I'm basically a trend follower in the market. When I can jump on a trend and also receive value at the same time, I always win more than I lose. Is it a lock? No way, but odds are in my favor. Looking at some power rankings and considering the Home court, I believe the Bulls should be laying 4. I have other sources, but check Sag., ratings for example to verify this statement.
I know that many believe that great teams (Miami) won't have two bad games in a row. Maybe. The fact of the matter is that the Bulls are even stronger than I imagined off a win at home and the Heat are weaker than expected off a loss on the road.
Trends-
Bulls 19 - 1 Straight Up off Home Win
Bulls 13 - 7 ATS off Home win. Bulls layed some serious lumber during the season and it's important to note that 6 of those 7 (ats) losses came as Double Digit favorites.
Heat 0-4 ATS/SU as Road Dog off a loss.
Bulls 4-0 ATS/SU Ytd against Heat.
Everybody has posted what they believe is going to happen with the individual stars. Who knows and it's basically a coin flip. Hell, I'm nervous that Lebron could go off, but Coach T has proven he has the ability to make adjustments. Good coaches always make strong adjustments at the half. Remember GM 1, 2nd half? Spolestra seems like a deer in the spotlights and I see no reason to fear that he can out coach Thibodeau. Do you? Can you in good faith argue that the Heat Bench will see significant improvement tonight against the Bulls Bench? Who will step up besides the big Three? Can the Heat rival the Bulls Prowess on the glass after being outrebounded a shocking 45-33 in game 1 ?
I just added to my Bulls wager - 2. It's still -2 at my book, but moving to 2 1/2 at most places. If you want to fade me, wait till you can grab the heat + 2 1/2. But , remember the trend is not your friend.
I know that many believe that great teams (Miami) won't have two bad games in a row. Maybe. The fact of the matter is that the Bulls are even stronger than I imagined off a win at home and the Heat are weaker than expected off a loss on the road.
Trends-
Bulls 19 - 1 Straight Up off Home Win
Bulls 13 - 7 ATS off Home win. Bulls layed some serious lumber during the season and it's important to note that 6 of those 7 (ats) losses came as Double Digit favorites.
Heat 0-4 ATS/SU as Road Dog off a loss.
Bulls 4-0 ATS/SU Ytd against Heat.
Everybody has posted what they believe is going to happen with the individual stars. Who knows and it's basically a coin flip. Hell, I'm nervous that Lebron could go off, but Coach T has proven he has the ability to make adjustments. Good coaches always make strong adjustments at the half. Remember GM 1, 2nd half? Spolestra seems like a deer in the spotlights and I see no reason to fear that he can out coach Thibodeau. Do you? Can you in good faith argue that the Heat Bench will see significant improvement tonight against the Bulls Bench? Who will step up besides the big Three? Can the Heat rival the Bulls Prowess on the glass after being outrebounded a shocking 45-33 in game 1 ?
I just added to my Bulls wager - 2. It's still -2 at my book, but moving to 2 1/2 at most places. If you want to fade me, wait till you can grab the heat + 2 1/2. But , remember the trend is not your friend.
lets get it!
