Anthony's NBA Picks

**Anthonyg7** · 05-08-11, 12:55 PM

NBA[727] CHICAGO GM4 -3-120 (B+½) (x4)

**NBA_Brosuf** · 05-08-11, 01:09 PM

Happy mother's day to you ant. LOL

I'm with you on the chicago game and seems like the whole house is on the under in the lakers game.

Someone needs to hit in the 95+ for the over to even get a chance.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-08-11, 01:10 PM

Yeah i got no opinion on that laker game..

**Anthonyg7** · 05-09-11, 08:51 PM

NBA[732] (OKLAHOMA CITY GM4 vrs MEMPHIS GM4) TOTAL u197½-110 (x3)

**Anthonyg7** · 05-09-11, 11:39 PM

Ouch.. OT

**Anthonyg7** · 05-10-11, 03:26 PM

Let's try this again

GM5 Hawks/Bulls Under 181 (x4)

**Anthonyg7** · 05-10-11, 06:28 PM

GM5 Bulls -8.5 (x2)

**Thunderman** · 05-10-11, 06:56 PM

Like it, really feeling a big Bulls win tonight. BOL

**Anthonyg7** · 05-10-11, 10:00 PM

Didn't think both plays were going to cash at the start of the 4th. Bulls made it happen

2-0 +6.0 Units

**Anthonyg7** · 05-11-11, 04:58 PM

GM5 Boston/Miami Under 180.5 (x4)

GM5 OKC/Memphis Under 197 (x4)

According to pregame, 64% on Boston/Miami over, and 61% on OKC/Memphis over. Both lines have dropped half a point. 52% of game this post season have been unders. Both GM4s would gave gone under if it wasn't for OT..

**Anthonyg7** · 05-11-11, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

NBA Basketball 771 Boston Celtics (Series) +150* vs Miami Heat (Series) (x10)

Celtics can't close a damn game.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-12-11, 10:18 AM

Split last nights plays losing juice.

I was going to make a play on Chicago until I looked further into the consensus and line movement. According to pregame, 74% are on Chicago yet the let has not moved.

POINTSPREADS
05/11 12:26 -3½ +100 / +3½ -110
05/11 14:37 -3½ -101 / +3½ -109
05/11 22:13 -3½ +100 / +3½ -110
05/12 09:58 -3½ -102 / +3½ -108
05/12 10:22 -3½ -103 / +3½ -107

If I recall correctly, the same thing happened in Game 4. I'll be passing on taking a side here, I can't lay cash down on the Hawks at this point. My thought was that Chicago would not want to risk taking they series to game 7 and just take it in game 6. But I could be wrong here, ATL may come out on top tieing up the series once again.

As of now, there is 82% on the over and the line drops 0.5 point (Pinny).

TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
05/11 12:27 179 -101 / 179 -109
05/11 20:33 179 +104 / 179 -115
05/11 21:10 178½ +100 / 178½ -110
05/12 08:32 178½ -101 / 178½ -109

I'm feeling the under on this one.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-12-11, 12:13 PM

GM6 Bulls/Hawks UNDER 178.5 (x4)

**Anthonyg7** · 05-12-11, 11:16 PM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

GM6 Bulls/Hawks UNDER 178.5 (x4)

1-0 +4.0 Units.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-13-11, 10:23 AM

Friday 5/13

GM6 OKC/Memphis UNDER 195.5 (x4)

**Anthonyg7** · 05-13-11, 10:25 AM

Sunday 5/15

GM1 Bulls/Heat UNDER 181.5 (x4)

**Anthonyg7** · 05-13-11, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

Friday 5/13

GM6 OKC/Memphis UNDER 195.5 (x4)

GM6 1H OKC +1 (x2)

**Anthonyg7** · 05-13-11, 10:10 PM

should be a tough defensive game down the stretch.. need to avoid OT.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-13-11, 10:41 PM

2-0 +6.0 Units tonight.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-13-11, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

As Of 5/2/11

Documented YTD: 54-46 (54%) (+12.2 Units)

Season YTD: 139-123 (53%)

As of 5/13/11

Documented YTD: 62-53 (54%) +3.65 Units

**Anthonyg7** · 05-13-11, 11:03 PM

will probably pass on on CHI/Heat sides. May make a play on OKC/Memphis Under.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-15-11, 03:51 PM

Under looks good in OKC game.. i should have played it.

**zse55** · 05-15-11, 03:55 PM

Bulls ml-120........the bulls will win game 1 at home. They are playing as a team and are awesome on defense. They will frustrate miami's stars by their hard nose d.......under also looking very nice!!!!!!!

**Anthonyg7** · 05-15-11, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by zse55

Bulls ml-120........the bulls will win game 1 at home. They are playing as a team and are awesome on defense. They will frustrate miami's stars by their hard nose d.......under also looking very nice!!!!!!!

Good luck to you man.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-15-11, 05:30 PM

Wow what a turn out on OKC total total..

**Anthonyg7** · 05-16-11, 04:48 AM

0-1 Tonight -4.4 Units

**Anthonyg7** · 05-17-11, 03:12 PM

77% on OKC/DAL over.. i'm actually thinking of taking the under here..

**Anthonyg7** · 05-17-11, 03:28 PM

GM1 OKC Thunder VS Dallas Mavericks* Under 194 (x3)

Dallas limited Lakers to 86 PPG (over 4 games)
Dallas limited Portland to 88 PPG (over 6 games)

Thunder limited Grizzlies to 85 PPG (Games 5,6, and 7).

I'm expecting tough D from both sides.. these teams are 2-1 on the Over in the season, however, I expect a different tempo in the playoffs between these teams.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-18-11, 07:27 PM

GM2 BULLS/HEAT* UNDER 181 (x4)

**Anthonyg7** · 05-18-11, 10:21 PM

Got back what I lost last night.

**NBA_Brosuf** · 05-18-11, 10:28 PM

Good hit on that under there. The whole house on here was on the under. Loving it when the whole house agrees.

Any good leans for okc game 2? Now is a good time to think about it. Small play for me.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-19-11, 03:15 AM

Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf

Good hit on that under there. The whole house on here was on the under. Loving it when the whole house agrees. Any good leans for okc game 2? Now is a good time to think about it. Small play for me.

According to pregame, 80% are on the over. According to scoresandodds, 86% are on the over. Clearly, the totals bets are lopsided. Reverse line movement here, may make a small play on the under. I never feel comfortable playing totals with OKC.. they have burned me all season as well as this post season. I can't resist staying away from the under here with a 1.5 point reverse swing. Will wait for tomorrow to see how the line continues to move.

05/18 04:57 PM 200 -108 200 -102
5/18 02:33 PM 199½ -113 199½ +102
5/18 09:04 AM 199½ -110 199½ +100
5/18 09:03 AM 199½ -109 199½ -101
5/18 08:13 AM 199½ -105 199½ -105
5/18 08:12 AM 198½ -113 198½ +102
05/18 08:09 AM 198½ -110 198½ +100

**NBA_Brosuf** · 05-19-11, 03:27 AM

Originally posted by Anthonyg7

According to pregame, 80% are on the over. According to scoresandodds, 86% are on the over. Clearly, the totals bets are lopsided. Reverse line movement here, may make a small play on the under. I never feel comfortable playing totals with OKC.. they have burned me all season as well as this post season. I can't resist staying away from the under here with a 1.5 point reverse swing. Will wait for tomorrow to see how the line continues to move.

05/18 04:57 PM 200 -108 200 -1020
5/18 02:33 PM 199½ -113 199½ +1020
5/18 09:04 AM 199½ -110 199½ +1000
5/18 09:03 AM 199½ -109 199½ -1010
5/18 08:13 AM 199½ -105 199½ -1050
5/18 08:12 AM 198½ -113 198½ +102
05/18 08:09 AM 198½ -110 198½ +100

If that much people are on the over then why the hell is the line dropping?

It should be more people buying the under thus drive the prices to depreciate it's value.

I know they will not shoot lights out and have another poor officiating game. I'm expecting for the totals to drop but by how much, that I do not know.

I do have 21+12=33 as spooky points to shave off from both sides though. Not too sure until we are all sure.

EDIT: opps, I must have read your charting wrong. Recent is on the top. You are right. Folks are buying the over like a mother. hrmmmm, now I'm scared.

**Anthonyg7** · 05-19-11, 03:30 AM

I don't expect the same shooting performances and better D for game two. Dirk had a monster game. Game 1 of Bulls/Heat just went over, but I felt defensive adjustments would be made and should go under in GAme 2. May be the case here for Game 2, but then again I was wrong in Game 1. I just think OKC totals are scary and should be approached with caution.. look at what happened in the OKC/Memphis Game 7 total..

**Anthonyg7** · 05-19-11, 07:36 PM

No edge on the total after having my under crushed in game 1.. passing tonight.