Ugh....I was rooting for you on that teaser...Tough one bro
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#17
10 unit lost yesterday as the teaser was a tie=lose. Tough day.
-2.9 units
Todays plays to come
Comment
diogee
SBR Posting Legend
01-11-08
19477
#18
Bounce back today BOT...really tough loss on the teaser. I had over for the game and was pissed as well...gotta love when these playoff teams just die in the 2nd half.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#19
Yeah, like 70 points the 2nd half.
Today i love
Cavs ML and UTAH ML parlayed
5 units to win 7.5.
1st half Under 88.5 Cavs/celts
2 units
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#20
adding cavs -2.5 2 units
May add a second half jazz bet to hedge the parlay.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#21
Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
adding cavs -2.5 2 units
May add a second half jazz bet to hedge the parlay.
WIN +1.8
1st half Under 88.5 Cavs/celts
2 units
WIN +1.8
Too easy on both of these. Looks like UTah is going to force me hedge the 2nd half bet if possible for insuring profit. Still hoping utah goes on a run and allows me to try for a 4+ point middle, but looking very doubtful.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#22
jazz -5.5 -105 3.5 units.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#23
under 108 -104 2.5 units. 2nd half
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#24
+2 units tonight with Utah ruining two plays. One play by scoring to much and another for losing. Score to much and lose. Makes sense right?
-.7 units in the playoffs. Onto the hornets tomorrow.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#25
Is anyone interested on my celtics pick today?
Comment
diogee
SBR Posting Legend
01-11-08
19477
#26
Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
Is anyone interested on my celtics pick today?
I would venruer to guess it is Cavs +8.5 or whate3ver spread iser.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#27
Originally posted by diogee
I would venruer to guess it is Cavs +8.5 or whate3ver spread iser.
I cannot confirm or deny that Dio. Separately i will have a hedge bet from my +1300cavs to win series bet. I will clue ya in here though... I will not give the unproven celts 8.5 against a proven game changer. Not to say I dont like the celts in a tease though I'll have it up before tip, dont worry
Comment
diogee
SBR Posting Legend
01-11-08
19477
#28
Tougfh game either way...no eidea what to expect in game 7 in pleayoffs...I honestly think a close game witeh both teams pushing to score the ball to get the edge. Might hedge my parley with Cavs ML and waith til havlf for a line. Thinking about over since both eteams shoudl push the basll to score to try gaining the edge...very hard choice since neither team scores. Will probably just have to cap the game when sogber.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#29
Originally posted by diogee
Tougfh game either way...no eidea what to expect in game 7 in pleayoffs...I honestly think a close game witeh both teams pushing to score the ball to get the edge. Might hedge my parley with Cavs ML and waith til havlf for a line. Thinking about over since both eteams shoudl push the basll to score to try gaining the edge...very hard choice since neither team scores. Will probably just have to cap the game when sogber.
These playoff lines are the sharpest you'll see so you really have to dig deep and look for alternate wagers than just straight totals or sides. Thus why teasers and 1st half/halftime wagers are attacked.
Comment
diogee
SBR Posting Legend
01-11-08
19477
#30
Yeah that makes perfedct sense to me...was expecting that enteiering in. Was up abouet 10 units at one time and then got sdestroyed since I bet way more dogs than faves. Definitlelye learned a little so far and hopefully can learn some more during the playoffs...cash some winners bud. Hopefully I end up on the same side.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#31
Originally posted by diogee
Yeah that makes perfedct sense to me...was expecting that enteiering in. Was up abouet 10 units at one time and then got sdestroyed since I bet way more dogs than faves. Definitlelye learned a little so far and hopefully can learn some more during the playoffs...cash some winners bud. Hopefully I end up on the same side.
Your on to something with the teaser and halftime wagers. For instance, the Jazz 2nd half of game 6 opened at -5. I got it at that price and then again on -6.5 because i had it opening up at -8 according to my numbers. It paid off bigtime. The over/under or 108 was perfect though and the books had this one sharply predicted.
Comment
diogee
SBR Posting Legend
01-11-08
19477
#32
Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
Your on to something with the teaser and halftime wagers. For instance, the Jazz 2nd half of game 6 opened at -5. I got it at that price and then again on -6.5 because i had it opening up at -8 according to my numbers. It paid off bigtime. The over/under or 108 was perfect though and the books had this one sharply predicted.
Yeah actually in that game I had LA +4 and over 212.5 but at halftime Chute pm'd me asking what I was going to do...at the time I saw -7 and 107.5 and I told him I was strongly considering the huge middle and taking the over. He had the LA ML and ended up taking the middle but pushed on over 108....I just have not had the confidence in myself in the playoffs for 2h...for some damn reason they scare the crap out of me since I expect them to be realy sharp.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#33
Originally posted by diogee
Yeah actually in that game I had LA +4 and over 212.5 but at halftime Chute pm'd me asking what I was going to do...at the time I saw -7 and 107.5 and I told him I was strongly considering the huge middle and taking the over. He had the LA ML and ended up taking the middle but pushed on over 108....I just have not had the confidence in myself in the playoffs for 2h...for some damn reason they scare the crap out of me since I expect them to be realy sharp.
2nd half lines are not near as sharp simply due to the time they have to put them out. They pretty much have a set of scenario's and what they plan on doing dependent on that, but I'll take on a chart of "scenarios" rather than a group of sharps huddled together for a while discussing and contributing to where the line should be.
Comment
diogee
SBR Posting Legend
01-11-08
19477
#34
Yeah I suppose that is true...probably the same reason they are so attackable druing the season. To me it all boils down to reading the stats and game flow from both teams trhourougly and then basing that on common knowledge of each team for the season to try determing how the 2H will go.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#35
Originally posted by diogee
Yeah I suppose that is true...probably the same reason they are so attackable druing the season. To me it all boils down to reading the stats and game flow from both teams trhourougly and then basing that on common knowledge of each team for the season to try determing how the 2H will go.
FG%/Free throw attempts/Personal Fouls/Late "close-out" runs and a variety of things makes this much more handicappable. As well as season info.