8 home dogs Wednesday who will be faded heavily by the public

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    8 home dogs Wednesday who will be faded heavily by the public
    TOR +3.5 vs. ATL
    CHA +4 vs. CHI
    MIL +3 vs. SA
    DET +1.5 vs. MEM
    LAC +8 vs. MIA
    NO +3.5 vs. ORL
    GS + whatever vs. LAL
    HOU + whatever vs. OKC

    All eight road faves will be big public plays.

    Question is, who covers and who doesn't out of this bunch?
  • BetjeBetje
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-24-10
    • 178

    #2
    gl with your eventual plays
    Comment
    • ccross2
      SBR Rookie
      • 01-10-11
      • 25

      #3
      I haven't looked at them all, will give them all a look once all lines are out tomorrow. But I'm leaning towards NO +3.5 right now.
      Comment
      • bonduforlife
        Restricted User
        • 08-21-10
        • 1222

        #4
        MIL, DET, HOU, LAC will cover
        Comment
        • aireent777
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-21-09
          • 5930

          #5
          I'll fade Toronto, Charlotte, Milwaukee, and New Orleans. The rest, I won't touch.
          Comment
          • Pew Pew
            SBR MVP
            • 12-21-10
            • 2267

            #6
            What does fade mean?
            Comment
            • SaffaCappa
              SBR MVP
              • 11-18-09
              • 1149

              #7
              LAC, MIL and DET cover
              Comment
              • BookiesBernanke
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-09-10
                • 849

                #8
                LeBron is going to come out and try to beat the Clippers by 50 to make even more of a statement to CLE

                This guy is a pr*ck and is motivated by sh*t like this
                Comment
                • ugabooga
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-27-10
                  • 1088

                  #9
                  Spurs, Magic and Grizzlies would be my pick to cover the spread. Bulls are probably least likely.
                  Comment
                  • nbarlotta3
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 04-11-10
                    • 451

                    #10
                    I might be losing a lot of money today.
                    Comment
                    • GoggsViggs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-05-10
                      • 1884

                      #11
                      No, det, mil, lac cover
                      Comment
                      • JOHON8
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-28-10
                        • 7712

                        #12
                        Parlay the 9 teamer, put your entire bankroll on it and once you make the million quit gambling forever.
                        Comment
                        • Masu485
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-14-08
                          • 7700

                          #13
                          Charlotte wins the game outright by 1
                          Comment
                          • echowilbury
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 12-28-10
                            • 59

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Pew Pew
                            What does fade mean?
                            to go against. like, if I were going to fade the heat against the nuggets, I'd pick the nuggets.
                            Comment
                            • quant
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 01-08-11
                              • 79

                              #15
                              HOU in my book
                              Comment
                              • kbsnoles
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 09-29-10
                                • 78

                                #16
                                Hawks cover
                                Comment
                                • Shark79
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-19-07
                                  • 11211

                                  #17
                                  This might help some of you that pop in this thread:

                                  Top ALL consensus betting picks for Jun 05, 2025. See which side the public is betting on in today!
                                  Comment
                                  • celtics3388
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-31-10
                                    • 1916

                                    #18
                                    What's amazing is that there isn't one consensus pick on a home underdog, yet home dogs have been winning at the highest rate this season (53.75%). I guess we know why Vegas makes money...
                                    Comment
                                    • demens
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-22-10
                                      • 2785

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                      TOR +3.5 vs. ATL
                                      CHA +4 vs. CHI
                                      MIL +3 vs. SA
                                      DET +1.5 vs. MEM
                                      LAC +8 vs. MIA
                                      NO +3.5 vs. ORL
                                      GS + whatever vs. LAL
                                      HOU + whatever vs. OKC

                                      All eight road faves will be big public plays.

                                      Question is, who covers and who doesn't out of this bunch?
                                      I think 5 of those road favs will cover at least.

                                      I'd say Det might be the best bet at home, but would not play them. Same with Rox, Clips. Orlando Heat is due for a bad game too with all these 2H comebacks of theirs, but wouldn't play either.
                                      Comment
                                      • demens
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-22-10
                                        • 2785

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by celtics3388
                                        What's amazing is that there isn't one consensus pick on a home underdog, yet home dogs have been winning at the highest rate this season (53.75%). I guess we know why Vegas makes money...
                                        According the sportsdatabase its actually 71-69-2 (1.45, 50.7%)

                                        Last season was at 44%, so yeah. Sharps FTW......NOT.

                                        A few extra nuggets for you sharps. Road dogs have not hit over 50% since 2002.
                                        In the last 15 years road dogs hit over 50% THREE times. Over 53% twice.
                                        Comment
                                        • Pap45murF
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 08-30-09
                                          • 610

                                          #21
                                          Accuscore has TOR and DET as favored to win outright. Of course, I've been keeping track and Accuscore has been 100% wrong on dog picks for the last 3 weeks or so.

                                          So... take that anyway you want it.


                                          Personally, I'd take NO and CHA.
                                          Last edited by Pap45murF; 01-12-11, 02:41 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • mart59a
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-21-10
                                            • 936

                                            #22
                                            Liking Charlotte and the Clippers to cover.
                                            Comment
                                            • betforbread
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-01-10
                                              • 354

                                              #23
                                              Raptors and Warriors will cover.
                                              Comment
                                              • FindTheLock
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-27-10
                                                • 7194

                                                #24
                                                orlando is well rested, I would not bet against them tonight. Wait for them to be on a B2B before you try to bet against that spread covering machine.
                                                Comment
                                                • MrShrink
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-19-10
                                                  • 1054

                                                  #25
                                                  like TOR su
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Nellyinctown
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 12-08-08
                                                    • 216

                                                    #26
                                                    I took all 8 home dogs on ML as opposed to spread.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Shark79
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-19-07
                                                      • 11211

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Nellyinctown
                                                      I took all 8 home dogs on ML as opposed to spread.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • riskyProps
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-11-10
                                                        • 2201

                                                        #28
                                                        I took IND, ATL, CHI, SAC, DET, MIL, ORL, OKC, NJ, UT, LAL and LAC tonight. I'm starting to regret that Chicago pick!

                                                        But the night is young, maybe they'll pull it out.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • demens
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-22-10
                                                          • 2785

                                                          #29
                                                          3-3 on the night with Mia and LA pending. Both losing now in 3q
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mlb
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-04-09
                                                            • 10509

                                                            #30
                                                            thinking 4 and 4 most likely
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #31
                                                              5-3 if I'm not mistaken.

                                                              The HOU and MIL collapses hurt -- well, hurt me at least, because I didn't play all of these.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • demens
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-22-10
                                                                • 2785

                                                                #32
                                                                Yeap 5-3, although LA pushed,beat opener. And 1 win by the hook. Soo close.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Nellyinctown
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-08-08
                                                                  • 216

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Went 3-5 taking them on ML for a good profit. Clippers and Charlotte winning were huge.
                                                                  Comment
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