Is anyone on the over tonight? Seriously...

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  • RoagBettor
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-20-09
    • 8355

    #1
    Is anyone on the over tonight? Seriously...
    I can't find anyone on the over, it seems like every service, every thread is on the under. I know the under is the "sharp" play with an expected better defensive effort tonight, and the RLM supports it, but geez I'd like to at least see someone on the over!
  • broadway6
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-14-09
    • 13337

    #2
    i would rather see your avatar up close
    Comment
    • RoagBettor
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-20-09
      • 8355

      #3
      Originally posted by broadway6
      i would rather see your avatar up close
      LOL, you and everyone else. My wife, Sonja Bettor, is pretty high maintenance though (aren't they all?).
      Comment
      • sportfan
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-22-09
        • 10111

        #4
        under is death lock , pound on it
        Comment
        • JR007
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-21-10
          • 5279

          #5
          Not completely convinced......read on
          ...6 of the last 8.....gone over...including last 3...between these teams.......8 of 12 so far for dallas in playoffs over..OKC 6 of 9 over
          Comment
          • STAY STRONG
            SBR MVP
            • 03-07-10
            • 2498

            #6
            I just ate 4 fish tacos, so I am good to go.
            Comment
            • Love The Action
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-08-10
              • 10952

              #7
              Originally posted by JR007
              Not completely convinced......read on
              ...6 of the last 8.....gone over...including last 3...between these teams.......8 of 12 so far for dallas in playoffs over..OKC 6 of 9 over
              Means nothing...

              This is the playoffs where those types of trends don't matter as much. Look at game 3 of OKC/Memphis, the first two games sailed over the total and the previous regular season games did as well, however, in that game 3, the under hit easily despite OT.

              Roag - the under will cash tonight. I don't care who else is on it, Lang or any other bullshit tout. Every blind squirrel gets a nut and they will get theirs tonight. I love this play. Just ask yourself, if you really think OKC's bench will score 50 points and shoot over 65% tonight? You had three players (Collison, Cook and Perkins) hit all of their shots and Harden and Maynor shot over 80%. I just think the Mavs make some defensive adjustments and ramp up the intensity, while OKC shoots worse but also plays tough D, and this game stays under the posted total.

              I also like Dallas, despite a lot of other really good, well established cappers like OKC. Dallas is a veteran team that knows how to win on the road. As long as they return to their strong D that they played all season, they should at least cover the 3, if not win outright, in a game that stays under. Good luck with whatever you choose.
              Comment
              • SportsPedagogy
                SBR MVP
                • 02-13-11
                • 3691

                #8
                Im on the over. Over 199. The Thunder are a young team, they will try for a tighter defense, but i think there natural tendencies will take over in the heat of the moment. Best of luck tho
                Comment
                • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-17-08
                  • 928

                  #9
                  Everybody knows when everybody is on the same play on SBR, to play the other side. It's just common knowledge.

                  OVER.
                  Comment
                  • ponyshowdown
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-07-10
                    • 317

                    #10
                    The public is on the over.
                    Comment
                    • RoagBettor
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-20-09
                      • 8355

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                      Means nothing...

                      This is the playoffs where those types of trends don't matter as much. Look at game 3 of OKC/Memphis, the first two games sailed over the total and the previous regular season games did as well, however, in that game 3, the under hit easily despite OT.

                      Roag - the under will cash tonight. I don't care who else is on it, Lang or any other bullshit tout. Every blind squirrel gets a nut and they will get theirs tonight. I love this play. Just ask yourself, if you really think OKC's bench will score 50 points and shoot over 65% tonight? You had three players (Collison, Cook and Perkins) hit all of their shots and Harden and Maynor shot over 80%. I just think the Mavs make some defensive adjustments and ramp up the intensity, while OKC shoots worse but also plays tough D, and this game stays under the posted total.

                      I also like Dallas, despite a lot of other really good, well established cappers like OKC. Dallas is a veteran team that knows how to win on the road. As long as they return to their strong D that they played all season, they should at least cover the 3, if not win outright, in a game that stays under. Good luck with whatever you choose.
                      LTA, I read your writeup on this game and I can't argue with one single point. My only "concern" is that OKC knows they can't get into a halfcourt game with Dallas, so if they're able to push the pace and make shots I could see it possibly going over again as unlikely as it seems. I don't have a play on this game, I'm going to wait to see if a 2H opportunity presents itself.

                      Good luck tonight, I hope it cashes for you guys.
                      Comment
                      • JR007
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-21-10
                        • 5279

                        #12
                        short turnaround time......between this and the last game.....how many defensive adjustments can these teams make....we shall see
                        Comment
                        • BallHog
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 05-11-11
                          • 137

                          #13
                          I'm on the Over
                          On it in Gm 1 n 2
                          It done me well I will continue to ride on it .

                          The worst thing u can do is follow all the losers.
                          Just do what feels rite to you bud!
                          Comment
                          • noles79
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-05-10
                            • 804

                            #14
                            i am on the over too. think okc will be pumped in there building. goin with okc -2.5 and over bol
                            Comment
                            • SportsPedagogy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-13-11
                              • 3691

                              #15
                              hmmm .. it appears the Public is pounding the over. Interesting. They are also pounding Dallas money line a bit more on Dallas Spread the OKC Spread.
                              Comment
                              • lunchbawks
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-31-10
                                • 12873

                                #16
                                The line dropped 5 points.

                                Hammer the over! that's the 5 pt rule
                                Comment
                                • JR007
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-21-10
                                  • 5279

                                  #17
                                  right
                                  Comment
                                  • politicin
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-14-11
                                    • 1647

                                    #18
                                    covers has all the experts but 3 on the over... im on under
                                    Comment
                                    • RoagBettor
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-20-09
                                      • 8355

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by politicin
                                      covers has all the experts but 3 on the over... im on under
                                      The last game Covers Experts were 13-1 for the over and it hit. OKC not making shots, good start for the under.
                                      Comment
                                      • noles79
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-05-10
                                        • 804

                                        #20
                                        wow 12 pts for okc first quarter. alot more basketball left hope they get hot.
                                        Comment
                                        • politicin
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-14-11
                                          • 1647

                                          #21
                                          under looking locked up
                                          Comment
                                          • Jago2008
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-18-11
                                            • 3047

                                            #22
                                            12 points in the first quarter for OKC, 0-16 on 3 pt shots... Under has served well.

                                            I know they've scored over 200 pts in consecutive matchups, but half court offense is slower (generally) in the playoffs, you had to expect this game would be under, furthermore on 2 days rest after the track-meet they've had.

                                            With that said, on a unrelated note, despite how poorly these two teams have shot, they should still exceed the 178 over line for tomorrow, something to consider- as Miami is similar in offensive scheme to OKC. Depends on how CHI will respond defensively.
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                              Means nothing...

                                              This is the playoffs where those types of trends don't matter as much. Look at game 3 of OKC/Memphis, the first two games sailed over the total and the previous regular season games did as well, however, in that game 3, the under hit easily despite OT.

                                              Roag - the under will cash tonight. I don't care who else is on it, Lang or any other bullshit tout. Every blind squirrel gets a nut and they will get theirs tonight. I love this play. Just ask yourself, if you really think OKC's bench will score 50 points and shoot over 65% tonight? You had three players (Collison, Cook and Perkins) hit all of their shots and Harden and Maynor shot over 80%. I just think the Mavs make some defensive adjustments and ramp up the intensity, while OKC shoots worse but also plays tough D, and this game stays under the posted total.

                                              I also like Dallas, despite a lot of other really good, well established cappers like OKC. Dallas is a veteran team that knows how to win on the road. As long as they return to their strong D that they played all season, they should at least cover the 3, if not win outright, in a game that stays under. Good luck with whatever you choose.
                                              Comment
                                              • RoagBettor
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-20-09
                                                • 8355

                                                #24


                                                Your analysis was spot on! Great call.
                                                Comment
                                                • JR007
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-21-10
                                                  • 5279

                                                  #25
                                                  Yes, it won ...great call...but tough to ignore.....major drop in the total.....from 202 to 198.5....if you took it at gametime the value was gone.....if you look at such things......
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jago2008
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-18-11
                                                    • 3047

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Jago2008
                                                    12 points in the first quarter for OKC, 0-16 on 3 pt shots... Under has served well.

                                                    I know they've scored over 200 pts in consecutive matchups, but half court offense is slower (generally) in the playoffs, you had to expect this game would be under, furthermore on 2 days rest after the track-meet they've had.

                                                    With that said, on a unrelated note, despite how poorly these two teams have shot, they should still exceed the 178 over line for tomorrow, something to consider- as Miami is similar in offensive scheme to OKC. Depends on how CHI will respond defensively.
                                                    Cash it in gentlemen, I called this over on Thurs. . 96-85 was a close one @ that!

                                                    $$$$ up $700 2night.
                                                    Comment
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