Hello guys,
Anyone is good at live betting in basketball? Any specific strategy?
Anyone is good at live betting in basketball? Any specific strategy?
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Halt time now, let's do some tests on Eurobasket Woman
PREMATCH LINES
CZECH - BELARUS
+1.50 @ 1,86
O122.50 @ 1,86
HT LINES (39-26)
-8.50 @ 1,83
O128.50 @ 1,86
Belarus is getting better on the match, I see value on +8.50
MY BET: BELARUS +8.50 STAKE 4
PREMATCH LINES
GREECE-FRANCE
+13.50 @ 1,86
O120.50 @ 1,86
HT LINES (19-31)
+17.50 @ 1,83
O107.50 @ 1,83
Can't see value on +17.50, Greece, I'll give a try on the over MY BET: OVER 107.50 STAKE 4
Comment -
Good Start Let's Keep the StudyOriginally posted by pellibrBELARUS +8.50 STAKE 4
OVER 107.50 STAKE 4Comment -
Atlanta Dream -4.50 @ 1.56 Stake 7 - SbobetComment -
Chicago reaction on third, lines changed a lot. Still believe in AD
Atlanta Dream -4.50 @ 2.06 Stake 3 - Sbobet (completing 10stake)Comment -
Really bad bet. Chicago made a good reaction on the third and fourth.Originally posted by pellibrAtlanta Dream -4.50 @ 1.56/2.06 Stake 10 - Sbobet
The best bet available was on half time Chicago +10.50 at 2.00.
Study Record
2-1 (-3.12)Comment -
Was +10.50 stk 5Comment -
Also got San Antonio +14.50 on a big stake bet but it was very fast I couldn`t post.Originally posted by pellibrWas +10.50 Stk 5Comment -
A technique I have used and found successful is looking for line movements that make little sense in the 1q. For example let's say pregame the O/U is 200 at EV. After the first 6 minutes (one would expect 25 points to be scored) but there have been 30 points scored and the line is at 200.5 - EV. Of course the average joe blow jumps on the over but more often than not the correct play is the Under.Comment -
Thanks Hels, I`m trying something like that, but the results are not so good as the handicap, at last on WNBA, let`s keep researching.
Right now looking for a edge on Croatia - Montenegro around +18.50Comment -
Good record, good luck for you pellibr.Comment -
Pick: Croatia +14.50 Stake 4 @1.86Comment -
Thanks man, I'm only studying the better way to make money, let's see if we find out a good strategy.Originally posted by columnsicky
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The game as balanced at the end of third, I was expecting at last a slight reaction of Croatia, but the game went to the other side, the other team scored 9 points straight, the line went up to +25.50, the best bet of the match. Let's keep the study...Originally posted by pellibrPick: Croatia +14.50 Stake 4 @1.86
Record (3-2)
RegardsComment -
Today Matches
Belarus - Russia (Women)
Spread: -6 Russia
Total: 131.50
Great Britain - Lithuania
Spread: -14.50 Lithuania
Total: 125.50
Turkey - Czech
Spread: -7 Czech
Total: 130.50
NY Liberty - TUL Shock
Spread: -3.50 NY
Total: 162
CON Sun - CHI Sky
Spread: -4.50 CHI
Total: 152Comment -
Spain - Lativia
At end of Third (46-36)
Pick: Lativia +10.50
Odds: 1.76Comment -
Final Score 66-57Originally posted by pellibrSpain - Lativia
At end of Third (46-36)
Pick: Lativia +10.50
Odds: 1.76
Record 4-2Comment -
Montenegro - France (women Eurobasket)
52 - 47
France +3.50 @ 1.80
Under 147.50 @ 1.76Comment -
Final Score 73-68Originally posted by pellibrMontenegro - France (women Eurobasket)
52 - 47
France +3.50 @ 1.80
Under 147.50 @ 1.76
Record 5-3
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I`m getting good results guys, it seems to be a good technique. I also made other personal picks but didn`t had time to post here and they where all winners, the selection would be 8-3. But let`s keep studying, maybe it`s a good way to make money.
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PHX - ATL
Atlanta Under 95.5 @ 1.83Comment -
Final ScoreOriginally posted by pellibrPHX - ATL
Atlanta under 95.5 @ 1.83
PHX 92 - 83 ATL
Record: 6-3Comment -
Live betting seems a little too tempting......Comment -
Eurobasket Women
Poland - France
Beginning of Third
Over 101.50Comment -
Final Score 58-54 (112) Sweet!Originally posted by pellibr
Record 7-3Comment -
Anything is good when you make money!!Originally posted by blinky88Comment -
First 10 bets: 70% Hit Rate.
I`ll try to keep this hit rate in the long term betting, with the average odds around 1.80 I can get a 26% Yield.
From now on I`ll use flat stakes U$ 50,00 for every match, some times it can be splited in more than one bet. I`ll have at last 30 bets next month.
The main bets are: Team Handicap, Game Total and Team Total.
Other bets with higher odds: Money Line, Winning Margin.
The Leagues: Any league of basketball.
That`s it, let`s do it!!
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Matches
League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Latvia - Russia
Handicap: Latvia +5.5
Totals: O/U 125.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 2.75/1.40
League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Czech - Croatia
Handicap: Croatia +8.5
Totals: O/U 133.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 1.20/4.25Comment -
Pick Nº 11League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Latvia - Russia
Handicap: Latvia +5.5
Totals: O/U 125.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 2.75/1.40
Match Details: 5` 2` 30-39` 69
Under 153.50@ 1.83*50Comment -
Final Score: 72-83 ' 155Pick Nº 11
Match Details: 5` 2` 30-39` 69
Under 153.50@ 1.83*50
New Record: 0 - 1
Bankroll: U$ -50,00Comment -
Pick Nº 12League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Czech - Croatia
Handicap: Croatia +8.5
Totals: O/U 133.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 1.20/4.25
Match Details: Break` 4` 67-40` 107
Croatia +26.50 @ 1.83*50
Reaction of Croatia!!Comment -
Final Score: 79-63 ' 142Originally posted by pellibr
New Record:1 - 1
Bankroll: U$ -8,50Comment -
Matches
League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Croatia - Latvia
Handicap: Croatia +5.50
Totals: O/U 133.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 2.20/1.57
League: Under 19
Match: Russia - Brazil
Handicap: Brazil +2.50
League: Under 19
Match: USA - EgyptComment -
League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Croatia - Latvia
Handicap: Croatia +5.50
Totals: O/U 133.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 2.20/1.57
Pick Nº 13
Match Details: 10` 3` 37-34` 71
Under 139.50 @ 1.86*50Comment -
Final Score: 84-75 ' 159Originally posted by pellibr
New Record:1 - 2
Bankroll: U$ -58,50
Not a good start to my system. I was expecting less points in the end, based on the past results and the physical condition.Comment -
Pick Nº 14League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Montenegro - Turkey
Over 114.50 @ 1.86*50Comment
