Romanov and ShivaBowl NBA Plays 2011

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Santo4osu
    Restricted User
    • 02-26-11
    • 652

    #246
    I agree! Took the Kings at -12.5! Bought 3 for insurance!
    Good Luck!!!!
    Comment
    • Romanov
      SBR MVP
      • 10-08-10
      • 4137

      #247
      Originally posted by Santo4osu
      I agree! Took the Kings at -12.5! Bought 3 for insurance! Good Luck!!!!
      If you are randomly choosing to buy 3 points, it will hurt you in the long run. Of the games in which you buy 3, you have to hit at about a 63% rate (assuming you get -170 juice). That extra 11% is huge and in most cases, buying the 3 doesn't secure enough wins to compensate for the decreased winnings per bet that you hit.

      Best of luck nevertheless. I followed Cheme a couple months ago doing a 3 point buying system. We used the half-point calculator to find the edge gained when you bought 3 points.
      Comment
      • Santo4osu
        Restricted User
        • 02-26-11
        • 652

        #248
        I will remember that in the future! Thanks!
        Comment
        • Small Timer
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-12-11
          • 389

          #249
          On the kings as well, hopefully they have a respectable 4th Quarter.
          Comment
          • Romanov
            SBR MVP
            • 10-08-10
            • 4137

            #250
            Hopefully they have a respectable OT
            Comment
            • Santo4osu
              Restricted User
              • 02-26-11
              • 652

              #251
              Today’s plays; based on early lines.

              North Carolina Tar Heels, +1.5
              Miami Heat, -8.5
              Memphis Grizzlies, M/L
              Phoenix Suns, +2


              What kind of ratings do you have on these plays?
              Comment
              • Romanov
                SBR MVP
                • 10-08-10
                • 4137

                #252
                Well 1-0 so far today with the Kings but my jayhawks choked big time.
                Here is my betting line up today:

                Sacramento Kings +9.5
                Houston Rockets +8.5
                Atlanta Hawks -5
                Mavericks -2
                Spurs +3
                Comment
                • Romanov
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-08-10
                  • 4137

                  #253
                  Spurs shit the bed. Sorry shiva but we are going head to head in the mavericks suns game tonite. Best of luck!
                  Comment
                  • Santo4osu
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-26-11
                    • 652

                    #254
                    Romanov, any thoughts on the other 2 games?
                    Comment
                    • phongmaxim
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-13-11
                      • 137

                      #255
                      loved your picks $$ cashed some already.

                      i have a parlay 3 waiting for MAVERICKS to cash the ticket. BOL
                      Comment
                      • Romanov
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-08-10
                        • 4137

                        #256
                        Santo:
                        I dont feel strongly about either but i lean towards the wiz and hornets covering. Im not betting em. If dwest was healthy i would be on the hornets. The wiz have screwed me a lot this season.

                        Phong:
                        Nice man! Congrats! Go mavs!
                        Comment
                        • phongmaxim
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-13-11
                          • 137

                          #257
                          Originally posted by Romanov
                          Santo:
                          I dont feel strongly about either but i lean towards the wiz and hornets covering. Im not betting em. If dwest was healthy i would be on the hornets. The wiz have screwed me a lot this season.

                          Phong:
                          Nice man! Congrats! Go mavs!
                          thanks for the $$$$$$ mavs -2 $$$$$$ bro, i hit a parlay 3 combined with 2 other hockey games....
                          Comment
                          • BigOrangeBrother
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-10-10
                            • 1538

                            #258
                            4-1 last night.....all I can say is damn!!!! Gonna hate when NBA season ends because I so look forward to your picks. Great job Rommy!!

                            Comment
                            • ShivaBowl
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-09-10
                              • 5133

                              #259
                              Fade NYN, next 12
                              2-0
                              Bucks +7 WIN
                              Bobcats, +4.5 WIN
                              7:30 PM ET Orlando Magic, M/L
                              Comment
                              • Romanov
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-08-10
                                • 4137

                                #260
                                4-1 Last night
                                36-18-1 overall
                                Comment
                                • himeshforex
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 05-29-09
                                  • 1414

                                  #261
                                  lets rock today guys !!

                                  im all over INDIANA +3 !!
                                  Comment
                                  • Romanov
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-08-10
                                    • 4137

                                    #262
                                    All of my plays have some bad line movement on them so I'm going to hold off until later
                                    Comment
                                    • shaggy3000
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-29-09
                                      • 5801

                                      #263
                                      Wish I would have just followed your picks. I've amassed a few more losers than you and it's cost me dearly
                                      Comment
                                      • Romanov
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-08-10
                                        • 4137

                                        #264
                                        Originally posted by shaggy3000
                                        Wish I would have just followed your picks. I've amassed a few more losers than you and it's cost me dearly
                                        That sucks man. I might go on a cold streak starting today, who knows. Eventually I will go 0-8 or something but hopefully not for a while.


                                        Anyways:

                                        1 play so far:

                                        Orlando Magic -1.5
                                        Comment
                                        • Romanov
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-08-10
                                          • 4137

                                          #265
                                          Not going to be around much today so I went ahead and bet the other 2 plays so in all for today I have 3 plays:

                                          Orlando Magic -1.5 (you can still get that line at Legends)
                                          Boston Celtics -2
                                          San Antonio Spurs -3

                                          Might be around just before the games start and could add a play but don't count on it
                                          Comment
                                          • jsell2200
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-26-11
                                            • 189

                                            #266
                                            I appreciate your honesty Romanov....too many handicappers brag and talk about their wins but get quiet when they lose....hopefully you will not lose but at least you are willing to say it might happen.....tailed your plays the other day...thanks....wish I had bet more...but thanks again. BOL
                                            Comment
                                            • Romanov
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-08-10
                                              • 4137

                                              #267
                                              Originally posted by jsell2200
                                              I appreciate your honesty Romanov....too many handicappers brag and talk about their wins but get quiet when they lose....hopefully you will not lose but at least you are willing to say it might happen.....tailed your plays the other day...thanks....wish I had bet more...but thanks again. BOL
                                              Well statistically I can expect a coldstreak. If I hit at a rate of 53% in the long run and I bet 100 more games this season, I can expect to hit a cold streak of about 6 games. If I bet 200 games, I can expect to lose 7 straight at some point.

                                              As for the picks today, the line movement on the Spurs is intimidating, and if the Celtics drop any lower that will be a little bit of a worry (maybe some people know more things than usual that I do not). If you are looking for a solid play, I say the Magic are it today.

                                              Edit: if we include the 55 games I have played, the expected cold streak goes up so just keep that in mind
                                              Comment
                                              • indianjoe
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 02-20-10
                                                • 100

                                                #268
                                                Your cold streaks ?????

                                                Your cold streaks are better then most hot streaks.......I am tailing you, wish could help but can not.
                                                Comment
                                                • Just_Wynn_Baby
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-25-09
                                                  • 188

                                                  #269
                                                  FYI....
                                                  CoversSports Covers.com Team
                                                  UNDER is 11-1 in #Celtics last 12; Rondo out tonight; Rodney #undermarchine Mott calling #Pacers @ Celtics. http://bit.ly/fm81nq
                                                  12 minutes ago Favorite Retweet Reply
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Romanov
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-08-10
                                                    • 4137

                                                    #270
                                                    HOLY FUKKK!!!

                                                    ALERT!

                                                    Get over to Bodog now if you bet the spurs -3. Bet the blazers +3 and get off of that fukking game. Tony Parker is out!

                                                    Plays tonight now:

                                                    Magic -1.5
                                                    Celtics -2
                                                    Spurs -3
                                                    Blazers +3 (-115)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • demens
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-22-10
                                                      • 2785

                                                      #271
                                                      Originally posted by Romanov
                                                      HOLY FUKKK!!!

                                                      ALERT!

                                                      Get over to Bodog now if you bet the spurs -3. Bet the blazers +3 and get off of that fukking game. Tony Parker is out!

                                                      Plays tonight now:

                                                      Magic -1.5
                                                      Celtics -2
                                                      Spurs -3
                                                      Blazers +3 (-115)

                                                      Bodog is not that slow buddy, they took the game off as soon as the news hit, its dumbass SBR that doesn't adjust their odds in time.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BigOrangeBrother
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-10-10
                                                        • 1538

                                                        #272
                                                        Creighton ML kept me from losing money last night. No problem.....let's get 'em tonight Rommy!!

                                                        Comment
                                                        • ShivaBowl
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-09-10
                                                          • 5133

                                                          #273
                                                          Fade NYN, next 12
                                                          2-1
                                                          Bucks +7 WIN
                                                          Bobcats, +4.5 WIN
                                                          Orlando Magic, Loss
                                                          Mar 30 7:30 PM ET New Jersey Nets
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ShivaBowl
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-09-10
                                                            • 5133

                                                            #274
                                                            No line plays yesterday.
                                                            31-36

                                                            Today’s plays based on early lines.

                                                            7:00 PM ET Washington State Cougars, +3
                                                            7:00 PM ET New Jersey Nets, +7 n/p if NJ >+8.5
                                                            10:00 PM ET Sacramento Kings, +1
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Romanov
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-08-10
                                                              • 4137

                                                              #275
                                                              Ouch

                                                              1-3 last night
                                                              37-21-1 overall

                                                              Plays today:

                                                              Heat -13
                                                              Suns -1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shaggy3000
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-29-09
                                                                • 5801

                                                                #276
                                                                Suns are in a must win situation. They should be able to get it easy tonight
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Romanov
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-08-10
                                                                  • 4137

                                                                  #277
                                                                  In pain. Sorry guys

                                                                  0-2 on the night
                                                                  37-23-1 overall

                                                                  Playing every game today
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Romanov
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-08-10
                                                                    • 4137

                                                                    #278
                                                                    I'm changing the way I bet to from flat units to weighted units based on confidence. Up to this point I am up 11.7 units.

                                                                    Rockets +3 (2.8 units to win 2.55 units)
                                                                    Warriors +11 (2 units to win 1.82 units)
                                                                    Hornets pk (1.4 units to win 1.27 units)
                                                                    Kings +12 (2.3 units to win 2.1 units)
                                                                    Thunder -3 (1 unit to win .91 units)
                                                                    Mavs -5.5 (3.7 units to win 3.36 units)

                                                                    Keep in mind I am 0-5 on my last 5 picks
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Romanov
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-08-10
                                                                      • 4137

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Mo plays:

                                                                      Cavaliers +10 (2.8 units to win 2.55)
                                                                      Raptors +4.5 (0.8 units to win .73 units)
                                                                      Heat -12.5 (2.3 units to win 2.1 units)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ShivaBowl
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-09-10
                                                                        • 5133

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Yesterdays Plays.
                                                                        1-2
                                                                        32-38

                                                                        Today’s plays based on early lines.
                                                                        7:00 PM ET Philadelphia 76ers, M/L –155
                                                                        9:00 PM ET Denver Nuggets, -12.5
                                                                        10:00 PM ET Oklahoma City Thunder, M/L -165


                                                                        Fade NYN, next 12
                                                                        2-1
                                                                        Bucks +7 WIN
                                                                        Bobcats, +4.5 WIN
                                                                        Orlando Magic, Loss
                                                                        Mar 30 7:30 PM ET Nets, +8.5


                                                                        GL Tonight, Romanov
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...