Best Bets 3/1

[Illusion]

Who do you guys like for today?

I will track everybodies plays, so please make sure you post a line.

Also, I don't mind if you post parlays, teasers, or round robins, but these plays will not be reflected in the standings.

[Razz]

Plans changed, so I can actually post these:

2* South Florida +19
2* Texas A&M +7.5
1* Bowling Green +7
1* Duquesne +20
1* Rhode Island +5
1* Kansas -8.5
1* Mississippi +5
1* New Mexico -2
1* Virginia +14
1* Maryland -4.5
1* TCU +4.5

[mad]

Cav's -3
Pacers +3.5
Hawks +6
Pistons -4.5
Bucks +10.5
Bobcats (NBA Champs 2006) +7

[pags11]

Marquettte +3 (-105)
Lasalle -1.5 (-107)
Auburn +11.5 (+102)
Kentucky +5.5 (+100)
New Mexico -2 (-110)

[Illusion]

Yesterday's results:

imgv94: 6-0 +11.00
juuso: 1-0 +6.00
bama06: 4-1 +2.90
mahony: 2-0 +2.00
Jack: 2-1 +1.03
El Guapo: 2-1 +0.92
Illusion: 1-1 +0.07
dr03: 0-0-1 +0.00
shantystar: 1-1 -0.10
maritime: 1-1 -0.20
dave11486: 2-2 -0.20
pags11: 1-2 -0.98
fixxer: 0-1 -1.05
Seattle Slew: 0-1 -1.10
Razz: 2-3 -1.30
Wassymac: 1-2 -2.20
newb411breaker19: 0-2 -2.20

[bama06]

ncaa

marquette +3 vs l'ville, which has a record of 1-6 vs top 30. looks like the ND game all over.

[Illusion]

Games I am leaning towards. These aren't plays just yet.

Boston +5
Denver +5
Florida State +6.5
Purdue +3.5
Tennessee +6

[Illusion]

Purdue +2.5 +114

I almost bet the moneyline but decided not to. I'm holding off for better lines on the four other games.

[JayEgdarWho]

Based on last 10 games only:

SAC--2.0--CLE
WAS--3.4--IND
TOR--5.2--ATL
BOS--4.2--MIA
MEM--9.3--NY
NJ--1.7--MIN
DET--6.3--DEN
HOU--2.7--PHI
PHX--5.9--MIL
UTH--2.6--CHA
LAX--3.9--POR
LAC--2.9--NOK
GS--3.8--ORL

Lotta white-hot talent in the neighborhood right now.

I'll post some NBA thoughts later, but currently I'm outside the "zone" looking in, and it's damn crowded in there.

[El Guapo]

Games I am leaning towards. These aren't plays just yet.

Boston +5
Denver +5
Florida State +6.5
Purdue +3.5
Tennessee +6

My screen is shown -6 for Tennesee right now?

[Jack]

Atl/Tor Over 206
Milw/Pho Over 208 (2 units)
St. Lo/Day Under 113.5
Ohio St./Northw Over 122 (2 units)

[El Guapo]

8-10

From Pinnacle.

1 unit, Tennessee, -5 (-107)
1 unit, Kentucky-Tennesee, under 152.5 (110)
1 unit, Philadelpiha 76'ers, +5.5 (+101)

Paul

[Illusion]

Purdue +2.5 +114

I almost bet the moneyline but decided not to. I'm holding off for better lines on the four other games.

I thought for sure the line movement would be on Purdue, but I guessed wrong. I should have waited. I could have got +3 +118

I will probably add a 1/2 unit on the moneyline +166

[Illusion]

Boston +4 +118
Denver +3.5 +105

[Illusion]

Florida State +5.5 +110
Tennessee -6 +112
Purdue moneyline +166 (1/2 unit)

[dave11486]

Marquette +4 (-110)

Parlay ML:
Kansas (-500)
Ohio St. (-320)

[newb411breaker19]

miami heat -5.5
cleveland -3.5

[Dark Horse]

BOS +5.5
PHX 1H -5.5 - if this doesn't cover, play PHX 2H.
PHX tends to blow out the opponent for at least a half. The way I see it, this could be any half, so I'm at least playing even by taking the 1H. PHX best half record in February (either 1H or 2H): +24 (2H), +21 (2H), +9 (1H), +32 (1H), +14 (1H), +15 (1H), +18 (1H), 0 (the only loss), +15 (2H), +21 (1H). I won't play 2H if 1H covers, but I'll probably double up for 2H if the 1H loses. 1 unit for the record, though.

DET 2H any spread; if down, or up by less than 3 pts at half.
LAC -7.5

[mahony]

st jonns +16
st johns over125
la salle M/L
notre dame -1
texas tech -1.5

[JayEgdarWho]

2* SAC +3.5 (-107)
1* u192 @CLE (-107)
CLE and LBJ are wrung out – Motown boys will do that. SAC has no excuses off nice rest + POR tuneup. Cavs can only win in a grinder.

2* BOS +5.5 (-107)
Not sure why public remains in denial about Celtics. Been a nice 7-0-1 ATS ride since those 4 days off. Have to overcome “home at last” syndrome here, but this line = tremendous value.

2* NJ pick (got -101 yesterday)
1* o180.5 @ MIN (-107) (ditto)
Recent Wolves D = “point guards gone wild.” Kidd has his way in game NJ needs badly. Plus MIN consistently adrift down the stretch – suspect a coaching issue.

still looking at . . .

NY +12(?) and o186.5 (Knicks to score more than expected and hang around? MEM finally removed monkey in Wiz game thanks to Gasol -- hard to imagine them super-sharp here.)

WAS -3(?) (very doable for team with no bad outings for a LONG time. But same is almost as true for IND.)

DET -4(?) (machine-like greatness vs. team with no quality wins save over Mavs, who had many excuses. At their best Nugs can only stay close to top of the stretch. Would love a chance to give 3 at a reasonable price. Also wouldn’t hesitate to tease DET with the world.)

=================
oh, and of course . . .
*8 UTH -7
[kidding! -- if not on the wagon, I’d like CHA]

[juuso]

Washington Wizards -3.5 @ -102 (Pinnacle) 5 units

O'neil, Tinsley and Crosshere are still missing for Indy. They have played great without them, but i like washington at home here. They are 10-1 ats spread in last 11 and has been very strong in home games. If they will win this, i'm pretty confident they will cover the -3.5 spread.

Millwaukee Bucks +9.5 @ -107 (Pinnacle) 5 units

Bucks had an impressive game at Denver 2 days ago, winning 110-89. Milwaukee has mostly kept their away games pretty close this season, going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. Bucks has a lot to play for now as they want to gain ground in the playoff race. Suns is a machine, but i don't think they can win every home game by 10+ points. Could be a time for a let down here.

[imgv94]

C FLORIDA (12-13) AT MARSHALL (11-14)

CFL= AVG 60.3 PPG on Road

MAR= AVG 69.5 @ Home

That Stat alone is enough to merit a wager on MARSHALL.

1/11/2006
C FLORIDA 69
MARSHALL 73


Look for yourself


3*MARSHALL -3.5

[imgv94]

3*MARSHALL -3.5

adding:

1* Tennessee -6 +113

1/2 unit ML's

Clemson +165
Baylor +116
Marquette +191
Texas A&M +270

[onlooker]

Sorry so late guys:

1 unit:

Marquette +4 [+115]
Akron -1 [-108]
Northern Illinois -2 [-106]

[bama06]

3 game parlay

going with penn st+12, NJ-2, and orlando +4 (100.00) to win 600.

[Dark Horse]

Adding:
4 tm parlay (+1300)
BOS +5.5
DET -4.5
PHX -9.5
LAC -7.5

[imgv94]

adding:

3*Notre Dame -1 +103

[imgv94]

adding:

1* Duq/Char Under 147.5

[adriano]

NJ/MIN over 183 -105
MEM 1st H -7 +107

adding nj/min 1st H over 90 +144

[imgv94]

adding:
1*Memphis -12.5 +120
1* Baylor -1 +111

[adriano]

here is a teaser

nj/min o 174.5
lakers -1
magic +9

[imgv94]

adding:
1*Memphis -6.5 1st h.
1* Texas A&M +6.5

[imgv94]

RECAP:
3*MARSHALL -3.5
3*Notre Dame -1 +103
1* Tennessee -6 +113
1*Memphis -12.5 +120
1* Baylor -1 +111
1* Duq/Char Under 147.5
1*Memphis -6.5 1st h.
1* Texas A&M +6.5

1/2 unit ML's

Clemson +165
Baylor +116
Marquette +191
Texas A&M +270

I know me doing this helps you out Illusion.

[JayEgdarWho]

teases
*1/2 DET-LAX
*1/2 DET-LAC
*1/2 DET-Maryland
*1/2 DET-New Mexico

[imgv94]

RECAP:
3*MARSHALL -3.5
3*Notre Dame -1 +103
1* Tennessee -6 +113
1*Memphis -12.5 +120
1* Baylor -1 +111
1* Duq/Char Under 147.5
1*Memphis -6.5 1st h.
1* Texas A&M +6.5

1/2 unit ML's

Clemson +165
Baylor +116
Marquette +191
Texas A&M +270

I know me doing this helps you out Illusion.

adding:
2* New Mexico -2.5
1*Ohio St 2nd h -3.5
1* BYU -7.5 +114