we will calculate this time and if i don't say bad words it not get closed
R.I.P. William Bee
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#2
Jazz +1.5 risking $220 to win $200
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#3
Good luck, how much will you put on miami tomorrow?
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#4
Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
Good luck, how much will you put on miami tomorrow?
not as much as you put on the lakers maybe a little less than half of your wager, which is still a big play for me
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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danller
SBR Wise Guy
04-05-10
734
#5
Good luck with your thread
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paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#6
Goodluck in here GM.
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#7
Originally posted by Goat Milk
Jazz +1.5 risking $220 to win $200
jefferson gets it done
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#8
Originally posted by Goat Milk
Jazz +1.5 risking $220 to win $200
Results: 96-94 Utah.
Results: Win
Total:
1-0 +$200
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#9
play # 2
Miami Heat +2.5
Risking $880 to win $800 (2nd biggest play of season after $1000 on LA vs. Portland)
Writeup below. Lets hope for that buzzer beater Dexter.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#10
I have Miami +2.5 right now and everyone in my area is on the Lakers which makes me happy. I booked this a few hours ago after discussing it with my guy (dexter is he tricking me? I dont think) Miami is going to shock everyone in this game. The only way I THINK they will lose is if Bryant/Fisher bury a buzzer beater.
Firstly Wade and James always show up against their big bro bryant. In the last 4 times bryant and wade have meet (la and miami), each game has been decided by 3 or less points. Miami won two of those close games and the lakers won two, 1 of them on a buzzer beater 3 from kobe for the win (last year). In the two times Lebron and Bryant met last year, the Cavs won both. Miami is not an easy place for the Lakers to play. They typically have very close games there.
Everytime Bryant plays against Wade/James, you see great performances. These guys love battling against one another and we'll see great performances from all as usual. Wade is the streakiest player of the 3 but he is in a groove right now after that portland performance. Artest is slow-footed on the defensive end and I think he will be a non factor in this game. Its possible that if no one shows up early, Bryant may be forced into doing too much at times. I see a good game from Bryant but lets see if his teammates get themselves invovled when it matters. The one significant advantage the lakers don't have over the heat's biggest weakness is at the point guard position.
Odom will probably see some significant minutes here to help out on Bosh who I beleive will actually be a factor in this game. As I mentioned in another thread Gasol historically struggles defending PF's that play facing the basket. I think we will find him slow footed, whether its off the dribble or defending a screen. Gasol will get his on the offensive end though. Theres no one on the Heat that can really stop him its just a matter of how many touches he gets. Odom is always the x factor for the lakers. He seems to fade in games like this I will take my chances with Odom and the Lakers bench. Usually Bryant Fisher and Gasol are the ones that step up in these road games. Bynum should play pretty well down low but I don't see him playing more than 25-30 min as he is an easy target for Lebron and Wade to create contact with and get to the line.
Finally I see Miami's bench playing decent. They are getting wide open shots in all these games, its just a matter of knocking them down. In the end, these are still nba players. They're not going to continue missing wide open shots. Mike Miller/Mike Bibby/James Jones only need to knock down 1-2 3s each, with chalmers chipping in his usual 10 points, and Z/Dampier combining for 5-8 points. Thats all the Heat really need. I think the crowd will be rocking in this game and we will see the hit start drilling some 3s and getting their confidence. Lastly, when Wade and Lebron played against LA on Christmas, one thing you noticed about Wade and Lebron was they were not standing around waiting for 1 to make a play. They were moving because they constantly wanted to be part of the action.
I see this being a pretty close game throughout, but I think the Lakers will be trailing for the majority of the game, and will perhaps make a late run. In the end, I expect Miami to execute simply because they are playing the world champs. If the Lakers win this game I think it will really be on a buzzer beater from Bryant. I do not see the Lakers winning by more than 2 if they do.
This is just my opinion.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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JOHON8
SBR Hall of Famer
01-28-10
7712
#11
Why post +2.5 when no one else is getting that line? I know you're getting it from your local but what's the point of sharing it if no one else is able to get it?
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vyomguy
SBR Hall of Famer
12-08-09
5794
#12
wow....2nd biggest play of the season on a game where there is no real edge .
The easiest bet on the board today is Suns ML.
Good Luck on your miami bet...but its 50/50 IMO.
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#13
Originally posted by JOHON8
Why post +2.5 when no one else is getting that line? I know you're getting it from your local but what's the point of sharing it if no one else is able to get it?
On plays where my local has -3 sometimes everywhere else is -1.5 and I post these plays as -3. I have done this on several occassions.
There were about 3 shops that had 2.5 when I posted this play as well. I fully support taking Miami at +2 too Johon.
Vyomguy, if I didn't think I had an edge with the writeup I did based on how these teams matchup, I would not have bet it. So there is definitely an edge (in my opinion).
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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JOHON8
SBR Hall of Famer
01-28-10
7712
#14
All your haters will be buried if Miami win which will make it extra sweet for you I suppose. lol GL tonight
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Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#15
Originally posted by JOHON8
All your haters will be buried if Miami win which will make it extra sweet for you I suppose. lol GL tonight
LA by 1
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#16
Originally posted by Goat Milk
play # 2
Miami Heat +2.5
Risking $880 to win $800 (2nd biggest play of season after $1000 on LA vs. Portland)
Results: 94-88
Results: Win
Total (YTD): 2-0 +$1,000
Friday, March 11
Play #3: Utah Jazz +1.5 Risking $110 to win $100
Kirilinko is back tonight and he is pretty valuable defensively in this game as he should be able to make beasely work for buckets. I think Jefferson is extremely motivated right now. The guy has been playing absolutely phenomenal since Derron Williams was traded. With the last second tip in and late comeback against the Raptors last game, and a playoff seed on the line, I think the jazz will give a good effort tonight. There is RLM in this game, but it does not concern me. Go ahead and try to outsmart yourself Vegas and take the Timberwolves as a home favorite against a team that will likely sweep them this year.
Play #4: Portland -1/Magic -1 (2 team Teaser) Risking $110 to win $100
Play #5: Atlanta +7 Risking $110 to win $100
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#17
I like Utah and Atlanta as well
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No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#18
I like Atlanta, but the total seems too low for a close game.
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Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#19
Originally posted by No coincidences
I like Atlanta, but the total seems too low for a close game.
how many points were scored when they played last time?
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lyon804
SBR Hall of Famer
11-02-09
6526
#20
Goatmilk, you won't believe this but I have the same exact teaser for shits n giggles later to have "action" on Orlando in the nitecap. I have shit all over the Portland ML.. Hopefully it doesnt' shit all over me later... Also did the teaser with Orl to bring down my dollar cost avg on the ML with Portland as I see it as a "sure" thing.. GL to you big "pimpin"
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#21
good luck tonight goin out for awhile
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#22
thse are for big pimipin Dexter Lyon
No coincidences does that mean you are taking the twolves tonight---its an auto play solely based on line movement.
We not pimpin tonite goatmilk. Blazers got me good. Good thing you only bet pennies tonite.
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#25
Play #3: Utah Jazz +1.5 Risking $110 to win $100
Results: 122-101
Results: Loss
2-1
Play #4: Portland -1/Magic -1 (2 team Teaser) Risking $110 to win $100
Results: 97-92
Results: Loss
Play #5: Atlanta +7 Risking $110 to win $100[/quote]
Results: 94-76
Result: Loss
2-3 +(1,000 - $330)
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#26
Play 6: Heat -4/Utah +14.5 Risking $110 to win $100
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#27
Play 7: Portland -1 Risking $220 to win $200
Play 8: Bucks -2 Risking $220 to win $200
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#28
Originally posted by Goat Milk
Play 7: Portland -1 Risking $220 to win $200
Play 8: Bucks -2 Risking $220 to win $200
Play 7 Update: Portland -1 for $330. added $110.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#29
Originally posted by Goat Milk
Play 7 Update: Portland -1 for $330. added $110.
I bought ATL off when I heard Hortford was out.
I think you have a winner here, Goat.
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#30
Play 9: Lakers -1 Risking $220
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#31
Portland is a shitty team. Can't win away from rose garden. will be glad to fade them come playoff time.
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#32
Play 6 Teaser: Loss -$110
Originally posted by Goat Milk
Play 7: Portland -1 Risking $330 to win $300
Play 8: Bucks -2 Risking $220 to win $200
Play 7: Loss -$330
Play 8: Win +$200
Originally posted by Goat Milk
Play 9: Lakers -1 Risking $220
Play 9: Win +$200
2-2 -$40, definitely not the night i was expecting with all the potential. I knew I should have just stuck with Bucks and the Lakers. Portland was a bad call. Bucks was free money. The matchups aligned and the books were making it so obvious Bucks were gonna win.