MrXYZ's NBA picks

[MrXYZ]

After a pretty good year capping Aussie sports (NBL basketball & NRL Rugby League, you'll find them in the More Sports section) I've decided to step up to an NBA thread to track my record, help some of you make money & contribute to SBR.

Although I don't do this for a living (lol, not many can), have been able to make a few bucks to help supplement my income while I complete my studies. Was once a big bettor but those days are behind me (not worth the stress & had too many close calls) so money management & discipline are what I work on the most, with plays generally 1 unit in size. I'll pick my spots as opposed to hitting the whole card.

The goal is to end the season at 55%. I believe in quitting while you're ahead so if I'm up a good number of units I'll scale back my plays. Have seen too many guys give everything back. Also, if I get to -10 units I'll stop, for the greater good...

I'll be putting the odds in both US & Euro formats.

So I'm just here to give it my best shot. Good luck everyone with your plays this season & all the best for 2012.

[MrXYZ]

26 December
MILWAULKEE BUCKS vs CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
BUCKS -3.0 @1.91/-110 x1

PHILADELPHIA 76ers vs PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
Game total OVER 189.0 @1.91/-110 x1

[MrXYZ]

26 December
MILWAULKEE BUCKS vs CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
BUCKS -3.0 @1.91/-110 x1

PHILADELPHIA 76ers vs PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
Game total OVER 189.0 @1.91/-110 x1

A tough day for NBA bettors. I would've had a big losing day, as I was leaning Bulls & Grizz.

NBA Record: 1-1 -0.09 units

27 December
BOSTON CELTICS vs MIAMI HEAT
CELTICS +10.5 @1.91/-110 x1

ATLANTA HAWKS vs NEW JERSEY NETS
HAWKS -4.5 @ 1.91/-110 x1

[MrXYZ]

27 December
BOSTON CELTICS vs MIAMI HEAT
CELTICS +10.5 @1.91/-110 x1

ATLANTA HAWKS vs NEW JERSEY NETS
HAWKS -4.5 @ 1.91/-110 x1

A great night with Hawks squashing the Nets & Celtics fighting hard to cover the generous points on offer.

Should've played the Lakers -4.5, the b2b2b angle proved to be a non factor.

Today: 2-0
NBA 2011-12 record: 3-1-0 +1.73 units

[MrXYZ]

28 December
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER vs MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
OKLAHOMA -1.0 @1.90/-110 x1

NEW YORK KNICKS vs GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
NEW YORK -3.0 @1.90/-110 x1

[MrXYZ]

28 December
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER vs MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
OKLAHOMA -1.0 @1.90/-110 x1

NEW YORK KNICKS vs GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
NEW YORK -3.0 @1.90/-110 x1

A solid effort from KD helped the Thunder edge out the Grizz but Golden State won big against a lacklustre NY. Was feeling good about beating the closer on that one but it proved to be meaningless in the end.

Today: 1-1
NBA 2011-12 record: 4-2-0 +1.63 units

[MrXYZ]

29 December
SAN ANTONIO SPURS vs HOUSTON ROCKETS
SPURS -3.0 @1.92 / -108 x1

DENVER NUGGETS vs PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
DENVER +5.5 @1.92 / -108 x1

NEW YORK KNICKS vs LA LAKERS
game total OVER 196 @1.91 / -109 x1

Good luck today.

[MrXYZ]

29 December
SAN ANTONIO SPURS vs HOUSTON ROCKETS
SPURS -3.0 @1.92 / -108 x1

DENVER NUGGETS vs PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
DENVER +5.5 @1.92 / -108 x1

NEW YORK KNICKS vs LA LAKERS
game total OVER 196 @1.91 / -109 x1

On the wrong side of everything today.

I've sat through a lot of tough beats but still can't believe that kick in the nuts on the LA/NY total.

Today: 0-3
NBA 2011-12 record: 4-5-0 -1.37 units

[MrXYZ]

30 December
ORLANDO MAGC vs CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Game Total OVER 183.5 @1.91 / -109 x1

MIAMI HEAT vs MINNESOTA TWOLVES
TWOLVES +8.5 @1.90 / -110 x1

PHOENIX SUNS vs NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
HORNETS -2.0 @1.90 / -110 x1

PHILADELPHIA 76ers vs UTAH JAZZ
JAZZ +3.0 @1.91 / -109 x1

Good luck everyone with your plays today.

[MrXYZ]

30 December
ORLANDO MAGC vs CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Game Total OVER 183.5 @1.91 / -109 x1

MIAMI HEAT vs MINNESOTA TWOLVES
TWOLVES +8.5 @1.90 / -110 x1

PHOENIX SUNS vs NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
HORNETS -2.0 @1.90 / -110 x1

PHILADELPHIA 76ers vs UTAH JAZZ
JAZZ +3.0 @1.91 / -109 x1

2-2
NBA 2011-12 record: 6-7-0 -1.56 units

[MrXYZ]

31 December
NEW YORK KNICKS vs SACRAMENTO KINGS
KINGS +1 @1.90 / -110 x1

PHOENIX SUNS vs OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Game Total OVER 201 @1.91 /-109 x1

PHILADELPHIA 76ers vs GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
WARRIORS +2 @1.91 / -109 x1

Happy New Year everyone.

[hangtime]

i like kings over197.5 and golden state o189.5.good luck bud.

[MrXYZ]

i like kings over197.5 and golden state o189.5.good luck bud.

Thanks hangtime. Kings over was easy money today.

[MrXYZ]

31 December
NEW YORK KNICKS vs SACRAMENTO KINGS
KINGS +1 @1.90 / -110 x1

PHOENIX SUNS vs OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Game Total OVER 201 @1.91 /-109 x1

PHILADELPHIA 76ers vs GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
WARRIORS +2 @1.91 / -109 x1

Another losing day. NY showed up & hammered the Kings. Should've taken the over on that one.

Moving on, I'm taking the Grizzlies ML. They have a genuine chance at scoring an upset. Closer to game time should offer better value on this play as we all know the Bulls are heavy favourites for punters looking for a sure thing,

Today: 1-2
NBA 2011-12 record: 7-9-0 -2.65 units

[MrXYZ]

Changing the format today - I'm typing this on my phone.

1 January
Toronto/Orlando OVER 185.5 @1.91 / -110 x1
Toronto +12 @1.91 / -109 x1
Memphis ML @3.68 /+268 x0.50
Memphis +7.5 @1.91 / -109 x1
Dallas -3 @1.91 / -109 x1
Lakers/Denver OVER 198.5 @1.90 / -110 x2

My first 2 unit play of the season with the Lakers over.

[MrXYZ]

adding
Portland +3.5 @1.91 / -109 x1

[MrXYZ]

Changing the format today - I'm typing this on my phone.

1 January
Toronto/Orlando OVER 185.5 @1.91 / -110 x1
Toronto +12 @1.91 / -109 x1
Memphis ML @3.68 /+268 x0.50
Memphis +7.5 @1.91 / -109 x1
Dallas -3 @1.91 / -109 x1
Lakers/Denver OVER 198.5 @1.90 / -110 x2
Portland +3.5 @1.91 / -109 x1

Got my ass kicked, went 2-5 for my worst NBA day ever. Too many plays. Memphis proved to be a major embarrassment, and the Lakers/Nuggets over was dead on arrival.

Followed that up with a huge chase play today:

January 2
Indiana/New Jersey OVER 179.5 @1.91 / -109 x 12.

which I didn't post to avoid taking anyone down with me if if sank & draw a bunch of trolls to the thread. However here is the ticket as proof:



It hit & I've decided to pull the plug on this thread and quit while ahead as promised. I was down over 6 units before that play cashed and am not confident this season, the lockout has served up some tough beats. Facing the prospect of getting buried by the All Star break was a sobering thought. As we all know, the way sports betting is structured once you are down units it's very difficult to get back to even let alone profit. I'll still add my 2cents & contribute to this forum if a good value play comes up though.

Good luck everyone this season & thanks to all the cappers on this site, guys like LTA, Kobstopa, Lakercrazy,Goatmilk & Lakerboy who share their hard work so we can all profit.

Final Record for the thread: 10-14-0 41.67% +4.59 units.

[Kadinni]

Nice hit!