Best Bets 3/21

[Illusion]

Who do you guys like for today?

I will track everybodies plays, so please make sure you post a line.

Also, I don't mind if you post parlays, teasers, or round robins, but these plays will not be reflected in the standings.

[Razz]

1* LA Clippers @ NOK Hornets Under 187.5

[Alamorich]

1* LA Clippers @ NOK Hornets Under 187.5

You have been deadly on your NBA totals Razz...you keeping track of your record?

[Razz]

I'll have it updated at the end of the week. I've got everything saved on my computer at home. I've been out of town, and am going home Wednesday morning. I know I haven't lost an "Over" this year in four chances, but not sure about the overall record offhand.

[Alamorich]

I have not been playing NBA totals much...thing is you have to mix in unders too and they are not fun to play plus I had this stretch where I got OTed about 4 times in the same week.

This is just an observation but seems like when you see a crazy high total like 213 that play will go over easy. BMs know it really is going to be high scoring and are really trying to get money on the under. Same thing with a crazy low total like 170..BMs know it gonna really be low and they are trying to get money on the over. On those if extreme totals your best to not think about it to much and just play over the big number and under the low number.

[Jay Edgar]

NBA Tuesday

WAS (#12) by 2.5 over NJ (#10)
CHA (#24) by 2.2 over ORL (#18)
NY (#20) by 3.0 over TOR (#21)
DAL (#4) by 11.8 over HOU (#29)
MIN (#15) by 0.5 over MIA (#6)
MEM (#5) by 7.7 over IND (#25)*
LAC (#11) by 3.5 over NOK (#30)
SA (#3) by 7.5 over GS (#19)
SAC (#2) by 9.3 over SEA (#22)
PHX (#7) by 3.2 over UTH (#27)

* what in hell happened to the Pacers? Wow.

[slacker00]

Minnesota +8 1/2 (at Cincy)
South Carolina +3 (at Florida State)

Anyone else have any thoughts on these two NIT games?

[Alamorich]

I am working on the NBA card...seems to be a few live dogs on this one.

Nets +3.5

Good team getting points. This is going to be a playoff preview..both teams going to want to flex their muscles. Always like taking the points in this type of game. Nets have been a drain on my bankroll however and probably a drain on yours. They are steaky and happen to be on a good streak at the moment.

Timbewolves +4

Miami is a horrible 3-7 ATS in March and they may be looking a head to their game with Detroit on Wednesday. The Detroit game is huge for the Heat. They know they need to send a message to Detroit and have to prove to themselves that they can beat the Pistons in their house since that's what they're going to have to do if they want to go all the way (which they won't).

Indiana +5

Indiana's ATS numbers are crazy. 15-5 second half of season. 19-8 non-comference games, 11-1 playing team with winning record in second half of season 8-1 vs good defensive teams. This should be a buzzer beater game.

Golden State +11

Spurs need to keep winning but don't need to cover the spread. Spurs have been cash burners all season. I can see Coach playing his studs just long enough to get the W.

Seattle +10

Sacramento has been on fire since the AllStar break but they are just getting back from a long road trip and many teams play flat on their first game back plus Seattle has won 5 of L8 SU so they are at least putting up a fight lately.

To put it in a nutshell...these are the winning dogs...all the other favorites should cover. See you guys in the morning.

[adriano]

i like one dog you didn't mention Rich, and that is the losers of 3 straight home games by a combined 42, yes, the McGradyless Houston Rockets.
Oh and they lost only 3 times to DAl this season, by 9(away), 24 and 14(home).
When i see these kind of stats i always think about some kind of reaction. Add to that DAl are tired, played 7 games last 12 day(6 on the road) to HOU's 4. And DAL are missing 4 good players last few games.

HOU +12

[Jay Edgar]

Solid analysis, Alamo. Keep that sh*t coming. I'm damn near persuaded on all of them.

[Dark Horse]

Sea +10

Big game for SAC, but not nearly as big as the game the next night, on the road against the Lakers. (Take LAL for that one). Would be hard not to peek ahead just a little bit. Not sure where the books get a 10 pt spread here, other than 'home stretch' stuff. Sticking with DD dogs.

[Adamo]

1* GSW +11
1* Seattle +10
0.5* Hous/Dallas O 177.5
1* Hous/Dallas O 176
1.5* Suns -6.5 (Best Bet)
1.5* Suns -6
1.5* MIA -4
1.5* WWIZ -3.5
2* GSW/SAS O 188.5 (Best Bet)

[Illusion]

Yesterday's results:

imgv94: 5-0 +9.11
Illusion: 2-0 +6.03
Alamorich: 5-0 +6.00
Adamo: 4-0 +6.00
ORO1960: 2-0 +2.00
the boss: 1-0 +1.00
El Guapo: 1-0 +1.00
Jay Edgar: 2-2 +0.96
Razz: 1-2 -0.20
juuso: 0-1 -1.01
Dark Horse: 0-1 -1.10

[imgv94]

5* SUNS -5
3*Clippers -2.5
2*Sonics +10.5
2*Knicks +2

12 units up for grabs!!

[imgv94]

5* SUNS -5
3*Clippers -2.5
2*Sonics +10.5
2*Knicks +2

12 units up for grabs!!

adding:
1* Clippers/Hornets Under 188
1* Wizards -3.5

[El Guapo]

19-20-2

1 unit, New jerseyNets +3.5 (-111)
1 unit, Golden State Wariors +11 (-113)

Paul

[Alamorich]

i like one dog you didn't mention Rich, and that is the losers of 3 straight home games by a combined 42, yes, the McGradyless Houston Rockets.
Oh and they lost only 3 times to DAl this season, by 9(away), 24 and 14(home).
When i see these kind of stats i always think about some kind of reaction. Add to that DAl are tired, played 7 games last 12 day(6 on the road) to HOU's 4. And DAL are missing 4 good players last few games.

HOU +12

Houston has been a good PLAY ON team when on the road for me all season and a good PLAY AGAINST team at home. Mavericks are really banged up and are looking to rest guys when ever they can. I can easily see Houston mucking up this game and covering the number for you AD.

[Alamorich]

Solid analysis, Alamo. Keep that sh*t coming. I'm damn near persuaded on all of them.

Be carefull Jay...I'm a salesman..I can sell you anything..LOL

[Alamorich]

Yesterday's results:

imgv94: 5-0 +9.11
Illusion: 2-0 +6.03
Alamorich: 5-0 +6.00
Adamo: 4-0 +6.00
ORO1960: 2-0 +2.00
the boss: 1-0 +1.00
El Guapo: 1-0 +1.00
Jay Edgar: 2-2 +0.96
Razz: 1-2 -0.20
juuso: 0-1 -1.01
Dark Horse: 0-1 -1.10

When the SBR Hall Of Fame committe meets to consider my enshrinment I don't want them to put me in The Hall based on record keeping errors. I was 5-1 for the record...lol

[Alamorich]

Did you know Orlando has lost a franchise record 15 straight road games?

[Alamorich]

Suns -5 2U
NY/Toronto O210 2U

Houston +12
Knicks +2
Seattle +10
Indiana +5
Clippers -2
Clippers U188.5

Parlay
Charlotte ML
Suns ML

Let's gamble damn it!

[bostonceltics13]

Heat -4.5 (15 of 16 wins for Heat, Minn lost 6 straight before one win in their last game)

Bobcats -2 (Magic are struggling as of late. Bobcats have young talent. Bobcats should cover)

These are my handicappers plays tonight and I agree. Good luck to all.

[Illusion]

Sacramento -9 -105 (2 units)
Phoenix -6.5 +111 (3 units)

[Illusion]

Cincinnati -8.5 +108 (4 units)

[Winston Smith]

Did you know Orlando has lost a franchise record 15 straight road games?

Yes, and the line has swung 3 points in their favor without a stong concensus their way.

[BigD]

NBA

Wiz-3.5 2units
Heat-5 2units
Suns-6.5 2units

NIT
Cincy-7 3units
South Carolina +3 2units

[Dark Horse]

Final:
MEM -5
SEA +10

[Jay Edgar]

late to the party . . .

o194.5 @ MIN
u 189 @ NOK
SEA +9.5

and
2H WAS -3.5


PHX? Would if I could.

[darkghost]

Big drop in the Cincy game... I'll bite.

Cinn -7 1 unit

adding

2H Knicks pk (currently +112@pinny) 1unit

[imgv94]

Hey guys please root in So.Carolina in this game. I have a parlay from
Hofstra ML to SC. It is paying +840.. root me in

[Jay Edgar]

Hey guys please root in So.Carolina in this game. I have a parlay from
Hofstra ML to SC. It is paying +840.. root me in

do you need them SU?

[imgv94]

do you need them SU?

yes sir!!

[Dark Horse]

Final:
MEM -5
SEA +10

Adding
LAC 2H -5 +100

[Jay Edgar]

late to the party . . .
o194.5 @ MIN

Oh my god -- anybody who happened to have this with me, give a little shout of appreciation for Dick Bavetta. I think Dick had the over also.

[Alamorich]

Recap

Suns -5 2U Pending
NY/Toronto O210 2U Win

Houston +12 Lost
Knicks +2 Lost
Seattle +10 Pending
Indiana +5 Lost
Clippers -2 Lost
Clippers U188.5 Lost

Parlay
Charlotte ML
Suns ML Pending

I can still make a buck tonight believe it or not.