While I think the end result is very much in the air tonight, I'm on NO 1H -1.5 for 3 units. I absolutely love this play for numerous reasons but the main one being: Hornets are young, but not in a way that would make me think they'll come out hesitant. They're a confident, cocky bunch of young guns who will come out loose, enabling them to seize advantage of home-court and use the crowd to their benefit. Spurs will accept this pace and will attempt to weather the Hornets early storm. I'll make adjustments at half, but I think something like NO 48-SA 42 seems about right for HT. Either this is a close game at half or NO is up big. I'll lay the 1.5 with NO 1H today as that city should be jumping.
3 main questions for NO tonight:
-Who's guarding Manu? I'm all over the prop bet for Manu +23 P+A as points alone should cover that.
-When SA inevitably puts Bowen on Paul, will he succumb to frustration? Will it be effective? Keeping in mind Bowen will only be asked to really play one end of the court, can he be a difference maker?
-Word is Parker and Ginobili are both nursing nagging injuries. What's the severity? My guess is Parker will be at 110% and Manu around 99%, but if either of them are noticeably hampered, the Spurs are done.
My plays are:
NO -1 1Q 2*
NO -1.5 1H 3*
Manu Over 23 P+A (-115) 1.5*
3 main questions for NO tonight:
-Who's guarding Manu? I'm all over the prop bet for Manu +23 P+A as points alone should cover that.
-When SA inevitably puts Bowen on Paul, will he succumb to frustration? Will it be effective? Keeping in mind Bowen will only be asked to really play one end of the court, can he be a difference maker?
-Word is Parker and Ginobili are both nursing nagging injuries. What's the severity? My guess is Parker will be at 110% and Manu around 99%, but if either of them are noticeably hampered, the Spurs are done.
My plays are:
NO -1 1Q 2*
NO -1.5 1H 3*
Manu Over 23 P+A (-115) 1.5*