn5
                                                              Leans 8-4
                                                              1unit plays 5-5(2-1)
                                                              2unit plays 4-4 (2-2)
                                                              3unit plays 0-3 (0-1)
                                                              Total Record 9-12
                                                              Total Units -12.9u
                                                              update
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ockert12
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-18-11
                                                                • 464

                                                                #32
                                                                Dallas -2 is fishy.. smells a whole lot like the hornets -2.5 and sixers -3... I'll be on the Twolves for sure.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • shawnjohn5
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-13-10
                                                                  • 836

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Clips/por O199.5 3u
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shawnjohn5
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-13-10
                                                                    • 836

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Lakers +5.5 1u going for a middle on this one!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shawnjohn5
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-13-10
                                                                      • 836

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Not too bad yesterday, too bad missed that Denver middle.

                                                                      Jan 2
                                                                      Hawks +9.5. 2u
                                                                      Knicks. O200 2u
                                                                      Orlando's -3.5 2u
                                                                      Den -3.5. 3u
                                                                      Hornets +6.5 3u
                                                                      Comment
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