Harvard Leans: C's to take the series +270, Game 2 +180

[chrisharvard01]

I remember when BOS was around +5000 last year to win it all when they were down 2-1 to CLEV. They lost in 7 to the LAL, nearly winning it all.

Forget that BOS won 3 of 4 in the regular season-- There is a lot of value in BOS, here. I had this series going 4-1 BOSTON. I was suprised to see BOSTON lose game 1.

After losing game 1, they are an absolute play for the series at this price (+270). I have 1.5 units on the series offshore. Going to throw a unit on game 2 once it opens here in LV, wasnt open earlier tonight.

GL



Head to Head trends (just fyi):

Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
Celtics are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
Favorite is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
Celtics are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings in Miami.

[mann2chc]

Miami got 2 early fathers day gifts yesterday... Wide open shots for james jones and pierce's early exit... That shouldnt happen for the rest of this series!!!

[chrisharvard01]

This has been an unfortunate series for the CELTICS. Agree or not (which I'm sure you disagree) the HEAT are playing out of their minds these first two games. When they aren't scoring a bucket against BOSTON, they're getting fouled.

THIS SERIES, they're playing the way we wish they were when the HEAT lost their first game and WADE said "Sorry to everyone that thought we were going to go 82-0".

Was anyone praising how dominate the HEAT were playing (2-3 ATS) the lowley the SIXERS???

If the HEAT win the series, at this point- I will not be shocked. BOS is really showing their age, here. The C's were good value after losing game 1. But this s_hit was "supposed" to happen. The home team is supposed to win 1 & 2. If the C's go down 3-0, or 3-1 they're finished.

Dare I say, theres still a small value in the C's for game 3. I imagine it will be in the 400's.

[chrisharvard01]

Dare I say, theres still a small value in the C's for game 3. I imagine it will be in the 400's.

I mean the series, not game 3 in the 400s

[thebestthereis]

if you are watching the games you know the celtics cannot win. matchup wise they are too slow and the heat are too athletic with wade and james the two best players on the court. that being said the celtics may find a way to neutralize this this but since the fix is in by the nba and the officials for the heat to be in the finals that nearly skyrockets the odds to 1000 to 1. good luck if you give it a shot.