nba picks 1/1

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  • celtics3388
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-10
    • 1916

    #36
    Thunder at Lakers (over 101.5 halftime) -1u
    Comment
    • celtics3388
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-10
      • 1916

      #37
      Tough beat as I lose the Celtics first half bet by the hook on an And-1 coupled with a Doc Rviers technical foul with 20 seconds left in the half. Still Nate-Rob could have clinched it but missed a wide open three. Oh well, it came back around by getting lucky with the Thunder/Lakers under after I made a terrible drunken "hedge" bet and should have lost both. Anyways,

      6-4 yesterday (+3.2u), 34-30-1 on the year, +8.8 units

      Probably gonna sit today out but we'll see
      Comment
      • celtics3388
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-10
        • 1916

        #38
        Bobcats (+4.5 1H) at Bulls - 1.5u
        Heat ML / Bulls ML - Parlay - 1.9u to win 1.5
        Derrick Rose (under 8.5 assists) - 0.5u
        Comment
        • celtics3388
          SBR MVP
          • 12-31-10
          • 1916

          #39
          2-1 yesterday, 36-31-1 on the year, +8.9 units

          Thunder (+4) at Nuggets - 2.4u to win 2
          Pacers at Warriors (under 214) - 2u
          Lakers at Mavs (under 187) - 1.5u
          Raptors at Spurs (under 104.5 1H) - 1.5u
          Sixers at Magic (-9.5) - 1u

          and just for fun...

          Wiz (+210) / Grizz (+145) - Parlay - 0.5u to win 3.3
          Comment
          • celtics3388
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-10
            • 1916

            #40
            Blazers (-1.5) at Kings - 1u
            Comment
            • celtics3388
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-10
              • 1916

              #41
              Terrible day, 2-5 (-5 units). Back at it tommorow...
              Comment
              • celtics3388
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-10
                • 1916

                #42
                38-36-1 on the year, +3.9 units

                Clippers at Blazers (over 195) - 2u
                Mavs (+3.5) at Bulls - 1.5u
                Comment
                • celtics3388
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-10
                  • 1916

                  #43
                  1-1 yesterday, 39-37-1 on the year, + 4.4 units

                  No plays yet, although I plan on playing the Hornets 1st half once the line is available on Bodog. I think Atlanta will be sluggish after the OT win versus the Heat, and won't turn it on until the 2nd half. Al Horford and Marvin Williams will both be out as well. The Hornets were forced to come from behind against Memphis the other night, and hopefully learned their lesson and will come out strong here. They have been a resilient and defensive team all year, so I expect them to come out playing hard in this spot. Probably going to be a 3 unit play.
                  Comment
                  • celtics3388
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-10
                    • 1916

                    #44
                    Hornet (+2 1H) at Hawks - 2.5u

                    Pistons at Nets (under 190) - 1.5u

                    - the Pistons average 12 points less on the road than they do at home. The Nets score 2 points more and give up 4 points less when at home versus on the road. The Pistons only average 90 points on the road and New Jersey averages 94 at home, for a total of 184.
                    Comment
                    • celtics3388
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-10
                      • 1916

                      #45
                      Celtics (-260) / Warriors (-260) - Parlay - 1u to win 0.9
                      Comment
                      • celtics3388
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-31-10
                        • 1916

                        #46
                        3-0 yesterday, 42-37-1 on the year, +8.8 units

                        Suns at Pistons (over 207) - 3u

                        -The Pistons average scoring 12 more points per game at home and give up an average of 4 more on defense compared to road games. The Suns average scoring 1 more point on the road than and have the worst road defense in the league at 110ppg. The only thing that scares me here is the injury situation on the Pistons side with Villanueva hurt and Rip not playing. Ben Wallace being out should result in more points though.
                        Comment
                        • celtics3388
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-10
                          • 1916

                          #47
                          Warriors at Clippers (under 215) - 1u
                          Spurs at Hornets (under 95.5 1H) - 1.5u

                          adding:

                          Celtics (-310) / Hawks (+130) - Parlay - .5u to win 1
                          Comment
                          • celtics3388
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-10
                            • 1916

                            #48
                            1-3 Saturday, 43-40-1 on the year, +5.8 units

                            Spurs at [B]Warriors (+5.5) - 1.5u

                            -Pretty much just took this because the Warriors are a solid home team and home dogs are winning ATS at nearly a 55% clip this year. Don't really like this pick much right now after looking deeper into it, but I already locked it in. Feel free to fade. Then again I really liked the Pistons over the other night and it went under by over 50 points so who knows here. More to come later,
                            Comment
                            • celtics3388
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-10
                              • 1916

                              #49
                              Thunder at Hornets (under 97.5 1H) - 1.5u

                              -Durant struggling a bit offensively (24-67 FG in last 3) against 2 bad defenses (Den, NYK). Hornets aren't too explosive and play excellent defense. Been hitting recently with 1H unders, see how this one goes.

                              Rockets (-1.5 1H) at T'Wolves - 1u

                              Houston bounces back after a tough matchup against Dwight Howard and Orlando. The Timberwolves feature a smaller lineup which benefits the Rockets who lack depth up front. I see the Rockets getting out to a fast start and taking a lead into the half.
                              Comment
                              • celtics3388
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-31-10
                                • 1916

                                #50
                                Clippers at Mavericks (-6.5) - 2u

                                -Clippers are without their #1 scoring option, Eric Gordon (yes, better than Blake). Mavs are also much more explosive at home and Dirk's conditioning is getting better with every game.

                                Cavs (+17) at Celtics / (under 197) - parlay - 1u to win 2.6
                                Comment
                                • celtics3388
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-31-10
                                  • 1916

                                  #51
                                  Nuggets (-2.5 1H) at Wizards - 1.5u
                                  Comment
                                  • celtics3388
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-31-10
                                    • 1916

                                    #52
                                    Lakers (-440) / (under 198) - 1.4u to win 2
                                    Comment
                                    • celtics3388
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-10
                                      • 1916

                                      #53
                                      5-3 over the last couple days, 48-42-1 on the year, +7.8 units

                                      Locked these in last night:


                                      76ers at Raptors (+4.5) – 1.5u
                                      Thunder (-5) at T’Wolves – 1.5u
                                      Nuggets at Pistons (+3) – 1u

                                      ML parlay coming later
                                      Comment
                                      • celtics3388
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-31-10
                                        • 1916

                                        #54
                                        Magic (-245), Thunder (-230), Rockets (-360) - parlay - 1.3u to win 2
                                        Comment
                                        • celtics3388
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-31-10
                                          • 1916

                                          #55
                                          adding:

                                          Bobcats (+6.5) at Suns - 1u

                                          Hawks at Bucks (under 92 1H) - 1u


                                          I'm feeling a big night, I'm on the right side of the line movement on all my games (for once) other than the Bobcats so let's cash it!
                                          Comment
                                          • celtics3388
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-10
                                            • 1916

                                            #56
                                            Note: I am decreasing my units profit by 4 units due to not including the juice in my first 40 losses.

                                            3-3 yesterday (-0.4u), 51-45-1 on the year, +3.4 units

                                            I was most confident is my early plays, had the line movement go my way, yet went 0-3. Kind of just played a couple of leans for fun before tipoff and went 3-0. Funny how that works. Anyways,

                                            Rockets at Mavericks (over 204) -115 - 1.5u

                                            -Rockets can fill it up and the Mavs play much higher scoring games at home. The number still might be a little high, but I'm confident that this will go over 204. Thinking something like the Mavs winning 110-102

                                            Celtics (-4.5) at Blazers -110 - 2u

                                            -Celtics will be playing some inspired ball with Perk back. Also I feel like the Blazers offense has overachieved all season and will be coming back down to earth. A bit afraid of the backdoor cover here as the Celts aren't great at holding big leads, but I think they play hard all the way through with this game being nationally televised.
                                            Comment
                                            • celtics3388
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-31-10
                                              • 1916

                                              #57
                                              Rockets (ML +240) at Mavericks - 1u to win 2.4
                                              Comment
                                              • celtics3388
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-31-10
                                                • 1916

                                                #58
                                                Rockets have nothing tonight, they are gassed after 5 games in 7 days including b2b tonight. Not one of best bets tonight, hopefully Martin gets hot in the 2nd half or something and I can still hit on the over
                                                Comment
                                                • celtics3388
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-31-10
                                                  • 1916

                                                  #59
                                                  2-1 last night (+2.5u), 53-46-1 on the year, +5.9 units

                                                  Locked this in last night:

                                                  Grizzlies at 76ers (-3) -110 - 2u
                                                  Comment
                                                  • celtics3388
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-31-10
                                                    • 1916

                                                    #60
                                                    Pistons at Heat (-10.5) -110 - 1.5u

                                                    Knicks at Hawks (-6.5) -110 - 1u

                                                    T'Wolves (+7) at Jazz -110 -1u
                                                    Comment
                                                    • celtics3388
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-31-10
                                                      • 1916

                                                      #61
                                                      Magic at Bulls (under 188) -105 - 2u

                                                      -I see this game being similar to the Celts/Blazers game last night. I also just want to have some action on this game
                                                      Comment
                                                      • celtics3388
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-31-10
                                                        • 1916

                                                        #62
                                                        This is why I have yet to bet the Sixers all year until tonight...

                                                        Wizards at Thunder (over 103 2H) -115 - 1.5u
                                                        Comment
                                                        • celtics3388
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-31-10
                                                          • 1916

                                                          #63
                                                          Chasing here...

                                                          Bobcats at Warriors (-4.5) -105 - 2.5u
                                                          Comment
                                                          • celtics3388
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-31-10
                                                            • 1916

                                                            #64
                                                            Got killed yesterday as two double-digit 4th quarter leads lost straight up although I got lucky with the Wizards/Thunder OT to hit an over. Hopefully I'll be on the right side of these in the future,

                                                            2-4 yesterday (-7.2u), 55-50-1 on the year, -1.3 units

                                                            Bobcats at Clippers (under 194) -110 - 2u
                                                            Comment
                                                            • celtics3388
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-31-10
                                                              • 1916

                                                              #65
                                                              Hawks at Mavericks (-5.5) -110 - 1.5u

                                                              Pacers (+4 1H) at Bulls -110 - 1.5u

                                                              Pacers at Bulls (under 98.5 1H) -110 - 1.5u
                                                              Comment
                                                              • celtics3388
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-10
                                                                • 1916

                                                                #66
                                                                2-1-1 last night +(1.9u), 57-51-2 on the year, +0.6 units

                                                                Celtics (+3) at Lakers -110 - 2u

                                                                Heat at Thunder (under 101 2H) -115 - 1u
                                                                Comment
                                                                • celtics3388
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-31-10
                                                                  • 1916

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Pierce always shows up in LA, Let's go C'sssss
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • celtics3388
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-31-10
                                                                    • 1916

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Pistons at Knicks (over 204) -105 - 1.5u
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • celtics3388
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-31-10
                                                                      • 1916

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Jazz at Warriors (-4) -110 - 1u

                                                                      Deron Williams out, nuff said

                                                                      Hornets (+2) -115 / Knicks (ML -275) / Warriors (ML -175) - .5u to win 1.5
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • celtics3388
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-31-10
                                                                        • 1916

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Nuggets at 76ers (under 102.5 2H) -110 - 1u

                                                                        Combined 11-15 3PT FG in the first half is not likely to keep up. Plus action has slowed down after the 1st quarter, Philly realizes they have a better chance to win in a slower paced game.
                                                                        Comment
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