Middling opportunity - Teasers are in season...

[suicidekings]

I have a 6 team (+700) teaser that's closing out today with Pacers +14.5 as the final leg, risking one unit to win seven units. I feel like this is a pretty high value play on it's own, however being completely convinced that the Bulls win this game, I feel like this situation is offering me a substantial opportunity to middle it.

I'm tempted to play another 3 team teaser for either 3tm/7pt for (-120) or 3tm/4.5pt for (+180) that would offer me the Bulls at -1.5 or -4 respectively. With several other options available to use as the second and third options that are also strong plays, I'm pretty sure that today and tomorrow are offering extremely high value options for teasers. I'm not normally a big teaser player but Tuesday/Wednesday look like goldmines to me. I'm currently leaning towards (7pt/4.5pt):

Bulls -1.5 / -4
Heat -3.5 / -6
Thunder +0.5 / -2

but am also considering:

Grizzlies +13.5 / +11
Mavs +11.5 / +9
Hawks +14 / +11.5

as possible 2nd/3rd legs and could even step up to a 4/5/6 teamer for even better odds. The teams are listed in the order than I like them and I guess I'm asking where I'm misjudging a team's chances. Do any of these teams teased 7 points lose? Teased 4 points?

How do at least three of these selections not equal free money?

[The_Kid]

I think Portland could blow out Dallas at home in Game 6. I like the first teaser a lot, but if anything, I think the Mavs make me hesitant.

[No coincidences]

I think Portland could blow out Dallas at home in Game 6. I like the first teaser a lot, but if anything, I think the Mavs make me hesitant.

Portland is losing Game 6.

[Vulcan300]

portland blow out, ha. jokes.

[HoulihansTX]

How about just laying the 8.5, and not beating your head in.

[RoagBettor]

My biggest teaser of the season is a 3 team/8 pointer with Bulls, Lakers and Heat. Good luck tonight.

[suicidekings]

I elected to split it up into two wagers.

7pt tease (+300): Bulls -1.5, Hawks +14, Heat -3.5, Grizz +13.5, Thunder +0.5, Mavs +11.5.
1u to win 3u

4.5pt tease (+700): Bulls -4, Hawks +11.5, Heat -6, Grizz +11, Thunder -2, Mavs +9.
1u to win 7u

Really these are just for fun. I suspect the Pacers +14.5 will work out and even if the Bulls pull away late, I suspect there will be a significant chance to hit a discounted Bulls ML during the game as the Pacers will leave it all on the floor tonight, hoping to get back to Indiana.

[suicidekings]

How about just laying the 8.5, and not beating your head in.

Because laying -8.5 is better than the original -11, but still doesn't offer enough for me to bite. I'm still going to be watching and waiting for the live ML to present itself.

[No coincidences]

Bulls cover tonight SK.

[suicidekings]

Bulls cover tonight SK.

Probably. However I still maintain that the best value on the Bulls tonight will be obtained in-game.

[No coincidences]

Probably. However I still maintain that the best value on the Bulls tonight will be obtained in-game.

Meaning you think they'll start slow?

[suicidekings]

Meaning you think they'll start slow?

The Bulls have had 4 chances to start fast and didn't. The Pacers have been amazing in the first half. I think Bulls 2H regardless of the line will likely be a great bet as the Bulls close out the series.

[No coincidences]

What'd you end up doing SK? Hopefully you hedged in some way.