Rationale for under
The last time these teams met at Detroit the game went over (193, 100-93). The over won't cash in two consecutive matches in Detroit. The reason for the over then was that Magic got 29 and 36 in 1Q and 3Q, respectively. Recall that in that match, Magic scored 11 and 17 in the 2Q and 4Q, which means that their 1Q score was more than the sum of their 2Q and 4Q scores. Pistons will play the D from the word go to avoid the kind of humiliation they got at home in the first of their series against the 76ers.
Don't expect a 29 or a 36 from Magic in any quarter if Pistons turn on the D - as we expect from them at this stage of the series. One more reason is that Pistons only had a 3 digit score in two consecutive home games thrice all season. These were against teams with worse defenses than Magic. After a rigorous analysis of their scoring patterns, here are my predictions:
1) Pistons are likely to score at least 7 points less than their last home score.
2) They will win by 10+.
Also recall that the first match of this series in Detroit ended 91-72 (163)
On the basis of the above likely possibilities, I'm predicting:
93-83 (or less)= 176
If we keep Piston's maximum score at 93 and the winning margin is 10+, then there's no reason why the under shouldn't cash.
I'm planning on parlaying the handicap win with the under. If you plan on doing same, don't panic. My record in parlaying a handicap and a o/u for the same match is impressive. I haven't got that wrong in the playoffs.
Comment
BrUno0
SBR Wise Guy
03-30-08
574
#6
NBA:
Hornets -3 -105
Comment
The_Kid
SBR Hall of Famer
02-09-08
5049
#7
Pistons/Magic UNDER 186.5
Hornets/Spurs OVER 186.5
Hornets 1H -1.5
Hornets -3.5
Comment
Shumakov
SBR Wise Guy
03-30-08
983
#8
Pistons -5
Orlando/Detroit U 187.5
Spurs +3,5
__________________
NBA 2007-08 record: +31=1-23
Comment
junkman773
Restricted User
02-04-08
1316
#9
5-13-08
YTD: 17-21 -5.2 units
517 1* Orlando +6.5
520 1* N.O. -3
Good Luck
Comment
chipski
SBR MVP
11-16-07
1745
#10
okay , so all the favs keep winning and i keep playing an underdog to get a game .
so as soon as i take the home fav the dog will be good right ?
12 - 1 home teams right now in the 2nd round i think .
1 away dog that was $ was pistons .
well yeah , guess what , of course i like the hornets tonight and they are the home fav . does this mean anything ? if the spurs are good then it would do damage to my brain , so what do i do ? **** it .
hornets -2 -140 7 units
magic +7 -120 7 units
if these mugs are no good then i dont know what to say .
home court being so strong in 2nd round is a joke . these teams cant play in another gym , they are some sorry ..... i dont know what . true teams split . these teams this year are some ____ . just take the home fav thus far and you have a great run , no wisdom or capping involved .
Comment
Junkyard Dog
SBR MVP
03-12-07
4552
#11
Orlando +6
Comment
Illusion
Restricted User
08-09-05
25166
#12
Orlando +235
Comment
mundane
SBR MVP
02-25-08
3592
#13
pistons -6.5 *5 units
magic/pistons under 186.5 *5 units
Comment
capitalist pig
SBR MVP
01-25-07
4997
#14
Orlando +7.0
later
Comment
FadeThePublic
SBR Wise Guy
05-08-08
653
#15
spurs - hornets UNDER 187
*10 units
Hornets - 3
*5 units
magic - pistons OVER 186
*5 units
Comment
Illusion
Restricted User
08-09-05
25166
#16
Originally posted by Illusion
Orlando +235
Orlando +6.5 (3 units)
Comment
mr. leisure
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
17507
#17
orlando +7
Comment
Big_Cheese
SBR Wise Guy
04-11-08
970
#18
Detroit -6 (5*)
Comment
Rosa
SBR High Roller
05-11-08
132
#19
Pistons/Magic Under 186
Comment
ChuteBoxe
SBR Hall of Famer
11-21-07
6885
#20
Spurs (+5 @ -120) for 4 Units
Pistons (-6 @ -110) for 2 Units
Comment
MMAJOE
SBR Sharp
05-08-08
284
#21
Hornets - 3 ( 8 units )
Det under 185.5 ( 6units )
Det -7 ( 3 units )
Comment
xstud
SBR MVP
01-12-08
1643
#22
.75 unit Magic +235
.75 under 183
.50 under 93 1st half