Dexter's 2011-2012 NBA

J.M. Disciple · 06-04-12, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

(5u) Heat -8

You think similar to game 1? 8PTS IS A BIG line the way this series is going.

J.M. Disciple · 06-05-12, 12:10 PM

Going to wait until closer to game time. Line is dropping down to -7.5 right now so maybe hits 6.5 or 7 before game time.

Dexter · 06-05-12, 12:42 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

You think similar to game 1? 8PTS IS A BIG line the way this series is going.

yes

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Going to wait until closer to game time. Line is dropping down to -7.5 right now so maybe hits 6.5 or 7 before game time.

will never get to 6.5/7......good job waiting as 7.5 is out there

Pauulzcappin · 06-05-12, 01:09 PM

Hate to be the book/line guy but there are 7.5 at some places but not on the most important one.

Dexter · 06-05-12, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

Hate to be the book/line guy but there are 7.5 at some places but not on the most important one.

interesting that the squarest book out there dropped to 7.5

Pauulzcappin · 06-05-12, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

interesting that the squarest book out there dropped to 7.5

I hope I don't get burned by favorites two days in a row. I like Miami to come out firing tonight. Since there's no chemistry outside of Lebron getting the ball and doing something, I suppose getting a big who can spread the floor will help plenty.

Tofudog · 06-05-12, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

interesting that the squarest book out there dropped to 7.5

What is the squarest book?

Pick'nParlays · 06-05-12, 04:15 PM

heat should win this

J.M. Disciple · 06-05-12, 04:18 PM

Most books try to get public spilt right? since majority is on Boston they are trying to get some people on Miami now. When the books hit 50% each side they make money easily.

Bosh will provide better rebounding and defense for Miami and allow for some rest time for lebron and others. Just dont know if he is 100%. 15pts 7 rebounds? Should make quite a bit of difference.

Mia -7.5 seems good.

Dexter · 06-05-12, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by Tofudog

What is the squarest book?

bodog appears to always be favorite leaning

Dexter · 06-05-12, 09:28 PM

heat look bad....james is so brutal with his jump shot. hopefully the game stays under and i reduce my loss. would be shocked if mia covers this...

Dexter · 06-05-12, 09:33 PM

Wednesday 6/6:

(2u) Spurs +5

Dexter · 06-05-12, 10:10 PM

there goes the under and here is the inevitable cold streak....5 loses in a row, giving back 18u

Pauulzcappin · 06-05-12, 10:26 PM

at least it wasn't 185

hahaha

Dexter · 06-06-12, 10:32 PM

Thursday 6/7:

(1u) Heat -130

J.M. Disciple · 06-06-12, 10:46 PM

Very bad Loss for the spurs. Remarkable comeback from Thunder.

J.M. Disciple · 06-07-12, 03:48 PM

I took the over 1st 1/2 and -1 for mia as well. I have a good feeling Bosh will get more playing time this game and make a big difference. He only played 2 minutes 2nd half of last game, where he had like 12pts and 7 rebounds first half. I do not know why they benched him almost entire 2nd half. As Steven A Smith said, it allowed garnette to basically do whatever he wanted and just play Zone the entire 2nd half.

Bosh is one of the most underrated players on the team. I know hes suppose to be 1 of the big 3 on the team, but why only 2 minutes?

Mia takes this game by 5 or 6 pts I think.

Good Luck

Dexter · 06-07-12, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

I took the over 1st 1/2 and -1 for mia as well. I have a good feeling Bosh will get more playing time this game and make a big difference. He only played 2 minutes 2nd half of last game, where he had like 12pts and 7 rebounds first half. I do not know why they benched him almost entire 2nd half. As Steven A Smith said, it allowed garnette to basically do whatever he wanted and just play Zone the entire 2nd half.

Bosh is one of the most underrated players on the team. I know hes suppose to be 1 of the big 3 on the team, but why only 2 minutes?

Mia takes this game by 5 or 6 pts I think.

Good Luck

I like it and see no reason to take the under anymore...why fight it? i am going to play the heat for a little more then 1u. i am ice cold and shouldn't, but this series is going 7.

Dexter · 06-07-12, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

Thursday 6/7:

(1u) Heat -130

(2u) Heat -130 (3u total)

J.M. Disciple · 06-07-12, 08:23 PM

looking good. Nice call.

Dexter · 06-07-12, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

looking good. Nice call.

my friend - this is the NBA. i can almost guarantee you the celtics will re-take the lead at some point. lotta game left.

your bets are gonna cash for the half...nice JM

Dexter · 06-07-12, 09:42 PM

GoodNight Boston - Heat for a nickel in game 7.

Dexter · 06-07-12, 10:50 PM

Saturday 6/9:

(5u) Heat -7.5

MrSink · 06-08-12, 05:03 AM

good call on Heat

J.M. Disciple · 06-09-12, 10:34 AM

There is a nice teaser you all can make at (-115) O173 and Mia -2.5

J.M. Disciple · 06-09-12, 10:37 PM

your -8 looked scary, but glad we all cashed. I seen a graph a long time ago I believe it was for MLB, but fading the public is +EV long term.

Dexter · 06-10-12, 12:15 AM

i wanted to take OKC in the series but i cant lay 160...thought they would be around 130.

plus now the heat look a little scary again...they are the better defensive team. hard to fade that in the finals.

J.M. Disciple · 06-10-12, 12:51 PM

I will be looking at the Under. Also the prop of Lebron Under 31 with Durrant guarding him. It will be thunders non big 3 that beat Mia. Both big 3's will match up well against each other, but Mia doesn't have a sold "TEAM" so Thunder will pick them apart. Only way THunder lose is if refs save Mia.... Which i though refs did a great job game 7, so hoping for a good championship series as well.

Dexter · 06-11-12, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

Playoffs: 5/28-6/3: 7-2 (+12.8u)
Playoffs 2012: 48-30 (+43.5u)
Overall YTD: 230-182 (+100.35u)

Playoffs 6/4-6/9: 2-5 (-8.3u)
Playoffs 2012: 50-35 (+35.2u)
Overall YTD: 232-187 (+92.05u)

Dexter · 06-11-12, 05:31 PM

Tuesday 6/12:

(4u) Thunder -5

Pick'nParlays · 06-11-12, 06:17 PM

Dex, may i ask your reasoning. just curious. i agree.

J.M. Disciple · 06-11-12, 06:38 PM

OKC is a much better team... Durant will play better defense then most played on Lebron so far and thus control the game.

I am considering a teaser under 200.5 and OKC PK. Sound good?

Dexter · 06-11-12, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

OKC is a much better team... Durant will play better defense then most played on Lebron so far and thus control the game.

I am considering a teaser under 200.5 and OKC PK. Sound good?

i like it...i may throw a unit on the under once it gets driven up to its ceiling....looks like it may hit 197 by tomorrow night

Dexter · 06-11-12, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by Pick'nParlays

Dex, may i ask your reasoning. just curious. i agree.

i don't really have angles/stats/trends etc when i make these playoff plays....just instinct from watching the games...

jazzmatazz23 · 06-11-12, 07:53 PM

I am thinking instead of betting thunder at -180 for my book, just bet Durant to win MVP at -105. If thunder win series I would guess it is above 80 percent chance Durant wins MVP. Maybe lay a small amount on westbrook at +500 to win MVP as well. Almost even money

Originally posted by Dexter

i wanted to take OKC in the series but i cant lay 160...thought they would be around 130.

plus now the heat look a little scary again...they are the better defensive team. hard to fade that in the finals.