NBA Daily Picks

[GarbageMan]

Houston line is out Kob, they're at -6.5

[kobstopa]

Houston line is out Kob, they're at -6.5

seen it, thank.

I like
Utah at Houston
Play Houston -3.5 at the half

In the last 3 games at home, they led average 7-9 points by the half. Included last one against Boston. I think it will be all the same, they will come out with full energy.

[kobstopa]

Standing ATS (59-50) - NBA (37-30) NHL(22-20)

[kobstopa]

Standing ATS (59-50) - NBA (37-30) NHL(22-20)

Projection for 21 March 2011:

1. Orlando at Cleveland 103 88
2. Indiana at New Jersey 105 94
3. Boston at New York 110 102
4. Sacramento at Chicago 87 99
5. Utah at Memphis 99 107
6. Golden State at San Antonio 96 113
7. Toronto at Denver 93 110

___________________________________

[kobstopa]

Toronto at Denver

Toronto:

TOR are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Under is 10-4 in TOR last 14 road games.
Under is 41-18 in TOR last 59 Mon. games.

Denver:
Under is 7-1 in DEN last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
DEN are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 8-2 in DEN last 10 overall.

play total under 214.5 ATS (60-50) - NBA (38-30) NHL(22-20)


NHL
___________________________________
Pittsburgh at Detroit
Pittsburgh:
Under is 6-2 in PIT last 8 road games.
Under is 34-16-1 in PIT last 51 overall.

Detroit:
DET are 9-0 in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 10-4-1 in DET last 15 Mon. games.
DET are 302-128-16 in their last 446 home games.

Head to Head:
Home team is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.

Prediction: Detroit 3 Pitts 0

Play total under 5.5 ATS (60-51) - NBA (38-30) NHL(22-21)

Play wings to win ATS (60-52) - NBA (38-30) NHL(22-22)

___________________________________
Calgary at Los Angeles
Calgary:
Over is 9-1-1 in CAL last 11 road games.
Over is 8-1 in CAL last 9 vs. Pacific.
Over is 20-7-2 in CAL last 29 overall.

Los Angeles:
Under is 7-3 in LA last 10 Mon. games.

Head to Head:
CAL are 24-9-2 in the last 35 meetings.

Prediction: Cal 4 Kings 2

Play total over 5.5

[TrafalgarLaw]

Hi.Congratulations with yesterday's picks. Good job!
What do you think about this picks:
MEM -5.5
SAS -8.5
CHI -12

[kobstopa]

Hi.Congratulations with yesterday's picks. Good job!
What do you think about this picks:
MEM -5.5
SAS -8.5
CHI -12

Hi there Law, you're a one positive man, I am still piss wit 2 games was tossed, i didn't lose any money on it but just still hate to lose.

NJ@Was - the nets was on track in the half, i went to sleep & woke up & like What? but their energy guy-Farma was out at the same time, thing completely turned around for the Wizards in the 2nd half.

Sac@Minn - K. Love was out earlier.

Anyway, Memphis -5.5, should cover at home, cause Mem is 8th in the west while these guys are lurking behind for their spot: Houston, Phoenix, and Utah. Will be business as usual for them, a good physical match up in the middle

No play for me SAS -8.5 & CHI -12: why?

spurs -8.5 can be a problem as they have locked up a playoff spot already, they will rest their key players, will play them minimal minutes to keep conditioning, this would mean the third unit will get the minutes, they are
Chris Quinn, Steve Novak, Gary Neal, Matt Bonner. I like the shooting of Gary Neal & Matt Bonner can bring.

GSW will go with their usual line up Ellis, Curry, Lee, Dorell Wright; these guys can go off with their streak shooting. In short, a good line would be Spurs -3.5 to -5, it just too unpredictable here.

Chicago -12, the Booker put a tough decision out & they are quiet good at it. The Bulls will come out & play with same intensity even they got a playoff spot two months ago or not. Their starters are likely to put the same effort again and again, its all a habit for them. But the question is more with the Kings, how crazy are they ?. Chi -10 probably just ok.

Line play is getting harder now,
consider play with half time line, a good spot is looked for a team with quick & solid leadership at point guards to push the ball in a must win game - example, yesterday the Rockets & the suns.

gl

[TrafalgarLaw]

Oh.. problems with my brain.. i very like this pick, but you say right things and i refuse from this pick. Big thanks.
But.. what play today..?((
Not upset, yours bankroll returns
Goodluck

[kobstopa]

Oh.. problems with my brain.. i very like this pick, but you say right things and i refuse from this pick. Big thanks.
But.. what play today..?((
Not upset, yours bankroll returns
Goodluck

you have to go with your feel and instinct sometime, which is fine.

my pick is only one for now:

Toronto at Denver
play total under 214.5

and NHL play as posted above,
have fun and goodluck.

[kobstopa]

add

Indiana at New Jersey
The Nets is a dangerous team at home with or without D. Will. Lopez & Hamphries are solid in the glass, both combined a 20 points-20 rebounds workhorse. It's common to see this team come out slow at the start and their guards off the bench will rally late the 2nd half to narrow the margin and try to close it out.

The Pacers will look to their guards push the ball earlier, aggressive attack to build the margin and take the lead.

Play Ind -1.5 in the half. ATS (60-53) - NBA (38-31) NHL(22-22)

___________________________________
Sacramento at Chicago
Boozer will return, the Bulls gets extra help with the boards. As usual we can expect a solid effort defensively by the Bulls, even though a playoff is secured, they will force a few miss shots & run half court play and control the tempo. The Kings will have an excellent match up effort in the post with Thompson, Dalembert and Cousins. Their guards will miss a few outside shots as the Bulls will give them no space and limited look at the basket.

Play total under 196.5 ATS (60-54) - NBA (38-32) NHL(22-22)

[odog11]

Hey, I am with you Detroit and the under tonight.

What are your thoughts on the Celtics and the over? I am thinking of doing Celtics to win(-130) parlayed with the over. I like the Celtics to win and no need to give up the points for the juice in a parlay is my thinking.

[GarbageMan]

Sound logic behind yo picks Kob, best of luck mate
Don't want to hijack yo thread, but to the last poster, my computer model gives a strong indication that BOS/NYK goes over...

[kobstopa]

Sound logic behind yo picks Kob, best of luck mate
Don't want to hijack yo thread, but to the last poster, my computer model gives a strong indication that BOS/NYK goes over...

well my projection is 110+102> 197.5 therefore over.
But these 2 teams are unpredictable of late; you just never know & hard to get a feel of it. Playoff wise, Boston in the driver seat. If the game off to a bad start they will toss it just like that, example at Houston's game, Doc River said exactly that "our guys got no energy, **** it, i'm not gonna risk it", play enough just to keep on conditioning & routines.

NKY also might know this & come out solid, they might end up with a win and then what's his name Melo turns this into a statement game circus like at Miami, will say "well we had enough, this is a statement game for us, man we can play, ain't nobody mess with us".

[kobstopa]

Hey, I am with you Detroit and the under tonight.

What are your thoughts on the Celtics and the over? I am thinking of doing Celtics to win(-130) parlayed with the over. I like the Celtics to win and no need to give up the points for the juice in a parlay is my thinking.

Good luck my friend, go Wings. I had made my comment on Celtics in above post.

[odog11]

I agree the Nicks will be motivated, but I think the Celtics will be as well. They have dropped some games recently and in the fight for the top seed in the East there won't be that much margin for error, so they will come in feeling they need this game and will need to come out strong to get it.

Just got the news, Matt Cooke out for the game and the rest of the season, kind of new he was going to be out tonight.

[kobstopa]

Standing ATS (59-50) - NBA (37-30) NHL(22-20)

Projection for 21 March 2011:

1. Orlando at Cleveland 103 88
2. Indiana at New Jersey 105 94
3. Boston at New York 110 102
4. Sacramento at Chicago 87 99
5. Utah at Memphis 99 107
6. Golden State at San Antonio 96 113
7. Toronto at Denver 93 110

__________________________7/7 correct estimate_____

update: a good straight forward results, but a bit off 3, 4 & 7 with total over/under points & margins. I'm happy with 3 closed estimate.

1. Orlando at Cleveland 103 88 - result: Orlando 97 Cleveland 86
2. Indiana at New Jersey 105 94 - result: Indiana 102 New Jersey 98
   
3. Boston at New York 110 102
4. Sacramento at Chicago 87 99
5. Utah at Memphis 99 107
6. Golden State at San Antonio 96 113 - result: Golden State 96 San Antonio 111

[Avenger]

Good stuff, good stuff!

Is this a computer program? Whatever it is, I love it. Hope you post every day.

I use your numbers initially, then I think about recent trends I've observed; like who is on fire (Nuggets), who is motivated (Heat, Lakers, Pacers), who are sloppy (Knicks, Celtics). I shuffle and blend all the info into my brain.... voila! I made my pics.

Your numbers may not be close but it's still a great tool to predict who is going to win, who is going to win big, who is going over/under. It may not be precise, but it's accurate.

Cheers! Keep up the good work.

[kobstopa]

Good stuff, good stuff!

Is this a computer program? Whatever it is, I love it. Hope you post every day.

I use your numbers initially, then I think about recent trends I've observed; like who is on fire (Nuggets), who is motivated (Heat, Lakers, Pacers), who are sloppy (Knicks, Celtics). I shuffle and blend all the info into my brain.... voila! I made my pics.

Your numbers may not be close but it's still a great tool to predict who is going to win, who is going to win big, who is going over/under. It may not be precise, but it's accurate.

Cheers! Keep up the good work.

Hi there Avenger,

that computer program is spread sheet as you can tell with a cut & paste with nos on the right, the other is mostly human which is me; gather various intel sources from Hollinger's stat ESPN to , http://www.hoopsstats.com
http://www.nbastuffer.com/ - some good info for coaches & GM materials if interested.

you're right "numbers may not be close but it's still a great tool to predict, It may not be precise, but it's accurate", that's what i give to people everyday, and you would know if I am right 100%, i wouldn't mind becoming rich, don't mind to own an NBA team just for the love of it, any team !!! even Cleavland or the Lakers. you all invited to work for the team for sure.

can forget the Lakers, the queue is too long....

at the start of this post, also i had commented on method & how hint as well. till next time.

[kobstopa]

ATS (59-50) - NBA (37-30) NHL(22-20)

Projection for 22 March 2011:

1. Chicago at Atlanta 100 88
2. Washington at Portland 86 105
3. Phoenix at LA Lakers 96 101

__________________________________

Phoenix at LA Lakers

Coming to this game, the vintage suns will face a 13% discount of Lakers.
No, not the court-side seat's price tag. I am talking about Bynum's suspension. The Lakers is the one team would appreciate the higher level of basketball that the Phoenix suns can play this time of the year. In reflection of last year's western conference final match up. The Suns held LA's to average 41.8% shooting through out the series. It was game 6, Artest's unexpected basket in the dying sec earned LA a trip to the final, but that game had cost me big time dole, as I vividly sobered.

This game is important to both teams; from a one as a litmus test for a playoff ready, and the other is a must win to secure a tight playoff spot, so the respective stake is good enough for both to play defense to force some bad shots and a buck must be earned when key situation is call-for. Therefore, I have no i, no deer of what to pick.

Phoenix:
Over is 9-2 in PHO last 11 Tue. games.

L.A. Lakers:
Under is 6-2 in LAL last 8 vs. NBA Pacific.
LAL are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Under is 7-3 in LAL last 10 Tue. games.

Head to Head:
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.

But in the last 10, Over/Under: LA(2-8) & Suns(3-7), also Suns' O/U last 7 (0-7).
So, fire in da hole.

Play total under 199.5 ATS (62-53) - NBA (40-31) NHL(22-22)

__________________________________

Chicago at Atlanta
Da Bulls at the land of living dead, another important game to both teams, from one as a litmus test for a playoff ready and fine tuning. Plus a little revenge factor for the Bulls. It will be a physical match up in the post. The Hawks is a tough to beat at home, but expect the Bulls to challenge the Hawks' shooters off the screen and will force them to take some bad shots. Atlanta will go to inside with Josh Smith, he'll get a few buckets and 3 points play, Johnson & Crawford = 35 points.

The team that control the glass and execute plays down the stretch will walk away winner; in this case the Bulls will pound ball inside to Noah or go for offensive board. Design outside 3's setup plays run off the pick screen for either Korver or Rose to knock it down in closing sec, maintain good possession. The rest will be foul shots to slow the clock.

CHI are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Tue. games.

Play Bulls -4 ATS (60-50) - NBA (38-30) NHL(22-20)
Play total over 180.5 ATS (61-50) - NBA (39-30) NHL(22-20)

[kobstopa]

add

Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers
Capitals, pug r not us. If these teams have a choice of winning without scoring any points, they probably will do just that, crazy ha.

Washington:
Under is 10-1 in WAS last 11 vs. Atlantic.
WAS are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.
Under is 42-9-1 in WAS last 52 overall.

Philadelphia:
PHI are 6-2 in their last 8 Tue. games.
Under is 8-3 in PHI last 11 games following a win.
Under is 13-5 in PHI last 18 home games.

Prediction Capitals 3 Flyers 1

Play total under 5.5 ATS (61-51) - NBA (39-30) NHL(22-21)

__________________________________
Florida at NY Rangers
NYR at home, pug r us. Come and get it panthers.
Prediction Florida 2 NY Rangers 5

Play Rangers/over 5.5 ATS (61-52) - NBA (39-30) NHL(22-22)

[kobstopa]

Add

Was at Portland
Wall of confident will put to a stress test with G. Wallace hi-lo of basketball.
We seen this game once before when the Cav and Daniel Gibson came to town.

Play Portland -14.5

[kobstopa]

Add

Was at Portland
Wall of confident will put to a stress test with G. Wallace hi-lo of basketball.
We seen this game once before when the Cav and Daniel Gibson came to town.

Play Portland -14.5

ATS (62-52) - NBA (40-30) NHL(22-22)
with 4 minutes to go, but game over, collect your money.

[kobstopa]

Wizards 76 Trail Blazers 111 final

[Avenger]

Good job again, man!

If I win the pool, you got SBR points headed your way.

[TrafalgarLaw]

Good job!
GL today!

[kobstopa]

ATS (62-53) - NBA (40-31) NHL(22-22)

Projection for 23 March 2011:

1. New Jersey at Cleveland 102 96
2. Atlanta at Philadelphia 91 102
3. Indiana at Charlotte 95 103
4. Memphis at Boston 88 97
5. Miami at Detroit 113 88
6. Sacramento at Milwaukee 94 108
7. Orlando at New York 107 95
8. Utah at Oklahoma City 95 104
9. Golden State at Houston 110 115
10. Toronto at Phoenix 94 109
11. San Antonio at Denver 99 113
12. Washington at LA Clippers 92 110

_______________________________________

[kobstopa]

Good job again, man!

If I win the pool, you got SBR points headed your way.

tx u

[kobstopa]

Good job!
GL today!

tx u,

[kobstopa]

Sacramento at Milwaukee
The Bucks is chasing 8th spot in the east with only 2 games behind the Pacers. The Sacramento is in town & that just what they need, the timing is perfect. The home town folks will look to see their team beat them Kings like a drum. Like it or not the Kings will have to see through 48 mins of basketball game that their chance of winning is zero to non.

MIL are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Play Mil -9 ATS (62-54) - NBA (40-32) NHL(22-22)

_______________________________________
Golden State at Houston
Two of the league fast pace teams is facing for the thrid time this season & we can expect a "Scoring R Us".

Head to Head:
GS are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
Over is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.

Play total over 216.5 ATS (63-54) - NBA (41-32) NHL(22-22)

_______________________________________
Orlando at New York
D12 will go out about quietly with his 20-20 and collect a win, while Carmelo is poundering "man, I'm in New York now, why can't they just let me win one ? damn it".

Orlando:
Under is 8-2 in ORL last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 16-5 in ORL last 21 overall.
Under is 7-3 in ORL last 10 road games.

Play Magics -1.5 ATS (64-54) - NBA (42-32) NHL(22-22)
Play total under 204.5 ATS (64-55) - NBA (42-33) NHL(22-22)

_______________________________________
Miami at Detroit
Happy day is here again, for now.

Play Heats win by 10 ATS (64-56) - NBA (42-34) NHL(22-22)


_______________________________________
Memphis at Boston
Zibo and KG will celebrate a late St Patrick's day and play a Boston's brand of basketball.

Play total under 188.5 ATS (65-56) - NBA (43-34) NHL(22-22)

[kobstopa]

add

Atlanta at Philadelphia
Another potential blown out for the Hawks, last time these two teams had met the 76ers won 117-83 on the road.
Play Philly -6.5 ATS (65-57) - NBA (43-35) NHL(22-22)

[kobstopa]

add
Washington at LA Clippers
Without injured Andray Blatche, Rashard Lewis and Nick Young, losing with a good margin will be hard in LA,
while the Clip is in full strength at home. Welcome to the jungle John Wall.

Play LA Clippers -13.5 ATS (65-58) - NBA (43-36) NHL(22-22)

[kobstopa]

ATS (62-53) - NBA (40-31) NHL(22-22)

Projection for 23 March 2011:

1. New Jersey at Cleveland 102 96
2. Atlanta at Philadelphia 91 102
3. Indiana at Charlotte 95 103 x
   
4. Memphis at Boston 88 97 x
   
5. Miami at Detroit 113 88
6. Sacramento at Milwaukee 94 108 x
   
7. Orlando at New York 107 95
8. Utah at Oklahoma City 95 104
9. Golden State at Houston 110 115
10. Toronto at Phoenix 94 109
11. San Antonio at Denver 99 113
12. Washington at LA Clippers 92 110

__________________________9/12_correct ___

update:

[kobstopa]

ATS (65-58) - NBA (43-36) NHL(22-22)
Projection for 24 March 2011:

NO 96 Utah 92
Timberwolves 84 Mavericks 110

[SDias35]

Dallas to win with handicap

What do you think Dallas -15.5?

[kobstopa]

What do you think Dallas -15.5?

i don't like it. i would wait for tomorrow, we have 13 games with better spot.