Guarantee yourself a 15% Return

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  • ssk13809
    SBR MVP
    • 08-25-10
    • 2595

    #1
    Guarantee yourself a 15% Return
    The odds last time I checked of the Lakers winning the conference was +130. The Spurs was also +130.


    Let's be honest, ONE of those teams will win the West no matter what. That's a guarantee.



    Put money on Lakers +130
    Put just as much on the Spurs +130


    And if one of those teams win the conference, you get a 15% return on your investment. You can also adjust this rate by maybe putting more on the Lakers or Spurs, so you can get a 20% if Lakers win and 10% if Spurs win or something.




    For those who just want to make guaranteed money and live in peace, just put your entire bankroll on this and enjoy the rest of the NBA season.
  • bonduforlife
    Restricted User
    • 08-21-10
    • 1222

    #2
    which book has this???
    Comment
    • ssk13809
      SBR MVP
      • 08-25-10
      • 2595

      #3
      Originally posted by bonduforlife
      which book has this???
      I was on Bookmaker and they had Lakers +130 and Spurs +130 to win conference. That sounds about accurate as well. Most books should be around the same I assume.
      Comment
      • ssk13809
        SBR MVP
        • 08-25-10
        • 2595

        #4
        Come on people you won't get guaranteed deals like this everyday. Personally, I prefer the 20% Lakers-10% Spurs profit deal.
        Comment
        • riskyProps
          SBR MVP
          • 11-11-10
          • 2201

          #5
          It may be a safer bet but it is still a bet. bets are not guarantees. it may be a good bet if you are betting like $20,000.00 or so.

          I, myself like more risk/reward type situations.
          Comment
          • ssk13809
            SBR MVP
            • 08-25-10
            • 2595

            #6
            Originally posted by riskyProps
            It may be a safer bet but it is still a bet. bets are not guarantees. it may be a good bet if you are betting like $20,000.00 or so.

            I, myself like more risk/reward type situations.
            lol okay. I guarantee you 90% of you won't make 15% profit this NBA season.
            Comment
            • klrqn
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-04-10
              • 257

              #7
              You think it's more likely LA comes back to take the lead by the end of the season?

              Personally like SA 20 / LA 10.

              You'd have to put something like 10k to make this with it tho
              Comment
              • ssk13809
                SBR MVP
                • 08-25-10
                • 2595

                #8
                Ok but no harm in putting even a small amount on this. Profit is profit. Unless all of SBR thinks they will do better than 15%.

                You guys realize making bets like these is exactly what the books don't want to see happening. They want you to avoid this bet and "think" you can do better. And guess what, just like every year, the book wins.
                Comment
                • Power Play
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-01-10
                  • 1224

                  #9
                  There's a 15% chance that someone else is coming out of the west.
                  Comment
                  • ssk13809
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-25-10
                    • 2595

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Power Play
                    There's a 15% chance that someone else is coming out of the west.


                    Do you even watch the NBA? This is not the NFL or NCAA where its 1 game and you're out. They play series here, where the better team wins. No one in the West is going to beat the Lakers or Spurs in a SERIES. Coaching, players, experience, talent, and many more edges for the Lakers and Spurs.
                    Comment
                    • Power Play
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-01-10
                      • 1224

                      #11
                      People could get injured. Dallas or Oklahoma City have a small chance to win if they get hot. NBA where amazing happens. Lakers and Spurs both old and with a major injury (not out of the question) would severely influence their chance at winning. That's why it's called gambling. There are no "locks"
                      Comment
                      • todd24kb
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-21-10
                        • 646

                        #12
                        The only things guaranteed you'll see in our lifetime are taxes and death.
                        Comment
                        • Fasttrack
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-23-10
                          • 464

                          #13
                          Sounds like a pretty good strategy. Wish my book had this prop.
                          Comment
                          • demens
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-22-10
                            • 2785

                            #14
                            Mavs will be just as good as these teams come play-off time.

                            OKC, Den can be hot and the playoffs and surprise everyone.
                            Comment
                            • ssk13809
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-25-10
                              • 2595

                              #15


                              OKC, Denver, Dallas, we hear those names every year. But when it comes to series, these teams will be -300 underdogs to win. Good luck.


                              Just realize Lakers or Spurs have represented the West 11 out of the last 12 years.

                              And this year both teams are strong, some of those 12 years only one of them had a chance to represent the West. In fact, they will be the #1 and most likely #2 seeds.




                              Whatever, just trying to help.
                              Comment
                              • ATP123
                                Restricted User
                                • 10-30-10
                                • 1094

                                #16
                                better take a flyer on oklahoma city, never discount the best player in the nba
                                Comment
                                • BettingWizard
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-28-09
                                  • 6522

                                  #17
                                  OKC has a chance if they get their defense together. Don't say they can't win a 7 game series
                                  Comment
                                  • Bradyd
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-19-08
                                    • 1067

                                    #18
                                    Having to wait 3 to 4 months for a 15% return make work in the stock market, but it doesn't fly here in the sports market. Add the fact that both of these teams are old, injury prone and neither one needs to have home-court advantage, means that there are better bets out there. You would come out better by either picking 1 and sticking with it, or just betting a highly favorite team on a given night. At least with the latter, you wouldn't have to wait so long to cash in and at most sweat it out for 48 minutes...
                                    Comment
                                    • slimpickins
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-12-10
                                      • 891

                                      #19
                                      If you are convinced no other team stands a chance just bet Lakers +130 and then when/if they meet the Spurs in West Finals bet the Spurs to win the series. Lakers will be considerable favorites being the public team they are so you would likely still get Spurs +130 for that series and not tie up all your money.
                                      Personally I don't ever play these futures bets but know some folks make big dough on them.
                                      Comment
                                      • blackbox
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-28-08
                                        • 1415

                                        #20
                                        update here- you can get SA AT +3.25 to win West Conf. at BET-JAM. gl all
                                        Comment
                                        • jmilacek
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 03-17-10
                                          • 378

                                          #21
                                          Good looking out. Barring injury I really can't see another team winning.
                                          Comment
                                          • freeagent
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 08-06-10
                                            • 942

                                            #22
                                            Totally agree that either LA or San Antonio represent the west. Just too long to wait for us junkies to have some money tied up that I'll probably lose before then anyway, lol, but this bet will hit. Unless a big trade happens like Mavs renting Melo for a few months but they'll still probably lose.
                                            Comment
                                            • Aussiecapper101
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-04-10
                                              • 2220

                                              #23
                                              well the mavs arent gonna do shit all and okc arent as good as last year when they couldnt get it done, both spurs and lakers have only improved if anything so I cant see why this isnt safe bet
                                              Comment
                                              • ssk13809
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-25-10
                                                • 2595

                                                #24
                                                Well without a doubt it's free money. And hey if you feel strongly one of those teams will win, you can do 30% Profit Lakers win, and Push Spurs Win. So that's like a free shot at 30% on the team you feel strongest on.
                                                Comment
                                                • eldoctord
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 06-12-10
                                                  • 265

                                                  #25
                                                  This thread is showing us why gambling exists. For every buyer there's a seller......for every bet there's a taker.....What's your price???
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Flight
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 01-28-09
                                                    • 1979

                                                    #26
                                                    You keep using the terms "guarantee" and "free money"

                                                    I calculate (based on the market odds, not based on a predictive model) that this event occurs 87% of the time. That is not guaranteed.

                                                    Good luck with the bet.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DrStale
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-07-08
                                                      • 9692

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ssk13809


                                                      Do you even watch the NBA? This is not the NFL or NCAA where its 1 game and you're out. They play series here, where the better team wins. No one in the West is going to beat the Lakers or Spurs in a SERIES. Coaching, players, experience, talent, and many more edges for the Lakers and Spurs.


                                                      SSK
                                                      Originally posted by Dark Horse
                                                      If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • yisman
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-01-08
                                                        • 75682

                                                        #28
                                                        Great thread.

                                                        Remember, the books were giving away free money here. Guaranteed. No other team had a chance.
                                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                        [/quote]

                                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                        Comment
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