Couple lines that seem weak to me

diogee · 03-30-08, 07:57 AM

Yes sir...I have already locked them both up. Miami is loaded with injuries and won't be able to score to save their lives and the Mavs won't be able to keep up with the Warriors. They kept up with the Nuggets for a while due to shooting lights out before fading badly in the 2nd H.

Illtakethoseodds · 03-30-08, 08:46 AM

Mia/Bos Under and GS-5

both of these look good..especially the Under for the bos/mia game.. thanks guys!

SexyMit · 03-30-08, 08:56 AM

What about Utah? 95% of the money is going to Jazz -7 and the line drops to Jazz -6? Trap game I am thinking... be very careful

MeatMan73 · 03-30-08, 09:39 AM

What's up with that GS-DAL line? What am I NOT seeing? I mean, my line opened up at GS - 7 1/2 and now its down to GS - 4 1/2. I took the Warriors at - 4 1/2 but worried I am missing something. GS revenger at home, off a loss, and needing the win for playoff hunt. Dallas struggles against winning teams of late and only whip-up on patsies. Fill me in boys!

SexyMit · 03-30-08, 09:42 AM

I am wondering the same thing about the Jazz game....

diogee · 03-30-08, 09:46 AM

The true opener yesterday was -5.5 Meatman... I already locked it in at -5 but GSW has 88% of the 2700 bets and the line has dropped a point.

frostno98 · 03-30-08, 10:01 AM

Golden state might be tired after all that running yesterday, and they are playing against an equally desperate team fighting for the final playoff spot. With that said, a well rested defensive minded Dallas team, are going to try and frustrate them warriors. Avery knows that to beat this their going have to limit the shots, so I can see dallas slow playing here. So, I kinda like Dallas and the under at the moment.

AgainstAllOdds · 03-30-08, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by SexyMit

What about Utah? 95% of the money is going to Jazz -7 and the line drops to Jazz -6? Trap game I am thinking... be very careful

fellas its called sharp money...my boy LT profits just taught me a lesson in this...For whatever reason sharps found an edge on the opposite side...

diogee · 03-30-08, 10:15 AM

Except I figure that whenever a sharp likes the dog they let the public bet the line up before hammering it a little before game time....I usually try to hold off on a dog since you can usually get an extra .5 or 1 point.

AgainstAllOdds · 03-30-08, 10:19 AM

yea but maybe some sharps dont want to take the chance of the line moving out of there favor? Idk bud im still new to researching betting trends...

diogee · 03-30-08, 10:29 AM

But in the case of the Jazz I cannot see the sharps jumping on Minn this early since the Jazz are a far more public team and most of the general betting public would not even consider the T'Wolves....seems like quite an odd line movement for this early. Maybe the books know of a player who is under the weather or might sit.
I am still learning myself and this is just my theory.

SexyMit · 03-30-08, 10:51 AM

I have been watching things like this for a little while to and trying to get a good feel for them. I do also think that it is kinda early for the sharp money but hey the line is going the wrong way so I figured I would hit it fast.

Crayzee · 03-30-08, 10:53 AM

kirilenko doubtful
okur out

diogee · 03-30-08, 11:09 AM

Thanks Crayzee...I didn't even check the injury report for that game since it was a no play for me.

SexyMit · 03-30-08, 11:13 AM

Line went back up to 6 and within minutes went back to 5.5. Public is all over Utah...

Wyndham · 03-30-08, 11:33 AM

Minnesota ML has value. Utah is awful on the road as it is.

SexyMit · 03-30-08, 12:06 PM

I put a little on Minn ML also...

Wyndham · 03-31-08, 07:40 AM

Originally posted by Wyndham

GS only -5? MIA-BOS 183?

By no means am I saying that either is a lock. I just capped these quite a bit different; GS -8.5 and MIA-BOS 176, both lines I would've hit.

Any thoughts?

And as I thought, even the capped lines I had cashed, with GS winning by 10 and the MIA-BOS game going wayyyy under.

Minnesota ML was a sweet hit, too.

Nice day, folks.