Be careful with the spurs!

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  • FindTheLock
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-27-10
    • 7194

    #1
    Be careful with the spurs!
    If you take a look at the spurs depth chart for tonights game, and then take a look at their team leading stat chart, You will notice Either Duncan or Ginobili take up 4 of the top 5 categories. Neither of them is playing tonight. I liked the line when I first saw it. I was thinking Spurs at home, and blazers on the road!! So it should be an easy spurs win, but now I am thinking stay far far away from the spurs. On the other hand both teams will be playing a back to back so there is no edge there. I hate betting on teams playing two days in a row, but this might be a good spot to play the blazers. Anyone else have any more information on this one?
  • bleek88
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-12-11
    • 6385

    #2
    could be a case of overthinking.
    Comment
    • FindTheLock
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-27-10
      • 7194

      #3
      Originally posted by bleek88
      could be a case of overthinking.
      Maybe you're right! Maybe I should put up some numbers on a dart board put on a blindfold and pick the team the dart lands on, I bet I'll see lot's of winners that way. I am retiring from thought, and moving into the world of Brandon Lang.
      Comment
      • bleek88
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-12-11
        • 6385

        #4
        Sounds like a plan to me.
        Comment
        • StanleySharp
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-20-11
          • 645

          #5
          Fade the Spurs until the post season.

          TrailBlazers ML
          Comment
          • bleek88
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-12-11
            • 6385

            #6
            Comment
            • MB
              SBR MVP
              • 02-05-09
              • 1072

              #7
              Take the pts here
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                55% ML on Portland and 63% spread -- you sure it's not the other way around?

                Comment
                • Romanov
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-08-10
                  • 4137

                  #9
                  Great analysis in here.

                  The books know all of these factors and can weigh them with more accuracy that you or I probably can. You need to find an edge in places other than sportscenter stats
                  Comment
                  • FindTheLock
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-27-10
                    • 7194

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Romanov
                    Great analysis in here.

                    The books know all of these factors and can weigh them with more accuracy that you or I probably can. You need to find an edge in places other than sportscenter stats
                    I use a lot of different reasons for picking an edge, but honestly the two best producers on a team not playing seems like a fair edge in a 5 man sport. You tell me how you pick your edge? Since you don't feel like having the two best players on a team sitting out is an advantage to the other side!
                    Comment
                    • NBA_Brosuf
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-14-11
                      • 2489

                      #11
                      I saw spurs -4 yesterday but right now, they are only -3?

                      Are people still pounding on them spurs or what? Don't they know that stats are fruitless to follow because 2 guys on spurs are out?
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        What's happening with this line?
                        Comment
                        • Brooklyn
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-26-08
                          • 121

                          #13
                          Yeah, Spurs are now only -1 point fav
                          Comment
                          • FindTheLock
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-27-10
                            • 7194

                            #14
                            I capped in at spurs -6 without considering injuries. So I feel like +3 is a fair play on the blazers. I already grabbed it.
                            Comment
                            • WolverineFan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-12-10
                              • 1299

                              #15
                              What does that usually mean when it goes from 4.5 down to 1..Is that usually good for Spurs backers??
                              Comment
                              • CheeseHead
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-03-10
                                • 439

                                #16
                                What in the hell is going on with this line???
                                Comment
                                • FindTheLock
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-27-10
                                  • 7194

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by WolverineFan
                                  What does that usually mean when it goes from 4.5 down to 1..Is that usually good for Spurs backers??
                                  No. it means a sharp pounded the hell out of the blazers +3
                                  Comment
                                  • bleek88
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-12-11
                                    • 6385

                                    #18
                                    ^ You have 656 posts and you are asking this question

                                    I do not get the world sometimes.
                                    Comment
                                    • twelvejewelz
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-29-11
                                      • 2388

                                      #19
                                      Why they just pull the spurs game and then put it back on the board with spurs -1?
                                      Comment
                                      • CheeseHead
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-03-10
                                        • 439

                                        #20
                                        The line is jumping everywhere and is different on every book...
                                        Comment
                                        • ManBearPig
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-04-08
                                          • 2473

                                          #21
                                          This drastic of a line movement usually indicates a player being out...most likely it was Manu officially being ruled out if I had to guess
                                          Comment
                                          • WolverineFan
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-12-10
                                            • 1299

                                            #22
                                            Im just wondering y line is movin that much what is going on
                                            Comment
                                            • demens
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-22-10
                                              • 2785

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by FindTheLock
                                              No. it means a sharp pounded the hell out of the blazers +3
                                              No, it means a sharp has Tony Parker locked in his basement wearing a gimp consume. Those all mighty sharpies, they can do anything.
                                              Comment
                                              • NBA_Brosuf
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-14-11
                                                • 2489

                                                #24
                                                Line jumping crazy at the last moment means no play on my head.

                                                I'm still playing the under in this game though. Under smells yummie when I had it last night at 192.5. Now it loses value for those who wants to play under at 190.
                                                Comment
                                                • demens
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-22-10
                                                  • 2785

                                                  #25
                                                  HELLO! Am I the only one that uses Twitter!?

                                                  TONY PARKER IS OUT!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Romanov
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-08-10
                                                    • 4137

                                                    #26
                                                    Holy shit.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • FindTheLock
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-27-10
                                                      • 7194

                                                      #27
                                                      you might be right, but since I am on the team who the line is moving in favor of, I feel much better seeing the books adjust! I didn't understand how they capped it at spurs being more than a 1 point favorite anyway, with their leading production sitting out. maybe there is more to the injury list.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • NBA_Brosuf
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-14-11
                                                        • 2489

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by demens
                                                        HELLO! Am I the only one that uses Twitter!?

                                                        TONY PARKER IS OUT!
                                                        No parker, no duncun, no that other guy LOL

                                                        who is going to score for spurs now?

                                                        Who still wants to pound on portland for an easy rape time?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • FindTheLock
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-27-10
                                                          • 7194

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by demens
                                                          HELLO! Am I the only one that uses Twitter!?

                                                          TONY PARKER IS OUT!
                                                          does it say what happened to him?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • yisman
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-01-08
                                                            • 75682

                                                            #30
                                                            Yeah, the huge drop was due to the Parker news.
                                                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                            [/quote]

                                                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Rawk-
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 03-24-11
                                                              • 225

                                                              #31
                                                              wtf im locked in spurs -3 fuuuuck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ManBearPig
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-04-08
                                                                • 2473

                                                                #32
                                                                Well I had the right cause but the wrong player.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • FindTheLock
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-27-10
                                                                  • 7194

                                                                  #33
                                                                  With this news now I wish I took the ML when it was +130
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gohabsgo
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-19-10
                                                                    • 1903

                                                                    #34
                                                                    And Portland is 8-2 SU against the spurs last 10.
                                                                    Portland ML is the POD
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • yisman
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-01-08
                                                                      • 75682

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Patella injury for Parker, btw.

                                                                      McDyess also out.
                                                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                      [/quote]

                                                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                      Comment
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