Houston -6.5 at New Jersey looks good

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  • forzuto13
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-27-11
    • 522

    #1
    Houston -6.5 at New Jersey looks good
    For all the games Tuesday I like this one the best. Houston have had their eyes on this next game in New Jersey after losing a close battle in Miami on Sunday. They sit three and a half games behind Memphis now for 8th place in the West. Every game is a must win and I think they can win at least half of the remaining ones. This next one against a withering Nets looks to have some good value and looks like it could be a solid win and cover.

    Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. Rockets are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Jersey and pretty much own the Nets as of late. Last game was a 123-108 win on Feb. 26, which was also Houston’s 12th win in 13 games against the Nets. The Rockets have taken seven straight road meetings in the series by an average of 13 points while limiting the Nets to 82.7 per game.

    Nets are pretty beat up right now with Williams still out and Lopez playing through some calcium deposit pain. Two other players out since incurring injuries in the last week. Jersey was handed its sixth defeat in seven games Saturday night, 98-87 at Atlanta. Noteworthy addendum: Houston's Kyle lowry was taken out last game in Miami with an ankle sprain and is listed as "questionable" on covers.com, but other injury reports aren't listing him and Lowry said in team report that "there's a good chance to play." I think he'll suit up after a couple days rest and rehab.

    Rolling with Houston -6.5 to beat up on a beaten up Nets team, with less to play for than the Rockets right now.
  • NYSportsGuy210
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-07-09
    • 11347

    #2
    Nice write up. OVER looks good too.
    Comment
    • alien296
      SBR High Roller
      • 10-29-10
      • 216

      #3
      I'm leaning that way, but not sold on it yet....(89% of public is with you though as of this post)

      Houston is definitely playing good ball and gave Miami a run for their money on Sunday (only loss in the last few games). The Nets have been pretty beat up lately, but they have been on the road a lot lately as well. The 'home factor' might make this a closer game than they have had in the past few games. I'll take another look at it tomorrow, but good luck man
      Comment
      • forzuto13
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-27-11
        • 522

        #4
        I know Nets at home is a factor but I think Houston gets it done. And yes, NYSportsguy, I like the over a lot too!
        Comment
        • flyer1179
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-11-10
          • 136

          #5
          I'll be on the Rockets and the over with you as well. BOL!
          Comment
          • NBA_Brosuf
            Restricted User
            • 02-14-11
            • 2489

            #6
            I'm with you on them houston.

            Looks like Tuesday is a day where fav gonna suck up that money and run.

            Put a gun to my head and I pick the under. Just sharing.
            Comment
            • SportsTerminator
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-18-09
              • 5179

              #7
              If D-Will doesn't play this play looks good. Houston just has too many offensive weapons over the Nets. Even thought the Nets play tough and tend to cover at home I like the offensive Houston on this one.
              Bet To Win
              Comment
              • face
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-31-11
                • 14740

                #8
                yea, i'm going to do it, my book has it at -7. nets are significantly worse without point guard
                Comment
                • NYSportsGuy210
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-07-09
                  • 11347

                  #9
                  Loving the OVER 143 total points in Colorado-Alabama game in the N.i.T. tournament tomorrow. Placed a bet on that already.
                  Comment
                  • twelvejewelz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-29-11
                    • 2388

                    #10
                    The over was the first thing that popped out at me on tomorrows lines and i locked it in already. Also leaning houston and might lock that in as well before the line goes up. Good luck!!
                    Comment
                    • shermanator
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-27-10
                      • 510

                      #11
                      houston will cover tomorrow
                      Comment
                      • cc440unn
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-18-11
                        • 737

                        #12
                        im following you with houston and the over

                        1.5 unit on both

                        gl to us
                        P.S. Im not good in english. I apologize for any error in my post.
                        Comment
                        • kobstopa
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-21-11
                          • 2965

                          #13
                          Rockets will win, but will cover it ? that's the question. The Nets at home is a crazy team, i had seen it all before, they're deadly in the 4th quarter . The key is who can contain Lopez and Humphries - 35 points + 20 rebounds between these two, it's a good match up in the back court, Houston got B grade here. Actually Rockets -4 at the half could be a good choice too.
                          Comment
                          • cc440unn
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-18-11
                            • 737

                            #14
                            Any other good tips for tonights game ?????

                            thx in advance
                            P.S. Im not good in english. I apologize for any error in my post.
                            Comment
                            • NBA_Brosuf
                              Restricted User
                              • 02-14-11
                              • 2489

                              #15
                              Originally posted by cc440unn
                              Any other good tips for tonights game ?????

                              thx in advance
                              Here is what rookies who started out tailing people should be doing.

                              Pick 5 regulars and winning cappers. Make an excel spreadsheet and chart down to what each picks. If 4 or more picking on the same team, you bet on that team.

                              This is the style for those who don't know nothing about the game whatsoever. Is it profitable? Does top cappers ever fail you in the long run?
                              Comment
                              • Qtip
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-18-11
                                • 367

                                #16
                                Gonna wait and see how many points I can get and roll with the Nets. Houston wins by 4-5.
                                Comment
                                • JBT
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-26-10
                                  • 1819

                                  #17
                                  By the time BetJam opened the line it was already at 7 it seems... they're so annoyingly slow!
                                  Comment
                                  • Postman78
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-28-10
                                    • 1159

                                    #18
                                    Damn qtip now that's an avatar
                                    Comment
                                    • Mexes
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-27-09
                                      • 691

                                      #19
                                      in jersey there where many close games this season... I woud stay away
                                      Comment
                                      • blinky88
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-20-10
                                        • 471

                                        #20
                                        NJ is the play here.
                                        Comment
                                        • Postman78
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-28-10
                                          • 1159

                                          #21
                                          If you happen to play at bookmaker and you're worried about HOU not covering they got a special 8pt teaser at -120 so you can just make them part of that ?
                                          Comment
                                          • Postman78
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-28-10
                                            • 1159

                                            #22
                                            Cause I agree I like HOU but Nj at home is unpredictable I haven't found two other trans to put in the teaser yet but I like HOU in one of them
                                            Comment
                                            • nnhenry
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-23-09
                                              • 268

                                              #23
                                              good luck with the houston play.
                                              Comment
                                              • beyond
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-16-09
                                                • 293

                                                #24
                                                When too many people bet on one team, usually the other team will cover
                                                Comment
                                                • ThingsFallApart
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-24-10
                                                  • 880

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by beyond
                                                  When too many people bet on one team, usually the other team will cover
                                                  Wise words but the public does make money sometimes.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • gtboy
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 06-15-10
                                                    • 810

                                                    #26
                                                    cant see NJ winning this game, so i am HOU. buying a few a points
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Fed_42420
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-12-09
                                                      • 976

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ThingsFallApart
                                                      Wise words but the public does make money sometimes.
                                                      Is the public bet considered which side has the most money on it, or the side with the most people betting on it ? I mean I doubt the public bets the most money, so there could be a game where 80 percent of bets are on one side but the most money is on there other side. Wouldn't u want to fade the side with most money on it since the books are the winners?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • san2c
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-18-09
                                                        • 305

                                                        #28
                                                        Rockets arent good enough to be giving that many points on the road
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dude_bg
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 09-01-10
                                                          • 376

                                                          #29
                                                          1h -4 is a bit safe i think
                                                          Comment
                                                          • forzuto13
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-27-11
                                                            • 522

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by san2c
                                                            Rockets arent good enough to be giving that many points on the road
                                                            Well the last time NJ were home dogs of 6.5 pts they played Chicago and got whooped. I know Rockets aren't as good as Chicago, but Houston is a team that is under the radar lately and is steadily paving ahead and winning. Their D has stiffened up coming out of AS Break and I think this is why they have been on a good run, aside from their stellar offensive weapons. They will play every game with everything and honestly they could have taken that last game in Miami.

                                                            If Lowry is in good shape and has a good game then I don't see them not covering a team that is as battered up as the Nets. I mean, they can lose of course, but that's why it's called gambling, and for me, aside from the OVER bet on this Houston game, this is the better of the picks of today's plays.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LasNoches777
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-28-10
                                                              • 349

                                                              #31
                                                              Houston - New Jersey draw
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jorge1
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-06-10
                                                                • 3520

                                                                #32
                                                                Hi, if i may comment, respectfully of course -

                                                                I was lookin at this game and thought HOUSTON right off the bat but check this out:

                                                                When lookin at HOUSTON playing similar teams than NJ (PPG/OPPG/POWER RATINGS-wise), HOUSTON is actually 4-4 SU this season, and when they win they average 5.66 pts.

                                                                HOUSTON does look good int he LAST 5...but they seem to slow down with these slower pace teams, such as NJ.

                                                                NJ when facing opponents similar to HOU (number's wise) averaging -3.14 pt differential. in their last five they are averaging -2.8 pt differential, 2-3 SU.

                                                                With all that being said, they (HOU) whooped NJN earlier this season...so all in all, the stats arent ALL there...the nets numerically speaking, should cover, but HOU feels like the right bet...

                                                                BOL either way bud!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • forzuto13
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-27-11
                                                                  • 522

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by jorge1
                                                                  Hi, if i may comment, respectfully of course -

                                                                  I was lookin at this game and thought HOUSTON right off the bat but check this out:

                                                                  When lookin at HOUSTON playing similar teams than NJ (PPG/OPPG/POWER RATINGS-wise), HOUSTON is actually 4-4 SU this season, and when they win they average 5.66 pts.

                                                                  HOUSTON does look good int he LAST 5...but they seem to slow down with these slower pace teams, such as NJ.

                                                                  NJ when facing opponents similar to HOU (number's wise) averaging -3.14 pt differential. in their last five they are averaging -2.8 pt differential, 2-3 SU.

                                                                  With all that being said, they (HOU) whooped NJN earlier this season...so all in all, the stats arent ALL there...the nets numerically speaking, should cover, but HOU feels like the right bet...

                                                                  BOL either way bud!
                                                                  Thanks for the input. My point is your final one I guess: that the Houston bet feels like the right bet. Sometimes you gotta go with that and that gut feeling is one that is pretty strong, either pulling you away from a bet you make with your head and using trends/stats or one that pushes you to make a bet, even though the numbers don't all line up, but the whole game scenario does. Already locked it in at -6.5 and have a seperate bet with -6 in a parlay. WML!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Whippit
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-29-10
                                                                    • 3065

                                                                    #34
                                                                    both teams suck

                                                                    lets play a game of horse
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • GoldRush7
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-27-09
                                                                      • 2014

                                                                      #35
                                                                      rolling with the rockets
                                                                      Comment
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