bob734 and Seto's NBA Plays

[Seto]

Hi all

This will be our season-long thread for NBA plays, we may post a few pre-season leans but will start an actual record when the regular season starts on christmas day. Looking forward to what will hopefully be a good and profitable season

[Bob734]

Let's start with Preseason..

No Official play just one lean.

Utah JAZZ +6.5 +100 (Pinnacle)

Just for info here is my NCAA BB thread : http://forum.sbrforum.com/ncaa-baske...l#post12749373

BOL tonight

[mp5070]

[Seto]

Leans

GSW/SAC under 203.5 -110
DAL/OKC over 194.0 -110

GL all

[Bob734]

Let's start the season guy

Under 192 NY/BOS -110 (1unit) LOCK
Miami -4 -110 (1unit) LOCK

gl

[Seto]

Hi all

Yup, let's start the real thing.

Liking that under as well

Under 191.5 NYK/BOS (1x)
GSW+5.5 (1x)

GL everyone

[mp5070]

[Seto]

Tough start to the season, let's try and bounce back tonight:

NJN+4.5 -110 (1x)
Over 188.5 PHI/POR -110 (1x)
POR-4.5 -110 (1x)
NOH+6.5 -110 (1x)

2011/12 Record: 0-2-0, -2.00x

GL all

[mp5070]

[Seto]

Better today, went 3-1 and could have easily been 4-0 with that 1 point loss... But they end up going both ways over the course of the season

2011/12 Record: 3-3-0, -0.27x

Will post a couple of plays in a few hours, liking TWolves, Lakers and SAC/POR over, still have to look at a few things

[Seto]

Tonight:

MIN+6.0 -110 (1x)
BOS+4.0 (1st Quarter) -110 (1x)
LAL-5.0 -110 (1x)

BOL Everyone

[Seto]

Bit lucky yesterday on the first two but you don't see me complaining, especially after all that Raymond Felton nonsense

2011/12 Record: 6-3-0, +2.46x

Tonight:

GSW+5.0 -110 (1x)
SAS-4.0 -110 (1x)
CLE+5.5 -110 (1x)
Over 175.5 BOS/NOH -110 (1x)

The BOS/NOH line almost looks like the bookies are begging us to go over, counting on the C's back to back to kill us, but I just don't see that happening, it's just way way too low IMHO. We'll see

[mp5070]

[Seto]

Adding a play btw

Under 205.0 NYK/GSW -110 (1x)

gl all

[Seto]

Posting this one early, I think it will go up soon...

POR-5.0 -110 (1x)

Otherwise another good day at work, although still pissed about that over. That said I've decided to keep a record on "1 possession" games, ie when I was 3 or less points away from turning a win into a loss or vice versa. It won't be 100% accurate due to fouling towards the end of games but will probably give a pretty good idea of how much "luck" I'm having. For the moment it seems rather balanced so that's positive, means I don't have too much to complain about but am not either having a lucky run that often comes just before a rotten run.

Might post some more plays but I don't like any of the lines very much for now.

2011/12 Record: 10-4-0, +5.10x
"1 possession" Record: 2-2, -0.18x

[mp5070]

[Bob734]

Today's plays

Orlando -11 -110 (x2)
Over 203 Portland-Denver -110 (x2)
LA Lakers -4 -110 (x1.5)

BOL

[Bob734]

let's start the season guy :d

under 192 ny/bos -110 (1unit) lock L
miami -4 -110 (1unit) lock W

gl

today's plays

orlando -11 -110 (x2) W
over 203 portland-denver -110 (x2) W
la lakers -4 -110 (x1.5) W


bol

ytd : 4-1, +4.92

[Bob734]

Cash Portland Seto

[mp5070]

Welcome back Bob....

[Seto]

Cash Portland Seto

for our thread yesterday, good to have you back

[Bob734]

30/12/11

Memphis -6 -110 (x3)
Utah +3 -110 (x1.5)
LA Clippers +2 -110 (x2)

BOL Seto and all

[Seto]

A couple of plays for now:

CLE+9.5 -110 (1x)
Under 194.5 TOR/DAL -110 (1x)

2011/12 Record: 11-4-0, +6.01x
"1 possession" Record: 2-2, -0.18x

Might add something later, if I do it should be up in an hour or two.

Let's cash 'em Bob

[Seto]

Nope, nothing more for today.

GL

[Seto]

Just booked this one for tomorrow:

HOU+1.0 -110 (1x)

[mp5070]

On Hou +1.0, Seto...

[Seto]

On Hou +1.0, Seto...

Given where the line's at now I think we have a decent deal there
Liking Warriors as home dogs even with Monta out, Philly is on a road b2b, and it's not like they were in Sacramento yesterday. Steph should be back. I think the books have been underrating them the whole season, they could've easily covered against LAC.

Adding 2 plays:
Over 195.5 UTA/SAS -110 (1x)
GSW+2.0 -110 (1x)

2011/12 Record: 13-4-0, +7.83x
"1 possession" Record: 3-2, +0.73x

On a 13-2 run here, long may it last

[mp5070]

[Seto]

Ouch on those last two... Warriors didn't show up after that 20-7 start. Anyway you can't win every night. And the over misses for one possession, mainly with that 1QT drought.

2011/12 Record: 14-6-0, +6.74x
"1 possession" Record: 3-3, -0.27x

Let's try and bounce back here:

MEM+7.5 -110 (1x)
Under 197.5 CHA/MIA -110 (1x)

GL

[Seto]

MEM is over, no point in continuing with that one...

2011/12 Record: 14-8-0, +4.74x
"1 possession" Record: 3-3, -0.27x

Liking DAL+2 tomorrow, let's get out of this bad run ASAP

[Seto]

DAL+2.0 -110 (1x)
NOH+6.5 -110 (1x)
ATL+10.0 -110 (1x)
Under 198.0 ATL/MIA -110 (1x)
MIN+4.5 -110 (1x)

Big card for today, let's get them

[mp5070]

[mp5070]

5-0 DAY.........

[Seto]

5-0 DAY.........

ATL won SU too, I thought that line was way off given how the two teams matched up last year... Hopefully someone out there had the guts to try that. Monster day, all the plays hit, and all with relative ease, and Mavs win, doesn't get much better than that

2011/12 Record: 19-8-0, +9.29x
"1 possession" Record: 4-3, +0.64x

[Seto]

I've looked and relooked at those lines and no inspiration... Next please