Big 3 (LeBron James + Dwyane Wade + Chris Bosh) 70.5 points tonight?!!

korbal29 · 05-31-11, 01:18 PM

under is the nuts no way they will reach that

LionsFTW · 05-31-11, 01:28 PM

Going on the 2006 series, Wade avg about 35/game. With less shots this year, he won't avg 35, but he will be in the 25-27 point range. LeBron will be around the same, so it comes down to Bosh needing 18-20 pt, which won't happen. We've learned from the season that its a Big 2, with the third only supplementing, regardless of who is hot that day. There's about a 77% chance of the under with the moneyline laying about 55%. There is your value.

bureK · 05-31-11, 01:31 PM

Thanks I'm taking the under

JOHON8 · 05-31-11, 01:36 PM

Originally posted by LionsFTW

Going on the 2006 series, Wade avg about 35/game. With less shots this year, he won't avg 35, but he will be in the 25-27 point range. LeBron will be around the same, so it comes down to Bosh needing 18-20 pt, which won't happen. We've learned from the season that its a Big 2, with the third only supplementing, regardless of who is hot that day. There's about a 77% chance of the under with the moneyline laying about 55%. There is your value.

Good analysis, but Dallas will concentrate their defense on Wade/Lebron like every other playoff team this season leaving Bosh wide open. Even with this I still agree with the under.

bureK · 05-31-11, 01:40 PM

Chandler will

him up

He will sh1t his pants in the game 1 of the finals I mean his hands wont be that still I hope.

sanchez · 05-31-11, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by bureK

Found this interesting prop.

Big 3 (LeBron James + Dwyane Wade + Chris Bosh) Over 70.5 points
Big 3 (LeBron James + Dwyane Wade + Chris Bosh) Under 70.5 points

Over is -110
Under is -125

Where's value?

One could argue there isn't any value with -110 and -125

bureK · 05-31-11, 01:43 PM

With saying value I meant what is preferably to take.

If as Lions says it's about 77% to go under then even -125 is big value.

jizay · 05-31-11, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by bureK

With saying value I meant what is preferably to take.

If as Lions says it's about 77% to go under then even -125 is big value.

But where did he pull that from? In the 5 games against the Bulls, big 3 went 63, 63, 73, 71, 69. Against Boston it was 67, 80, 44, 83, 81. I could easily see this series being higher scoring than those.

LionsFTW · 05-31-11, 02:04 PM

Sorry gentlemen, it was an Accuscore statistic