Hawks v Knicks o/u 202 Overnight Discussion

ChuteBoxe · 03-16-08, 01:42 AM

I haven't personally made a play on this myself, as the only thing I wanted to take on this game was the spread (Knicks +2). However, I did a little research on it, and I have a small lean on the Under for these reasons...

The average PF for the Knicks is 95.2, and the average PF for Atlanta is 96.2.
The average total of their last 4 meetings was 191.5.
2 of 3 games played @ New York over the last 3 seasons have gone under the total.
The last time they met at the Garden the score was 94-82 for a total of 176.
Their last meeting (in Atlanta on 2/29) the total was 192.
The only game I'm showing in the past 3 seasons that they scored over 202 was on March 3rd, 2007.

Best of luck with whatever you choose man.

AgainstAllOdds · 03-16-08, 01:48 AM

Originally posted by ChuteBoxe

I haven't personally made a play on this myself, as the only thing I wanted to take on this game was the spread (Knicks +2). However, I did a little research on it, and I have a small lean on the Under for these reasons...

The average PF for the Knicks is 95.2, and the average PF for Atlanta is 96.2.
The average total of their last 4 meetings was 191.5.
2 of 3 games played @ New York over the last 3 seasons have gone under the total.
The last time they met at the Garden the score was 94-82 for a total of 176.
Their last meeting (in Atlanta on 2/29) the total was 192.
The only game I'm showing in the past 3 seasons that they scored over 202 was on March 3rd, 2007.

Best of luck with whatever you choose man.

HOLY **** DUDE YOU JUST SAID EVERYTHING I WAS GOING TO....when I capped this game I got 197....with that being said yes I am taking the knicks and the under.... gl chute

mundane · 03-16-08, 01:53 AM

i just got done capping... :P

well id like to sound as a handicapper also (less all the analysis postings) hehe!

"i capped this between 188-190 totals! needless to say my pick is under 202!" - mundane

austintx05 · 03-16-08, 01:57 AM

thanks for the replies. I don't typically take into account a team like the Hawks 2 years ago as so much has changed with them since..., but those are some staggering numbers. I think the line is fair, still lean o202.

still debating...

AgainstAllOdds · 03-16-08, 02:36 AM

I see the public is all over atl(for whatever reason) Im waiting for the knicks to get another point

jimmycintron · 03-16-08, 02:43 AM

My pick on Atlanta VS NY is (+2 Over 202)

Goodluck to everyone

AgainstAllOdds · 03-16-08, 02:48 AM

Originally posted by jimmycintron

My pick on Atlanta VS NY is (+2 Over 202)

Goodluck to everyone

gl sir

Wyndham · 03-16-08, 07:20 AM

Atlanta is the play here. They've got eight more wins, score a point more, allow three points less, have already beaten NY this season and are 2-2 in their last four, whereas NY is 1-3 and in their last eight games have won just once - a three-point win over the pathetic Heat.

tevari · 03-16-08, 07:54 AM

this forum misses you austin

lean is on the under here. last month's game ended up 99-93 if i remember correctly. no curry this time around (not necessarily a bad thing for the over), zeebo is not 100%. could easily see another 9x to 9x game

austintx05 · 03-16-08, 09:59 AM

Originally posted by tevari

this forum misses you austin

lean is on the under here. last month's game ended up 99-93 if i remember correctly. no curry this time around (not necessarily a bad thing for the over), zeebo is not 100%. could easily see another 9x to 9x game

I must say I am shocked. Second time someone has told me this....thanks buddy...

austintx05 · 03-16-08, 07:28 PM

207 points, fairly close to the line, went over though. Nice to see my overnighter hit.

cheers.

Wyndham · 03-16-08, 07:30 PM

Originally posted by Wyndham

Atlanta is the play here. They've got eight more wins, score a point more, allow three points less, have already beaten NY this season and are 2-2 in their last four, whereas NY is 1-3 and in their last eight games have won just once - a three-point win over the pathetic Heat.

Plenty of VERY simple, very profitable rules to winning money by betting the NBA: Find nice totals to exploit, bet on the Rockets and FADE awful, horrible, pathetic, dogsh!t teams like Miami and the Knicks.

ChuteBoxe · 03-16-08, 07:36 PM

Austin, great call on the over. If you don't mind me asking, what exactly led you to believe that it would go over?

austintx05 · 03-16-08, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by ChuteBoxe

Austin, great call on the over. If you don't mind me asking, what exactly led you to believe that it would go over?

part just a gut call. Other part is I always look at the home team as the team that controls pace. In this matchup I never saw the Knicks slowing Atlanta down and felt the pace would be pushed. Not to mention that Knick games have been going over at almost a 60% clip for the season.

hopefully this thread has given me some new luck in returning to SBR

cheers

austintx05 · 03-16-08, 09:28 PM

Originally posted by Wyndham

Plenty of VERY simple, very profitable rules to winning money by betting the NBA: Find nice totals to exploit, bet on the Rockets and FADE awful, horrible, pathetic, dogsh!t teams like Miami and the Knicks.

nice to see you get the win, Wyndham