Grizzlies -3.5 in Game 3

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Grizzlies -3.5 in Game 3
    Oklahoma City won in a must-win game last night but when the series heads to Memphis, the Grizz will get back on track. Grizzlies or no play for me.
  • BettingWizard
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-28-09
    • 6522

    #2
    Thunder win. Hope it goes to 4 and above
    Comment
    • jacer333
      Restricted User
      • 01-03-11
      • 361

      #3
      More like the Thunder got back on track...if OKC brings the same intensity in the paint and on the boards as last night, they will win easily. OKC is simply a much better shooting team, and Memphis can't match that. Z-Bo will have to go insane again for Memphis to win.
      Comment
      • ramones951
        SBR MVP
        • 12-23-08
        • 2356

        #4
        I like the Grizzlies -3.5 at home here.... They can hang with OKC and they play well at home
        Comment
        • t-wizzle
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-18-09
          • 38099

          #5
          Thunder are too much of a perimeter-oriented team. They might still win this series and if i had to pick, i'd say they will. But the Grizzlies are a much more well-rounded team. The Thunder will do what they did last night from time to time because that's how it goes for teams that shoot so much from the outside.
          Comment
          • djpremier36
            SBR MVP
            • 12-11-08
            • 3479

            #6
            Leaning Grizz as well. Really like how their bench has played vs. OKC's bench.
            Comment
            • t-wizzle
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-18-09
              • 38099

              #7
              Line is now 3. Still like the Grizz
              Comment
              • suicidekings
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 9962

                #8
                Just booked Grizz -2.5 (-109) at Pinnacle.

                Looking at the line movement since release, the Grizzlies received the early love (in the first hour) on both the ML and spread, but since then the Thunder line has been dropping for 3 days without really reaching equilibrium (at Pinnacle & Greek). This is abnormal and not a good sign for Thunder backers.

                When a line doesn't reach equilibrium and the betting %s are lopsided, it means the market is content with the bet distribution. They're not concerned about the Thunder getting 3 points. If late money hammers the Grizzlies I'll be 95% convinced that Memphis wins this game. But you know... it's the NBA so some magic might happen.
                Comment
                • t-wizzle
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-18-09
                  • 38099

                  #9
                  SK, do you think sbr odds is accurate as far as the pinnacle line movement? It says pinny opened at 4, then dropped to 3.5. Meanwhile, shops such as the Greek and 5Dimes opened at 3 and went up to 3.5 before coming back to 3.
                  Comment
                  • suicidekings
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 9962

                    #10
                    It was never 4. It opened at The Greek at 3, moved to 3.5 because Bookmaker was at 3.5, and then opened at Pinnacle at 3.5 half an hour after the Greek/BM openers. Since then the movement has been one way.
                    Comment
                    • thericker7
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-18-10
                      • 340

                      #11
                      I'm all over it no matter what. Mem will win this game by 5.
                      Comment
                      • boddyw68
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 03-01-11
                        • 40

                        #12
                        go thunder
                        Comment
                        • t-wizzle
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 38099

                          #13
                          Line has dropped to 2.5 at pinnacle. Not a good sign for memphis backers but the ML hasn't moved since the spread dropped...
                          Comment
                          • PayDay
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 08-19-10
                            • 104

                            #14
                            look like people is fading okc...
                            Comment
                            • suicidekings
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-23-09
                              • 9962

                              #15
                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                              Line has dropped to 2.5 at pinnacle. Not a good sign for memphis backers but the ML hasn't moved since the spread dropped...
                              We'll see how it closes. I kind of doubt that there's big late money coming in on the Thunder at the worst line that's been available all week.
                              Comment
                              • StanleySharp
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-20-11
                                • 645

                                #16
                                I think this series will go 7 games ... I'm backing Memphis today as well

                                BOL t-wizz
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  Memphis 1st half
                                  Comment
                                  • t-wizzle
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-18-09
                                    • 38099

                                    #18
                                    Memphis gonna pull this out?
                                    Comment
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