Magic/Suns under 203.5

DemoralizdDreamr · 03-13-11, 04:57 PM

Similar story for the lines of min and clips couple days ago. The line was favouring them and moving in their favour but the public was on the opposite side. I cashed the both

djpremier36 · 03-13-11, 04:58 PM

Cash it!

No coincidences · 03-13-11, 04:58 PM

BL knows about this. He's a great totals guy -- right up there with LC -- on this board.

Notice his 2H play.

rake922 · 03-13-11, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Refs are trying to get the over 202. Calling a shooting foul with 8 seconds left in a blowout.

he was hacked.... they had to call that

tanner40 · 03-13-11, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Win or lose, here's the rationale behind this play (warning: it's line movement related, which is going to drive some of you nuts):

The line opened at 204. Public was on the over at 78%. Pinny's initial movement was a drop, it's late morning movement stayed with the trend, and it closed at 202. Any time I can get a total at 1-1.5 points higher at my square book than Pinny, I almost always take it.

The side had something to do with it as well. Books were calling for a Magic blowout. Line opened at 4.5 and closed at 6. Anytime you don't have the hook with that kind of line movement, it's an indicator. Had the Magic been bumped back down to 5.5 late, I would've been much more leery of Orlando and the total. But because it stayed at 6, I was confident.

At halftime, late money was on the Magic to cover as a PK. They were already up 9 at half, but books weren't really giving Phoenix any hope. I almost hammered the 2H under (an easy hit), but stayed away just in case this was a dud. This isn't a fool-proof way of betting, but it hits more often than not. I did take ORL PK 2H and will cash that one easy.

A lot of people will hate on me for this. And this doesn't work for any other sport. NBA is so predictable, though. Especially the televised games. So predictable. Look at the Lakers/Thunder game two weeks ago for another prime example of this exact same scenario, or Lakers/Heat just last Thursday.

Premierr23 · 03-13-11, 05:00 PM

winner

hawley · 03-13-11, 05:00 PM

Unreal

I had the under and thought i had absolutely no chance

Yay for garbage minutes

dynamite140 · 03-13-11, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Refs are trying to get the over 202. Calling a shooting foul with 8 seconds left in a blowout.

LMAO. Did you even watch that play? HOw the heck was that NOT A FOUL? NO coincidences as usual has no credibility and thinks they RIG NBA TOTALS.

You guys know why he think that wasn't a foul? He is looking at line movement all day.

keenecharger21 · 03-13-11, 05:04 PM

no hate on his plan but it was the suns worst shooting game of the season i believe had nothing to do with the line

only put sbr points on it o well

keenecharger21 · 03-13-11, 05:06 PM

just think if they made 2 more shots game would have been over lol

are didnt miss 2 of the 21 missed free throws and got a shot

No coincidences · 03-13-11, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by dynamite140

LMAO. Did you even watch that play? HOw the heck was that NOT A FOUL? NO coincidences as usual has no credibility and thinks they RIG NBA TOTALS.

You guys know why he think that wasn't a foul? He is looking at line movement all day.

And here he is.

dynamite140 · 03-13-11, 05:07 PM

And no coincidences, you are officially a fraud. Saying that was NOT A FOUL with 8 seconds left. Did you even watch the game? EVery poster who saw the game would say that is a foul. And last time you said they call 6 fouls in the bobcats/clippers game to try to push the total over... its pretty obvious those were legit fouls if you don't even call that last play a foul

.

dynamite140 · 03-13-11, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Refs are trying to get the over 202. Calling a shooting foul with 8 seconds left in a blowout.

As usual. No credibility. Anyone who saw the last play knows that was a foul 100 percent of the time. Surprised there wasn't a flagrant foul called but it was too late in the game.

Anyone here who saw the last play can say that WASN'T A FOUL?

keenecharger21 · 03-13-11, 07:13 PM

yea it was a foul but good picks keep getting that money guys

dynamite140 · 03-14-11, 01:38 PM

keenecherager21, no coincidences kept saying that wasn't a foul

. He probably too busy staring at the line movement screen 10 hours a day to know that. His thoughts have no credibility at all when it was obvious that was a foul. This guy thinks everything is rigged.

dynamite140 · 03-14-11, 11:13 PM

NO Coin as usual crying that they were trying to rig the total by calling a bs foul when ANYONE WHO SAW THAT PLAY will say it was a foul