Whos playing the Heat and why?

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  • therealdealau
    SBR MVP
    • 11-12-10
    • 3227

    #1
    Whos playing the Heat and why?
    i'm on the heat -5 for a small play, interested in peoples thoughts and if anyone is following - i seen a lot of blazer backers
  • jays12
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-08-10
    • 251

    #2
    heres some scribbling i did a moment ago below. Im tired so didnt retype as a complete write up its just stats, you can look them up if your lost or to look at more stats at teamrankings.com I left out the points in the paint, but miami is better both scoring and opponent pts in the paint.

    -portland
    better on turnovers, opponent turnovers, rebounding
    -miami
    -better on fg%(better on road), 3fg% (better on road), opponent (better on road) fg%/3fg%,
    however, portland near bottom in fastbreak points, so
    their forced turnovers dont result in fastbreak points
    -portland also attempts more three per game(17.8, last three (19) miami(13)- miami has great perimeter defense

    opponent fastbreak points (home/away discrepancy) portland 9.9 to miami 12, however portland recently allowing more (17) these were on road though
    fastbreak home/away discrepancy noted miami (14.6) to portland (13.1)

    -portland team similar to milwaukee in how they play

    -put down 143$(6%) at -4 (B+1) -130 (bookmaker)

    I may hedge the bet down to 3% later on in the day when i wake up and im mentally fresher.

    GL
    Comment
    • GTS925
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-10
      • 1158

      #3
      Should I still take it at -6.5?
      Comment
      • jays12
        SBR Sharp
        • 05-08-10
        • 251

        #4
        at -110 6.5 i wudnt take it too risky, your not getting much of an edge. A close game will kill your bet, and I think this may end being a close a game, with portlands big men getting second chance points and keeping them alive. But on the other hand heat are a motivated bunch they can push the pedal at any time. But i like to play it save. I really wasnt going to make my bet of (-4) at 6%, but i think miami finishes this game strong, even if they dont start off strong but i havnt been this conflicted with a bet in a while so i may even buy most of it back.
        Comment
        • lolbear
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-10-09
          • 756

          #5
          portland has best offensive rebounding percentage in the league and doubt this game would slow them down for that. miami has been blowing teams out with relative ease so it's hard to bet agianst them at this point. not a strong lean but i would lean miami at 5. at 6.5 it becomes more of a no play for me
          Comment
          • kingofmonash
            Restricted User
            • 04-11-10
            • 631

            #6
            what miamis got more than portland cannot be described by our stats , no offence guys , unfortunately killer instinct under pressure cannot be measured !
            Comment
            • McLaren__F1
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-27-10
              • 102

              #7
              I'm on Miami as well

              BOL
              Comment
              • nnhenry
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-23-09
                • 268

                #8
                Have Miami & Lakers ml parlay.
                Comment
                • riskyProps
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-11-10
                  • 2201

                  #9
                  I'm on the Heat simply because they are on a roll. I'm on the bandwagon until their wheels fall off. I know Portland is capable of doing that so this line is 50/50 for me.
                  Comment
                  • spargament
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-22-09
                    • 1739

                    #10
                    Camby embarrasses every rebounder on the Heat not name Lebron or dwade (at least for his size).
                    Comment
                    • spargament
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-22-09
                      • 1739

                      #11
                      I also don't like that this is a potential showcase game for Blazer players on their way out...
                      Comment
                      • jacktheknife
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-25-10
                        • 1217

                        #12
                        -210 ML doesn't sound too bad
                        Comment
                        • squid44
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-13-10
                          • 353

                          #13
                          I think I may hafta be on the Heat on this one. BOL all !
                          Comment
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