Heat -9 ?

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  • twelvejewelz
    SBR MVP
    • 01-29-11
    • 2388

    #1
    Heat -9 ?
    What do you think about the Heat -9 against the Raptors? Toronto is 10-17 at home, Heat is 20-10 away. Heat is 40-15 and Raptors are 15-40. Why are they only -9? The raptors are dogsh!t even at home and the heat is good away?? Is there any way that the Heat take it easy on them ?? I wanna bet big on the heat but the line seems odd to me.
  • NBA_Brosuf
    Restricted User
    • 02-14-11
    • 2489

    #2
    My newly and not yet proven system is showing that I should bet on top teams against the bottom of the crop team when laying points less than double digits.

    1) This will prevent an upset.
    2) This will hopefully prevent a neck to neck game where the spread on the fav team is at jeopardy and time is running out.
    3) Bet this style in the long run to gain positive units since top teams are slaying bottom of the crop teams by double digits more than 60% of the time. I'm being generous with the % there.

    Heat any good in slaying bottom of the crop teams?

    Going backwards

    Heat over clipper by 18
    Heat over cavs by 27
    Heat over TO by 17
    Heat lost clippers by 6 at the mighty upset home of the clippers
    Heat over washington by 1 <<--- booooooo
    Heat over cavs by 6
    Heat over cavs by 28
    Heat over TO by 9
    Heat over MN by 32
    Heat over NETS by 23
    Comment
    • shermanator
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-27-10
      • 510

      #3
      heat will go easy and win but won't cover.
      Comment
      • twelvejewelz
        SBR MVP
        • 01-29-11
        • 2388

        #4
        hmm. Wonder if a teaser may be in order for tomorrows plays. something like this?
        Select #1 : NBA Basketball for Game
        Orlando Magic 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
        Spread -7 -110 for Game
        Select #2 : NBA Basketball for Game
        Miami Heat 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
        Spread -5 -110 for Game
        Select #3 : NBA Basketball for Game
        Boston Celtics 2/16/2011 7:35 PM - (EST)
        Spread -7½ -110 for Game
        Comment
        • twelvejewelz
          SBR MVP
          • 01-29-11
          • 2388

          #5
          I was thinking though since the All star break is coming up that they may not want to kill themselves. Im trying to find one game i really like tomorrow and bet it really big and the heat game stuck out to me but then it seemed kind of odd at the same time. I would think it would be more like -11
          Comment
          • aireent777
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-21-09
            • 5930

            #6
            Originally posted by shermanator
            heat will go easy and win but won't cover.
            Bold statement.
            Comment
            • NBA_Brosuf
              Restricted User
              • 02-14-11
              • 2489

              #7
              Originally posted by shermanator
              heat will go easy and win but won't cover.
              The question that should be asking is can cavs play basketball.
              Comment
              • twelvejewelz
                SBR MVP
                • 01-29-11
                • 2388

                #8
                You have Wade, Bosh, Lebron All playing in the all star game so i Dont think there going to want to strain themselves but Toronto really sucks. The celtics game im unsure of as well because 4 great players from Boston will be there for the east to. Does this really make that much of a difference you think?
                Comment
                • twelvejewelz
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-29-11
                  • 2388

                  #9
                  true we have Kobe and Gasol playin the all star game to , i never trust the lakers and the cavs have been covering most of the time just not winning.
                  Comment
                  • twelvejewelz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-29-11
                    • 2388

                    #10
                    Or this?

                    Select #1 : NBA Basketball for Game
                    Orlando Magic 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
                    Spread -7 -110 for Game
                    Select #2 : NBA Basketball for Game
                    Miami Heat 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
                    Spread -5 -110 for Game
                    Select #3 : NBA Basketball for Game
                    Boston Celtics 2/16/2011 7:35 PM - (EST)
                    Spread -7½ -110 for Game
                    Select #4 : NBA Basketball for Game
                    Los Angeles Lakers 2/16/2011 7:35 PM - (EST)
                    Spread -6½ -110 for Game
                    Amount : Risking 500.00 To Win 1,500.00 USD
                    Comment
                    • korbal29
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-25-09
                      • 751

                      #11
                      heat will win and cover ,from now on the heat will put the pedal to the metal
                      Comment
                      • twelvejewelz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-29-11
                        • 2388

                        #12
                        This whole all star thing is making me nervous though and a lot of the lines are on the larger side
                        Comment
                        • twelvejewelz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-29-11
                          • 2388

                          #13
                          Originally posted by korbal29
                          heat will win and cover ,from now on the heat will put the pedal to the metal
                          Do you believe this though even though their 3 top players are in the all star game in a couple days? If they lose this game is it that big of a deal?
                          Comment
                          • DemoralizdDreamr
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-04-11
                            • 4319

                            #14
                            heat has a margin of 7.8
                            toronto of -5.8
                            so this could be like a 7 point win according to these number but the heat will dominate since wade, lebron and bosh are hot. I watch like every toronto game and this team doesn't have a good defensive player let alone 3. I think the heat cover and the trio scores a 100 points. They had 90 today.
                            Comment
                            • twelvejewelz
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-29-11
                              • 2388

                              #15
                              i wonder if i take the Heat and just buy the 2 points would that be the safest bet? Or will this all star game really affect the heats top 3 players for this game with toronto and heat only wins by a couple points?
                              Comment
                              • DemoralizdDreamr
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-04-11
                                • 4319

                                #16
                                Comment
                                • twelvejewelz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-29-11
                                  • 2388

                                  #17
                                  The video wont play whats in it?
                                  Comment
                                  • LBRookie
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 02-06-11
                                    • 33

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by twelvejewelz
                                    You have Wade, Bosh, Lebron All playing in the all star game so i Dont think there going to want to strain themselves but Toronto really sucks. The celtics game im unsure of as well because 4 great players from Boston will be there for the east to. Does this really make that much of a difference you think?
                                    All star game does not mean anything in my opinion.... I think they want to end the first half of the season with a bang....
                                    Comment
                                    • DemoralizdDreamr
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-04-11
                                      • 4319

                                      #19
                                      "lotta things said about him from the management side, from the upstairs group in toronto about him.. quittin and not playing through injuries and things like that, so y'know we gonna be there for our brother.. i'm glad that this is the last game before all-star, because we have some motivation"
                                      -Lebron James after Indiana Win
                                      Comment
                                      • sjm5122
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-22-08
                                        • 4213

                                        #20
                                        Heat love beating up on crap teams.
                                        Comment
                                        • NBA_Brosuf
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 02-14-11
                                          • 2489

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr
                                          "lotta things said about him from the management side, from the upstairs group in toronto about him.. quittin and not playing through injuries and things like that, so y'know we gonna be there for our brother.. i'm glad that this is the last game before all-star, because we have some motivation"
                                          -Lebron James after Indiana Win
                                          No kidding. I think this hate motivation is in TO is going to make the heat going out for blood. What happened when Vince Carter goes back to TO? He got booed too but he put up some sick azz points to make a point.

                                          I think tonight's game, Heat is going strong and using this game as a practice, high scoring game to make the trio look good for the all star game.

                                          The only way to shut them TO fans up is to kill Toronto by a big load. You don't boo me, I'll tear this house down.
                                          Comment
                                          • wikkidinsane
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 05-30-10
                                            • 13799

                                            #22
                                            I dont like the fact that Chalmers prob wont play tomorrow. Mike Miller is out but we can replace him with Jones/house
                                            Comment
                                            • twelvejewelz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-29-11
                                              • 2388

                                              #23
                                              The orlando play may be good as well as rashard lewis is out and wont play against his former team. I think the teaser may be in order as i never like laying so many points like that. I already put in the 1k Heat bet, now thinking of doing the Heat, Orlando, Celtics Teaser and leave The lakers out cause i dont trust them for anything lol
                                              Comment
                                              • twelvejewelz
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-29-11
                                                • 2388

                                                #24
                                                Mike miller is out with the head injury but he didnt even have any points today against the pacers only 3 reb ,1ast . Why isnt chalmers playing hes not on the injury report check here:
                                                Find all the latest Rotoworld fantasy sports news, live coverage, videos, highlights, stats, predictions, and results right here on NBC Sports.
                                                Comment
                                                • portnoy65
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 08-18-10
                                                  • 435

                                                  #25
                                                  Heat will cover...I think that
                                                  Comment
                                                  • FilletMaster
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-21-10
                                                    • 1096

                                                    #26
                                                    heat will win.. but dont think they cover
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Shroom
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 02-15-11
                                                      • 13

                                                      #27
                                                      Miami will win by 15
                                                      Comment
                                                      • riskyProps
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-11-10
                                                        • 2201

                                                        #28
                                                        I was impressed by the Heat with their start to the Pacers game yesterday. I was even more impressed that the Pacers came back to make it a game. The Craptors is no Pacers. They will end up as a skid mark
                                                        Comment
                                                        • twelvejewelz
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-29-11
                                                          • 2388

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr
                                                          "lotta things said about him from the management side, from the upstairs group in toronto about him.. quittin and not playing through injuries and things like that, so y'know we gonna be there for our brother.. i'm glad that this is the last game before all-star, because we have some motivation"
                                                          -Lebron James after Indiana Win

                                                          hopefully they really put it on toronto and embarrass them.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gtboy
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 06-15-10
                                                            • 810

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by twelvejewelz
                                                            hmm. Wonder if a teaser may be in order for tomorrows plays. something like this?
                                                            Select #1 : NBA Basketball for Game
                                                            Orlando Magic 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
                                                            Spread -7 -110 for Game
                                                            Select #2 : NBA Basketball for Game
                                                            Miami Heat 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
                                                            Spread -5 -110 for Game
                                                            Select #3 : NBA Basketball for Game
                                                            Boston Celtics 2/16/2011 7:35 PM - (EST)
                                                            Spread -7½ -110 for Game
                                                            replace bos with dal and u will win. bos here not in a good position. should win but not big
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 305GURU
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 10-04-10
                                                              • 1038

                                                              #31
                                                              Heat by double digits..Bosh will drop near 30 and play D in his return to Tor...GL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BettingWizard
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-28-09
                                                                • 6522

                                                                #32
                                                                what do you mean "only" 9 pts? that's huge for a road fav
                                                                Comment
                                                                • twelvejewelz
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-29-11
                                                                  • 2388

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Lucky i bought the 2 points!!! +1k for me today. wow they had me sweating. took your advice gtboy and put dallas in place of boston for the teaser just for little $$.
                                                                  heat -7 $1500 to win $1000 WIN

                                                                  PendingWIN
                                                                  Heat -5 WIN
                                                                  Magic -7WIN
                                                                  Dallas -6.5 WIN
                                                                  100 to win 180
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • twelvejewelz
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-29-11
                                                                    • 2388

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Cashed the Teaser to good day today.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DarkMage
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-20-09
                                                                      • 736

                                                                      #35
                                                                      to bad they only won by 8 I had a few dollars on the heat spread.
                                                                      Comment
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