Bulls 1Q Trend & ML???

[ManBearPig]

Found a strong trend that appears to favor CHI in the 1Q quite well, here's the data. Notice the 1q spread. This reads as show me the teams down 3-1 on an opponent playing as a home favorite. I limited it to the Eastern conference only since they play out differently than WC games, from a scoring standpoint.

If you think about it, this makes sense. Team down 3-1 at home playing for their lives. Expect them to come out fired up and jump on the other team. Chicago has shown they have fight and I expect we'll see it in the 1Q with the crowd behind them.

This favors ATS and ML as well. I wouldn't bet my life, but I'd feel confident in either.

I'm all over CHI 1Q/-1.5 -115 and parlaying the ML and the under and/or CHI for the game.

Miami is hot right now, but I don't think they close this out tonight on the road. They want to do it at home and the stats back it up.

[suicidekings]

Agreed with the assessment of the 1Q. I didn't realize the trend was so extreme. I'm hesitant to play the Bulls for the full game, but I tend to agree with your lean of the Bulls pushing it to 6 games.

I have CHI 1Q -1 at Pinnacle but for -125... Expensive, but I think it's a winner.

NB: I need to get better at SQL queries...

[d2bets]

I agree. Took some -1 early and then also played a bunch of the first to (10,15,20,25,30) points.

[a4u2fear]

I took them 1H, feel safer about that. I did same with Thunder last night and it paid off.

[ManBearPig]

Ya it's easy to get carried away but you look at this and it's pretty cut and dry if you analyze the situation. The Bulls haven't lost 3 games all season if I recall and one wouldn't expect them to lose 4, but it is called gambling for a reason.

I just went with the Bulls ML and 1Q as well as a PL for the under and the ML so we'll see.

[suicidekings]

Ya it's easy to get carried away but you look at this and it's pretty cut and dry if you analyze the situation. The Bulls haven't lost 3 games all season if I recall and one wouldn't expect them to lose 4, but it is called gambling for a reason.

I just went with the Bulls ML and 1Q as well as a PL for the under and the ML so we'll see.

If the Bulls take a significant lead in the 1Q, I will strongly consider a play on the larger Heat ML in live betting. Bulls might win the game by 10 but regardless of the final score, I would be shocked if the game isn't close at some point later on.

[suicidekings]

Deng was the difference for us. Nice early hit. I was really hoping the Bulls were going to walk out of the 1Q with a 8-10 point lead to build some value in the MIA line, but oh well.

[d2bets]

Good call.

[runnershane14]

good call there

[runnershane14]

and good luck to you in the future

[suicidekings]

MBP (or anyone else): What am I doing wrong here?

Trying to get the results from Bulls games only but it's returning games for all teams...

4<=Bulls:margin after the first and season=2010

[lucky888gunz]

Thanks mbp

[ManBearPig]

MBP (or anyone else): What am I doing wrong here? Trying to get the results from Bulls games only but it's returning games for all teams...

I think this is what you're going for...Margin after the 1Q for the season. SDQL

[suicidekings]

I think this is what you're going for...Margin after the 1Q for the season. SDQL

Ah... perfect. Thank you.

[Love The Action]

Thanks for your contribution MBP. Much appreciated.

[ManBearPig]

Just here to win money...and then give it all back.

[suicidekings]

If the Bulls take a significant lead in the 1Q, I will strongly consider a play on the larger Heat ML in live betting. Bulls might win the game by 10 but regardless of the final score, I would be shocked if the game isn't close at some point later on.

I had a MIA +2500 available late in the game with the Bulls up 10 and said to myself, "no... that's impossible."