I agree! Took the Kings at -12.5! Bought 3 for insurance!
Good Luck!!!!
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#247
Originally posted by Santo4osu
I agree! Took the Kings at -12.5! Bought 3 for insurance! Good Luck!!!!
If you are randomly choosing to buy 3 points, it will hurt you in the long run. Of the games in which you buy 3, you have to hit at about a 63% rate (assuming you get -170 juice). That extra 11% is huge and in most cases, buying the 3 doesn't secure enough wins to compensate for the decreased winnings per bet that you hit.
Best of luck nevertheless. I followed Cheme a couple months ago doing a 3 point buying system. We used the half-point calculator to find the edge gained when you bought 3 points.
Comment
Santo4osu
Restricted User
02-26-11
652
#248
I will remember that in the future! Thanks!
Comment
Small Timer
SBR Sharp
01-12-11
389
#249
On the kings as well, hopefully they have a respectable 4th Quarter.
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#250
Hopefully they have a respectable OT
Comment
Santo4osu
Restricted User
02-26-11
652
#251
Today’s plays; based on early lines.
North Carolina Tar Heels, +1.5
Miami Heat, -8.5
Memphis Grizzlies, M/L
Phoenix Suns, +2
What kind of ratings do you have on these plays?
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#252
Well 1-0 so far today with the Kings but my jayhawks choked big time.
Here is my betting line up today:
Spurs shit the bed. Sorry shiva but we are going head to head in the mavericks suns game tonite. Best of luck!
Comment
Santo4osu
Restricted User
02-26-11
652
#254
Romanov, any thoughts on the other 2 games?
Comment
phongmaxim
SBR High Roller
03-13-11
137
#255
loved your picks$$cashed some already.
i have a parlay 3 waiting for MAVERICKS to cash the ticket. BOL
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#256
Santo:
I dont feel strongly about either but i lean towards the wiz and hornets covering. Im not betting em. If dwest was healthy i would be on the hornets. The wiz have screwed me a lot this season.
Phong:
Nice man! Congrats! Go mavs!
Comment
phongmaxim
SBR High Roller
03-13-11
137
#257
Originally posted by Romanov
Santo:
I dont feel strongly about either but i lean towards the wiz and hornets covering. Im not betting em. If dwest was healthy i would be on the hornets. The wiz have screwed me a lot this season.
Phong:
Nice man! Congrats! Go mavs!
thanks for the $$$$$$ mavs -2 $$$$$$ bro, i hit a parlay 3 combined with 2 other hockey games....
Comment
BigOrangeBrother
SBR MVP
05-10-10
1538
#258
4-1 last night.....all I can say is damn!!!! Gonna hate when NBA season ends because I so look forward to your picks. Great job Rommy!!
Comment
ShivaBowl
SBR Hall of Famer
03-09-10
5133
#259
Fade NYN, next 12
2-0
Bucks +7 WIN
Bobcats, +4.5 WIN 7:30 PM ET Orlando Magic, M/L
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#260
4-1 Last night
36-18-1 overall
Comment
himeshforex
Restricted User
05-29-09
1414
#261
lets rock today guys !!
im all over INDIANA +3 !!
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#262
All of my plays have some bad line movement on them so I'm going to hold off until later
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#263
Wish I would have just followed your picks. I've amassed a few more losers than you and it's cost me dearly
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#264
Originally posted by shaggy3000
Wish I would have just followed your picks. I've amassed a few more losers than you and it's cost me dearly
That sucks man. I might go on a cold streak starting today, who knows. Eventually I will go 0-8 or something but hopefully not for a while.
Anyways:
1 play so far:
Orlando Magic -1.5
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#265
Not going to be around much today so I went ahead and bet the other 2 plays so in all for today I have 3 plays:
Orlando Magic -1.5 (you can still get that line at Legends)
Boston Celtics -2
San Antonio Spurs -3
Might be around just before the games start and could add a play but don't count on it
Comment
jsell2200
SBR High Roller
01-26-11
189
#266
I appreciate your honesty Romanov....too many handicappers brag and talk about their wins but get quiet when they lose....hopefully you will not lose but at least you are willing to say it might happen.....tailed your plays the other day...thanks....wish I had bet more...but thanks again. BOL
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#267
Originally posted by jsell2200
I appreciate your honesty Romanov....too many handicappers brag and talk about their wins but get quiet when they lose....hopefully you will not lose but at least you are willing to say it might happen.....tailed your plays the other day...thanks....wish I had bet more...but thanks again. BOL
Well statistically I can expect a coldstreak. If I hit at a rate of 53% in the long run and I bet 100 more games this season, I can expect to hit a cold streak of about 6 games. If I bet 200 games, I can expect to lose 7 straight at some point.
As for the picks today, the line movement on the Spurs is intimidating, and if the Celtics drop any lower that will be a little bit of a worry (maybe some people know more things than usual that I do not). If you are looking for a solid play, I say the Magic are it today.
Edit: if we include the 55 games I have played, the expected cold streak goes up so just keep that in mind
Comment
indianjoe
SBR High Roller
02-20-10
100
#268
Your cold streaks ?????
Your cold streaks are better then most hot streaks.......I am tailing you, wish could help but can not.
Comment
Just_Wynn_Baby
SBR High Roller
12-25-09
188
#269
FYI....
CoversSports Covers.com Team
UNDER is 11-1 in #Celtics last 12; Rondo out tonight; Rodney #undermarchine Mott calling #Pacers @ Celtics. http://bit.ly/fm81nq
12 minutes ago Favorite Retweet Reply
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#270
HOLY FUKKK!!!
ALERT!
Get over to Bodog now if you bet the spurs -3. Bet the blazers +3 and get off of that fukking game. Tony Parker is out!
Plays tonight now:
Magic -1.5
Celtics -2
Spurs -3
Blazers +3 (-115)
Comment
demens
SBR MVP
10-22-10
2785
#271
Originally posted by Romanov
HOLY FUKKK!!!
ALERT!
Get over to Bodog now if you bet the spurs -3. Bet the blazers +3 and get off of that fukking game. Tony Parker is out!
Plays tonight now:
Magic -1.5
Celtics -2
Spurs -3
Blazers +3 (-115)
Bodog is not that slow buddy, they took the game off as soon as the news hit, its dumbass SBR that doesn't adjust their odds in time.
Comment
BigOrangeBrother
SBR MVP
05-10-10
1538
#272
Creighton ML kept me from losing money last night. No problem.....let's get 'em tonight Rommy!!
Comment
ShivaBowl
SBR Hall of Famer
03-09-10
5133
#273
Fade NYN, next 12
2-1
Bucks +7 WIN
Bobcats, +4.5 WIN Orlando Magic, Loss
Mar 30 7:30 PM ET New Jersey Nets
Comment
ShivaBowl
SBR Hall of Famer
03-09-10
5133
#274
No line plays yesterday. 31-36
Today’s plays based on early lines.
7:00 PM ET Washington State Cougars, +3
7:00 PM ET New Jersey Nets, +7 n/p if NJ >+8.5
10:00 PM ET Sacramento Kings, +1
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#275
Ouch
1-3 last night
37-21-1 overall
Plays today:
Heat -13
Suns -1
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#276
Suns are in a must win situation. They should be able to get it easy tonight
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#277
In pain. Sorry guys
0-2 on the night
37-23-1 overall
Playing every game today
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#278
I'm changing the way I bet to from flat units to weighted units based on confidence. Up to this point I am up 11.7 units.
Rockets +3 (2.8 units to win 2.55 units)
Warriors +11 (2 units to win 1.82 units)
Hornets pk (1.4 units to win 1.27 units)
Kings +12 (2.3 units to win 2.1 units)
Thunder -3 (1 unit to win .91 units)
Mavs -5.5 (3.7 units to win 3.36 units)
Keep in mind I am 0-5 on my last 5 picks
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#279
Mo plays:
Cavaliers +10 (2.8 units to win 2.55)
Raptors +4.5 (0.8 units to win .73 units)
Heat -12.5 (2.3 units to win 2.1 units)
Comment
ShivaBowl
SBR Hall of Famer
03-09-10
5133
#280
Yesterdays Plays. 1-2 32-38
Today’s plays based on early lines. 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia 76ers, M/L –155 9:00 PM ET Denver Nuggets, -12.5 10:00 PM ET Oklahoma City Thunder, M/L -165
Fade NYN, next 12
2-1
Bucks +7 WIN
Bobcats, +4.5 WIN
Orlando Magic, Loss
Mar 30 7:30 PM ET Nets, +8.5