NBA Daily Picks

[garbin]

Man take it easy, all he does is to pick his own stuff and if you wanna jump in its cool but don't expect him to save your ass and restore your bank roll, if you do that you gonna end up f.ucked up again in the near future.

BOL anyway!

[TrafalgarLaw]

I ask for suggestions and anything else.

[kobstopa]

[ATTACH]26812[/ATTACH]

I had made a comment a couple of days ago that the line margin will be sharpen up to 4-6 type of range and here it is. The factor is may related to fact that top seed teams is going on the road. Also Bookers are adjusting it as it didn't take long for punters to see the reverse pattern of underdog so far, and this can cost them dearly if not timely response. The over/under too will follow suit due to defensive oriented and physical nature of the games.

Winning on the road in post season is never easy & that's what home court advantage is all about, Indiana has to please with their effort so far. They've played a sound defensive basketball, a solid game but up against a top team with solid home record, it's just really tough for them to close it out for a win & it's getting close, they have done almost everything right in these last 2 road games, but making adjustment in your next game that what's it all about. Now returning home, we can expect them play with similar defensive efforts and a much tough physical match up against the Bulls. T.J Ford is what they need, a Usan bol quick & 5 basketball games per season fresh leg, that's what he's good at and what a timing it is.

The same can be said about Portland's situation, Roy is better be ready as they will make him eat his word, limited his minutes on the road & against quicker guards was the right decision, and correct one for their team. We can expect the blazer to pay attention to the Mav's FG % & limit it to 43% or less, contain Dirk, enforce zone defense and the rest will fall into places.

[TrafalgarLaw]

Very good, Kobstopa
Now, i choose:
1) Miami ML + Portlan ML + Indiana +8.5
2) Miami ML + Aldridge\Dirk over 50.5 points + Rose over 38.5 points
3) Miami ML + Aldridge over 24.5 points + Rose over 28.5 points
4) Miami ML + Aldridge over 24.5 points + Indiana +8.5
5) Miami ML + Portland ML + Rose over 28.5

I like 1st, 3rd or 4th variant. What variant you like?
And, Collison out, who will replace him? Price? And for Rose is a good or Bad, what do you think?

[kobstopa]

Miami at Philadelphia
El heats is looked to hand them Philly a bad medicine at home. They're returned to a cycle similar to their opening season style of basketball where they have beaten everybody by double digit while held opponents to average 90 points or less the same time. They will look to play their strength; a killer transition finish, starting with pressure on every possessions, 3 points conversion - attack the rim & take time with shots selection, go to the baseline. The heats is playing with a sense of urgency, they set their sight for 2nd round match up. A speedy completion to this series will give them more time to rest & preparation ahead.

Young Philly will look to adjust their game too, coach Collins will cook up some plan for this but it's only so much they can do, either way, it will always start with a defensive scheme to dictate the game, pressure the ball and adjust the offense according to your opponent give it or somesort of shooting rhythms once goin.

Philadelphia:
Under is 8-0 in PHI last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 10-1 in PHI last 11 overall.
PHI are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall

We should see Miami take a commanding lead 3-0.

Take Miami -4.5
Take total Under 186.5

_____________________________________
Dallas at Portland
Emotional fuel the play at home for Portland, this is where they're at. 7 players will put a double digits and the Mav will be held to less than 93 points. Portland should prevail at the Rose garden by 8 points or more.
It's will be a must win for Portland basketball right here.

Dallas:
DAL are 14-38-1 ATS in their last 53 Thu. games.

Portland:
POR are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Take Portland -5.5

[kobstopa]

Very good, Kobstopa
Now, i choose:
1) Miami ML + Portlan ML + Indiana +8.5
2) Miami ML + Aldridge\Dirk over 50.5 points + Rose over 38.5 points dont even want to guess
3) Miami ML + Aldridge over 24.5 points + Rose over 28.5 points
4) Miami ML + Aldridge over 24.5 points + Indiana +8.5
5) Miami ML + Portland ML + Rose over 28.5

I like 3rd or 4th variant. What variant you like?
And, Collison out, who will replace him? And for Rose is a good or Bad, what do you think?

Collison out, who will replace him? T.J Ford - the ferrari of P.G

good luck, that's all I can say

[kobstopa]

I have asked by serveral why Miami -4.5 & the line is too good to be true ?

Well, it's wont be a walk in the park at Philly, they will play a must win game and they had demonstrated in last part of regular season that they can win against elite teams, they had some success:

3/11/11 Boston W 89-86
3/28/11 @ Chicago W 97-85
2/11/11 San Antonio W 77-71
2/8/11 @ Atlanta W 117-83

at Miami game 1, they came out strong. But in the end the team with true talents won & one is playing well together right now will win, like they say, the cream is raising to the top.
Philly has a bunch of excellent + 2 solid core veteran & still have a big match up problem against the Heats. They will win one maybe in game 4 but not this one.

sometime it is good to be true, we all had losing experience and taught us to alert for too obvious. but that's just human nature. Come tomorrow the heats still can lose, there's no guarantee in anything, classic example I had loss my ML Lakers opening game 1 recently, it happen.

I'll go with my call and knowing I have an excellent chance for the Heats cover -4.5 here.

Either way good luck everyone.

[kobstopa]

MLB
_____________________________________
White Sox at Tampa Bay
Tampa is continue to play well at home while the trend is in reverse for
Chicago. They had only 2 runs in last 3 game and is 2-8 Last 10 with 7 losing streak, 3-5 away record.
They have no answer here & just want to wrap it up and move on from this series.
Tampa maybe weak at pitch but should still win at home.

Starting Pitchers

Chicago: Floyd (1-1, 4.29 ERA)
Tampa Bay: Niemann (0-2, 6.32 ERA)

Chi. White Sox:
Under is 39-16-1 in CHW last 56 on astroturf.

Tampa Bay:
Under is 11-1 in TB last 12 on astroturf.
TB are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
Under is 37-13-1 in TB last 51 home games.

Tampa Bay had a string of bad run, but the momentum & confident is returned as they're .500 & look to close the series out.

Play Rays to win

_____________________________________
Cleveland at Kansas City Royals
A lot of runs is seemed the pattern between these 2 teams, today's game is no exception.
I think the Indians should win again with a better pitch, but I'll settle for above 9 runs here.

Play Over 8.5 Runs

_____________________________________
Houston Astros at New York Mets (5-13, 1-8 home)
The Mets negotiated for relief players from the Knicks and the Rangers, until that happen
Astro will smoke them out with this one. Houston will get a decent effort from Happ in pitching.

Starting Pitchers
Houston: Happ (1-2, 5.79 ERA)
New York: Capuano (1-1, 8.53 ERA)

Play Astros to win

[GarbageMan]

CHI\IND:
Rose over 28.5 and Granger over 19 points its a very good picks.. but i need to choose one of them. What you choose?

MIA\PHI:
LeBron over 26.5 points..

DAL\POR:
Nowitzki over 24.5 points, Aldridge over 23.5 points

Capped these 5 scoring as follows:

Rose 26
Granger 19.8
LeBron 25.7
Nowitzki 24.3
Aldridge 20.2

Hope this helps

[kobstopa]

Capped these 5 scoring as follows:

Rose 26
Granger 19.8
LeBron 25.7
Nowitzki 24.3
Aldridge 20.2

Hope this helps

Hey GarbageMan,
I dont know where you been man, I had me a 10-0 sweep yesterday:

A 10-0 total sweep today, yes
baseball 5-0
NBA 5-0

Roy Halladay, eat your heart out I got me a perfect pitch today

[GarbageMan]

Unreal mate, congratulations. I told you it was only a matter of time before you hit a great run.
Gutted I missed it, been too busy best o luck with your plays today, apart from the Rays as I'm on the White Sox

[TrafalgarLaw]

Capped these 5 scoring as follows:

Rose 26
Granger 19.8
LeBron 25.7
Nowitzki 24.3
Aldridge 20.2

Hope this helps

Thanks, man, big thanks!

And big thanks, Kob'a.
Today i bet on heat ml + balzers ml.

[garbin]

Baseball didn't go to well tonight hehe, come on the Heat now!

[kobstopa]

MLB
_____________________________________
White Sox at Tampa Bay
Tampa is continue to play well at home while the trend is in reverse for
Chicago. They had only 2 runs in last 3 game and is 2-8 Last 10 with 7 losing streak, 3-5 away record.
They have no answer here & just want to wrap it up and move on from this series.
Tampa maybe weak at pitch but should still win at home.

Starting Pitchers

Chicago: Floyd (1-1, 4.29 ERA)
Tampa Bay: Niemann (0-2, 6.32 ERA)

Chi. White Sox:
Under is 39-16-1 in CHW last 56 on astroturf.

Tampa Bay:
Under is 11-1 in TB last 12 on astroturf.
TB are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
Under is 37-13-1 in TB last 51 home games.

Tampa Bay had a string of bad run, but the momentum & confident is returned as they're .500 & look to close the series out.

Play Rays to win

_____________________________________
Cleveland at Kansas City Royals
A lot of runs is seemed the pattern between these 2 teams, today's game is no exception.
I think the Indians should win again with a better pitch, but I'll settle for above 9 runs here.

Play Over 8.5 Runs

_____________________________________
Houston Astros at New York Mets (5-13, 1-8 home)
The Mets negotiated for relief players from the Knicks and the Rangers, until that happen
Astro will smoke them out with this one. Houston will get a decent effort from Happ in pitching.

Starting Pitchers
Houston: Happ (1-2, 5.79 ERA)
New York: Capuano (1-1, 8.53 ERA)

Play Astros to win

bomb out bazeball today, go figure

[kobstopa]

Miami at Philadelphia
El heats is looked to hand them Philly a bad medicine at home. They're returned to a cycle similar to their opening season style of basketball where they have beaten everybody by double digit while held opponents to average 90 points or less the same time. They will look to play their strength; a killer transition finish, starting with pressure on every possessions, 3 points conversion - attack the rim & take time with shots selection, go to the baseline. The heats is playing with a sense of urgency, they set their sight for 2nd round match up. A speedy completion to this series will give them more time to rest & preparation ahead.

Young Philly will look to adjust their game too, coach Collins will cook up some plan for this but it's only so much they can do, either way, it will always start with a defensive scheme to dictate the game, pressure the ball and adjust the offense according to your opponent give it or somesort of shooting rhythms once goin.

Philadelphia:
Under is 8-0 in PHI last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 10-1 in PHI last 11 overall.
PHI are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall

We should see Miami take a commanding lead 3-0.

Take Miami -4.5
Take total Under 186.5
score: Miami 100 Philadelphia 94
_____________________________________
Dallas at Portland
Emotional fuel the play at home for Portland, this is where they're at. 7 players will put a double digits and the Mav will be held to less than 93 points. Portland should prevail at the Rose garden by 8 points or more.
It's will be a must win for Portland basketball right here.

Dallas:
DAL are 14-38-1 ATS in their last 53 Thu. games.

Portland:
POR are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Take Portland -5.5

outcome

[kobstopa]

Thanks, man, big thanks!

And big thanks, Kob'a.
Today i bet on heat ml + balzers ml.

Your parlay is looking excellent on track, gl

[garbin]

Heat saving the night!
Keep up the good work Kob, this shit happens man, can't win every night!

[garbin]

Specially after a 10-0 hehe.

[kobstopa]

Specially after a 10-0 hehe.

I know,
Part of my fault is I didnt go back to original forecast, the bulls was right on the money.

[TrafalgarLaw]

Ooooh.. it's a great game!!!
Big thanks, bro's!!!

[garbin]

Nice one Trafalgar!

[kobstopa]

Ooooh.. it's a great game!!!
Big thanks, bro's!!!

good one, man & stop betting your bank roll

i got portland -3.5*Seattle ML *Philly ML as well, just a small profit for the day,

[garbin]

I end up tonight -1.5 units down, but that's not a big deal, will play tonight kob?

[kobstopa]

I end up tonight -1.5 units down, but that's not a big deal, will play tonight kob?

I like Bos +3 & look at that the O/U is a lot sharper now i like said yesterday, they're catching up.
I may have narrow down to 2 or 3 plays, check back later on.

[TrafalgarLaw]

Thanks
Today i like Memphis ML and Ronde over xx points. Douglas bad def., my opinion.

[kobstopa]

Thanks
Today i like Memphis ML and Ronde over xx points. Douglas bad def., my opinion.

no Memphis game yet, till Saturday
or you mean Boston ML ?

[kobstopa]

[ATTACH]26871[/ATTACH]

The winning combination is usually here, I even over look it myself sometime.

[garbin]

Knicks will give it all tonight but I believe Celtics can cover it unless Carmelo Anthony plays a Jordan night.

[kobstopa]

Knicks will give it all tonight but I believe Celtics can cover it unless Carmelo Anthony plays a Jordan night.

Knicks will give it all tonight + a few kitchen sinks in the mix if they want,
that's exactly Boston too will see it, they love to put an end of NY's circus & they love to play at MSG. At least it's an over game, will be a high FG % - 50 % average or above. It's will be element of surprise.

Boston will love the fact that if they win this one, NYC is coming down & the attention, legacy is for them, not the knicks. This is a team made it to the final last year after a gap from championship year. People had dismissed them, i too thought they were old and slow, I hate Boston, if anything demonstrate their capable of winning I think their game this year and the record speak for itself.

And how many current all stars we have here? on this team.

I like Boston's chance in this game, and I know they love to humiliate the Knicks & Carmelo just they way had succeed it on Bron & the Clev last year.

[garbin]

Yeah man, I hope the Celtics will sink Carmelo and Spike Lee tonight, live moved up a lot, season record looks great, specially if you look at the 4th quarters.

[kobstopa]

Boston at New York
It's Hammer time at MSG, the green will invaded NYC, so lock up your door.
Take Boston +3

_____________________________________
Lakers at New Orleans
Kobe and Lamar will look to take back their home court advantage.

Play Lakers -5

MLB
_____________________________________
Phillies at San Diego Padres

Starting Pitchers
Philadelphia: Hamels (1-1, 4.32 ERA)
San Diego: Richard (1-0, 4.50 ERA)

Play Phillies to win

[TrafalgarLaw]

no Memphis game yet, till Saturday
or you mean Boston ML ?

No no, i mean Rondo over 12 points, if Billups out fo game.
Billups out, or no?

I like:
1) Atlanta ML
2) ATL\ORL UND 181
3) Lakers -3

[GarbageMan]

Capped these 5 scoring as follows:

Rose 26
Granger 19.8
LeBron 25.7
Nowitzki 24.3
Aldridge 20.2

Hope this helps

Actual scores below, damn wish I'd bet these now!

Rose 23
Granger 21
LeBron 24
Nowitzki 25
Aldridge 20

[GarbageMan]

Liking yo picks tonight Kob, taking Lakers and Celtics as well

[TrafalgarLaw]

Actual scores below, damn wish I'd bet these now!

Rose 23
Granger 21
LeBron 24
Nowitzki 25
Aldridge 20

I bet on Granger over 20.5, last night.
What do you think about Rondo over 12 points, today?