NBA: 3-2 +0.85
Game: Utah Jazz at Portland Trail Blazers (Friday 12/31 4:00 CET)
This one is a perfect spot for a lowscoring game, so even though 188 points ain't a high game total line, it's still too high considering these two teams style of playing lately. The Blazers are again without Roy for this contest and however they're used to it, it'll affect their offense surely. Generally speaking they aren't getting too much of a credit without him, being mostly underdogs and what's interesting they're defending better without their best scorer, going 2-6 O/U in last eight games as an underdogs. What's more they're generally known for being a tough defensive team when playing at home, being 10-21 O/U in latest home matches and it's a big information for me. Their last two games shows exactly the same - loss against Nuggets (77-95) and win over the same Jazz (96-91) had both an extremely slow pace. If these teams could combine only 187 points in Salt Lake City three days ago, I see even lower score in underish Blazers court. What's more Jazz have got some injury issues as well because Miles and Okur are questionable, while Kirilenko is doubtful for this match. The Jazz is 2-5 O/U in last seven games and their lines were mainly low, so adding the fact they're b2b in here, I doubt they explode offensively overnight. These two teams also combine season result of 29-34 O/U and I'm picking an UNDER in here.
Pick: 1 unit on Game Total UNDER 188 points @ 2.010
Game: Utah Jazz at Portland Trail Blazers (Friday 12/31 4:00 CET)
This one is a perfect spot for a lowscoring game, so even though 188 points ain't a high game total line, it's still too high considering these two teams style of playing lately. The Blazers are again without Roy for this contest and however they're used to it, it'll affect their offense surely. Generally speaking they aren't getting too much of a credit without him, being mostly underdogs and what's interesting they're defending better without their best scorer, going 2-6 O/U in last eight games as an underdogs. What's more they're generally known for being a tough defensive team when playing at home, being 10-21 O/U in latest home matches and it's a big information for me. Their last two games shows exactly the same - loss against Nuggets (77-95) and win over the same Jazz (96-91) had both an extremely slow pace. If these teams could combine only 187 points in Salt Lake City three days ago, I see even lower score in underish Blazers court. What's more Jazz have got some injury issues as well because Miles and Okur are questionable, while Kirilenko is doubtful for this match. The Jazz is 2-5 O/U in last seven games and their lines were mainly low, so adding the fact they're b2b in here, I doubt they explode offensively overnight. These two teams also combine season result of 29-34 O/U and I'm picking an UNDER in here.
Pick: 1 unit on Game Total UNDER 188 points @ 2.010