Dal/Okc game 3

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  • The Coach's Desk
    SBR MVP
    • 04-16-11
    • 1917

    #1
    Dal/Okc game 3
    Dal/Okc u 200.5

    Significant reverse line movement here
    only 28% of the $$ on the under but total dropped 1.5 points from 202
    heavy money on the under here
    some books shade the under at -115 most are at -110
    Last game saw total score drop from 235 in game 1 to 206 in game 2
    game 2 second half was low scoring as well only 90 total points
    I think this series is shifting to the def. end....and IMO scoring should be harder to come by

    Also keep eye on side total
    48% of public on Dal and line coming down
    from 3 to 2.5
    This trend continues and we lean Dal +points

    BOL
  • migz
    SBR MVP
    • 02-11-10
    • 1160

    #2
    Actually, 56% on Dal side.
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #3
      Originally posted by migz
      Actually, 56% on Dal side.
      Depends on where you look...I see different numbers at different outs, but they are all pretty much within the 45%-55% range. That's really not that significant though.

      I also love the under here, and jumped on it for 10x at 202. Good luck all!
      Comment
      • spongerat
        SBR MVP
        • 10-01-08
        • 2023

        #4
        where is 28% on the under? I'm seeing a huge majority 80%ish on the under
        Comment
        • The Coach's Desk
          SBR MVP
          • 04-16-11
          • 1917

          #5
          Vegas insider.com
          30% on the under now
          Comment
          • thejrichshow85
            Restricted User
            • 06-15-08
            • 3342

            #6
            okc is going to explode in this game durant will have 30+ westbrook will have a near triple double and the thunder will win 111-94
            Comment
            • rapidfire5
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-25-11
              • 516

              #7
              Jose Bautista
              Comment
              • headhunter34
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-11-10
                • 242

                #8
                okc always has a huge home court advantage with their crowd goin nuts. i think they win game 3 by 5
                Comment
                • AikenJ
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 04-30-11
                  • 130

                  #9
                  I'm personally gonna play the over. I'm feelin Jason Terry comin' out gunz blazin
                  Comment
                  • hankcream
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-30-10
                    • 2049

                    #10
                    Under today & over tomorrow,
                    Comment
                    • hankcream
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-30-10
                      • 2049

                      #11
                      Under today & over tomorrow in the MIA / Chi game.
                      Comment
                      • Love The Action
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 10952

                        #12
                        Originally posted by spongerat
                        where is 28% on the under? I'm seeing a huge majority 80%ish on the under

                        I think the better question is where you see 80% on the under. Sportsinsights, Sportspy, Scores/Odds, VegasInsider and Covers/BetUS all havef the majority of total bets being on the over (all of them 68% and up).

                        Where are you looking?
                        Comment
                        • The Coach's Desk
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-16-11
                          • 1917

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                          Depends on where you look...I see different numbers at different outs, but they are all pretty much within the 45%-55% range. That's really not that significant though.

                          I also love the under here, and jumped on it for 10x at 202. Good luck all!
                          LTA I respect your opinions..I should have listened to you on your advice about game 1 over trend in this yrs. NBA playoffs
                          Im with you on the under tonight
                          GL
                          Comment
                          • Love The Action
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 10952

                            #14
                            Originally posted by The Coach's Desk
                            LTA I respect your opinions..I should have listened to you on your advice about game 1 over trend in this yrs. NBA playoffs
                            Im with you on the under tonight
                            GL

                            Same here...you always have solid plays. Let's get this under!
                            Comment
                            • jacer333
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-03-11
                              • 361

                              #15
                              Hopefully these teams finally realize it is the WCF and we see a little defense tonight. I am on the under again and need to get back my losses from getting burned in Dallas on the totals.
                              Comment
                              • Firefox14
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-09-10
                                • 257

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Love The Action
                                I think the better question is where you see 80% on the under. Sportsinsights, Sportspy, Scores/Odds, VegasInsider and Covers/BetUS all havef the majority of total bets being on the over (all of them 68% and up).

                                Where are you looking?

                                I believe he's referring to the opening line movement. You can see it on sbr lines. Roughly 83% on the under at 202. It began leveling out around 200 1/2.
                                Comment
                                • Deggs
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-09-11
                                  • 242

                                  #17
                                  pass on the totals and bet on OKC.
                                  Comment
                                  • Love The Action
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 10952

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Firefox14
                                    I believe he's referring to the opening line movement. You can see it on sbr lines. Roughly 83% on the under at 202. It began leveling out around 200 1/2.
                                    Thanks...but remember, SBR odds only provides betting percentages from 5Dimes so that's not a comprehensive representation of the action at all the books. Plus, if the early money was on the under, that is a good thing. Generally, the only people betting openers are sharps. The public money on the over comes today. The sharp money on the under came yesterday....
                                    Comment
                                    • TheAccountant
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-03-09
                                      • 658

                                      #19
                                      OKC wins this one right?
                                      Comment
                                      • zogdog
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-29-10
                                        • 755

                                        #20
                                        I think Dallas wins this... I think they're simply the better team. This is almost a must win for Dallas because they do not want to face the prospect of going down 3-1 with game 4 at OKC as well.
                                        Comment
                                        • smarsh816
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-16-10
                                          • 184

                                          #21
                                          u guy keep talking bout the d these 2 teams dont play great d u guys are talking about these teams like they are the heat and bulls they win by scoring not playing d this game goes over the mavs live off the 3 they will hit around 10-15 and then the thunder will hit 5-10 maybe more
                                          Comment
                                          • TheDane
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-09-11
                                            • 642

                                            #22
                                            I still see more offense.
                                            Comment
                                            • jureslo
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 01-12-10
                                              • 467

                                              #23
                                              On Oklahoma today.
                                              Comment
                                              • Pivotpoint
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-02-06
                                                • 1762

                                                #24
                                                I'm going to take Dallas tonight. Just enough to keep it interesting, Dallas + 2 1/2 2x. Went back and forth on this one and I think one could make a decent arguement for either side. Even though it's not much, when in doubt, I'll take the points.
                                                Bottom line, trends point slightly to Dallas to bounce back off a loss as a fav, getting points. Thunder strong at home, Mavs tough on the road. I agree that Dallas is a better "team" and experience should help them bounce back. I believe Dirk will have a better game and don't believe Harden will have a repeat. Very concerned about how Westbrook will be mentally. They need him to win and I worry he will try to prove something tonight. Great potential, but he get's out of control and really needs to grow up. Dallas got here by playing strong "D" and I might put a small play on the under. Makes sense if you like the under to make a small bet and parlay it with Dallas on the ML. Glta, this is what I'm going with. Love the Bulls getting +5 on Sunday.
                                                Dallas + 2.5 2x
                                                Dallas ml +120 / Dallas un 200 1x
                                                Comment
                                                • supr_villn
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 02-16-11
                                                  • 990

                                                  #25
                                                  i just hit ridiculous on shackleford !
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fed_42420
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-12-09
                                                    • 976

                                                    #26
                                                    most money is on the under, just because the majority is taking the over doesnt mean that is where the big money is
                                                    Comment
                                                    • J Boom
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 02-19-11
                                                      • 48

                                                      #27
                                                      over again
                                                      Comment
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