Utah Jazz/Portland TrailBlazers Over 189

[CanuckG]

I just pounded it at Pinnacle

Play OVER UTAH on the total in All games vs. division opponents
The record is 27 Overs and 9 Unders.

Utah vs a division opponent last 3 seasons: 36 Overs 16 Unders

8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Ref Assignments:

Marc Davis:
35-31 O/U
12-5 between 185-194.5

Bennie Adams:
29-33 O/U

Derek Richardson:
28-27 O/U

NBA Totals have been kind to me thus far...lets hit this. GL.

[EBDOGGN]

how much did you pound it for/

[CanuckG]

$300...not a high roller but a big bet for me.

[yahoonino]

nice write up ,, thankx

[JOHON8]

Good info thanks and GL.

[BiePoker]

I'll bet 50 bucks on this match.. on over of caurse

[stefan084]

thanks

[twelvejewelz]

Utah has seen the under hit 7 out of the past 10 and in the last 5 straight games. Portland only scored 87 points against golden state who dosnt really even play defense. Portland has failed to score more than 100 points seven times in the past 10 games. I hate betting on thursdays so im staying away but Good luck though!

[CanuckG]

Line is at 191 (-110) at Pinnacle now

[ManBearPig]

This line is sharp but good luck...in fact both of these lines are. They're pretty much spot on with my adjusted numbers. I'm going to lay off them tonight but good luck. These TNT games are usually 1 under/ 1 over though and it's just a matter of picking the right one.

[betforbread]

Good informations,I'll tail you this.

[No coincidences]

I like this play, but be careful tailing if you're getting it in the 191-192 range. Those 2-3 points are huge in the NBA, with those "razor sharp" lines.

[ReignMaker]

I'm on this too! BOL!

[Rolo1984]

I just pounded it at Pinnacle

Play OVER UTAH on the total in All games vs. division opponents
The record is 27 Overs and 9 Unders.

Utah vs a division opponent last 3 seasons: 36 Overs 16 Unders

8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Ref Assignments:

Marc Davis:
35-31 O/U
12-5 between 185-194.5

Bennie Adams:
29-33 O/U

Derek Richardson:
28-27 O/U

NBA Totals have been kind to me thus far...lets hit this. GL.

I am an objective sportsbettor but the reasoning for the over does not seem strong. What is the relevance what happened season ago? Additionally, what is the relevance of the o/u versus divisional opponents. Do they score more against them than non divisional opponents?


Some statistics i came across:

Utah averaging 88 over the last 5 matches and they will face Portland - the 6th defence in the whole league. Additionaly:

Portland is under 14-6 in the last 20 road games as a favorite of 5-10,5 points

Utah is under 10-3 in the last 13 home games as an underdog of 5-10,5 point

[Speedy88]

Yeah I'm thinking under too.

[demens]

This line is sharp but good luck...in fact both of these lines are. They're pretty much spot on with my adjusted numbers. I'm going to lay off them tonight but good luck. These TNT games are usually 1 under/ 1 over though and it's just a matter of picking the right one.

What line did you get on this?

[CanuckG]

Okay whichever side you take good luck. At least there will be winners in this thread.

[ManBearPig]

What line did you get on this?

Got this between 189-191. I've been playing with adjusted pace rating which is supposed to tell me what the pace will be if two teams meet ot just their individual pace along with a modified Off/Def Eff rating. Since I'm fiddling right now I generate 5 diff numbers and 3 of them are within two point of each other and the line and they average out to 191 so something has to give.

[CanuckG]

At 191.5 at 5Dimes. Should hit 192 by game time..

[TGHMak]

Is Devin Harris going to play?

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Thanks I'm tailing

[305GURU]

Have it tied into a parlay bulls-4.5 and 190...GL to All

[305GURU]

Have it tied into a parlay bulls-4.5 and ovet 190...GL to All

[NBA_Brosuf]

getting close enough?

[sportfan]

I got 191.5 local line , lets go over

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Were in an okay spot right now..

[No coincidences]

I still think the over 188-189 hits, but everyone else is screwed.

[Petenana15]

damn wtf, they both just hit a wall in the 4th quarter...

[ManBearPig]

WTF is this the NC game again...these teams can't score for shit this Q...Utah blows tonight...or just in general

[Petenana15]

I missed a teaser by 1 point because they ****** around in the first 6 minutes WTF

[CanuckG]

NBA totals were pretty kind to me too the past few weeks. Looked good until the start of that 4th, but it happens. My god has my bankroll been on a roller coaster ride. Grats Under backers..