Miami -6 vs Dallas

[Pauulzcappin]

why would the books want even action? You're an idiot. I love that all of you are on Dallas tomorrow.

Great call on Heat guy. Dallas +7 was an early xmas gift in fact.

[demens]

This didn't even look like an emotional game for Dallas. Just handled their business and moved on. I'd play them again tomorrow vs Orl.

ANd i would fade the Heat in their next game vs the Suns.

[mattmc419]

Congrats to everyone on Dallas!

I had +6.5, and got some good money off it, but did anyone end up taking the ML?

[Pauulzcappin]

Congrats to you as well sir.

I was close to taking them on the ML. Was gonna put a couple of bills but decided to lay off. Too bad.

[CK]

I wish I took the ML, but a solid win on the spread all! Mavs - great on the road, tricky at home

[demens]

Bookies ****** up big time on the Orl line tomorrow.

Not way that lost team gets their shit together against these Mavs. ML Mavs, Points Mavs!

[Pauulzcappin]

Bookies ****** up big time on the Orl line tomorrow. Not way that lost team gets their shit together against these Mavs. ML Mavs, Points Mavs!

I haven't seen the line anywhere

Offline on pinny.

[Avon Barksdale]

The orlando game will be a pk or -1 orl probably

[iQon]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/782619-celtics-6-5-a.html

Look familiar?

Some of the same fools, I mean "sharps" as well. Merry Christmas.

[Stinger]

Congrats Dallas backers, what was I thinking

[demens]

The orlando game will be a pk or -1 orl probably

Its at -3.5 orl now. Not open to bet yet.

I'll take PK even if they adjust it THAT much.

[Avon Barksdale]

wow i like dallas with the points and ml again

[ringemup]

sharp line mi ass heat r not elite yet

[Pauulzcappin]

Dallas ML is the play

tealish is SHARP. this is one of the best guys on nba here, wish he would come back.

[curious]

Congrats to everyone on Dallas!

I had +6.5, and got some good money off it, but did anyone end up taking the ML?

I always bet the ML. If I don't like a team to win a game straight up I stay away from them.

[mattmc419]

Congrats to you as well sir.

I was close to taking them on the ML. Was gonna put a couple of bills but decided to lay off. Too bad.

Yeah, I ended up putting 2 units on the spread instead. Still a great win.

[mattmc419]

I always bet the ML. If I don't like a team to win a game straight up I stay away from them.

Nice man, congrats on your win tonight then!

[CK]

Its at -3.5 orl now. Not open to bet yet.

I'll take PK even if they adjust it THAT much.

At -3 (-108) orlando at pinnacle now... I agree, love Dallas here again. Orlando on a back to back as well, coming home from Atlanta tonight. With so much change to their roster (even tho Hedo's back, he's been gone for almost 2 years now), Orlando just isn't right yet.

[mattmc419]

I like Dallas tomorrow too, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Orlando's new roster band together an pick up an 'emotional' win in front of the fans after tonight's loss.

[demens]

I like Dallas tomorrow too, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Orlando's new roster band together an pick up an 'emotional' win in front of the fans after tonight's loss.

I have a very low opinion about the Magic right now in general. Sure they can have an emotional game, but i dont see that coming vs the defense that Dallas will on them. Not just that Mavs have a a very nice match-up edge with Chandler and Haywood they can probably defend Howard better then any team in the league, and as thin as the Magic are now at C and PF that edge is magnified even more. Dirk who did not have a good game today should be big, Bass or Hedo can not handle him. And this is far from a let down game for Mavs too. Todays "big" win was as emotionless as it comes. Its really the most surprising thing about it. On one hand you have Lebum and the superfags celebrating like they won a title by squeeking by the Wiz, on the other you have the Mavs going to South Beach and beating the Heat for the 2nd time this year and act like its just another day at the office. Very impressive.

Of course anything can happen. But i love the Mavs tomorrow.

Too freaking bad the Suns dont have any games before their match-up with the Heat. It'll be their first with the new players. I really wanna take them because i think the Heat will get an extremely overvalued line.

[Pauulzcappin]

Turko starting at the SF is a joke. Butler will have a lot of driving lanes to open free 3 pointers.

[Avon Barksdale]

Dallas matches up very well here I think.

Chandler and Haywood can contain Howard better than most. Dirk will kill Bass. Butler will kill Turkoglu. Nelson and Kidd are close and Stevenson/Marion combo shut down Richardson the other day in the Phoenix game. Terry and Arenas are very similar off the bench and Dallas is deeper with Barea and Marion.

[mattmc419]

@demens -

Very good post. I agree with all of it. I wasn't very clear in my first post, but I'm taking Dallas too. I have to think about whether to go with the spread or ML though. I'm leaning towards the ML, so hopefully something funny doesn't happen.

And yeah, I think the Heat are overvalued on every spread. I made the mistake of going with the crowd on Heat -12.5 a few nights ago. I don't think I'd touch them on anything above -4 now.

[demens]

Nelson and Kidd are close

Thats 1 thing you are wrong about. Jameer will blaze by Kidd with ease. Kidd hasn't been able to stay with a quick PG since his Nets days, no surprise they kept him on Wade tonight more then Chalmers.

I love how Mavs go into a zone with easy though, and i like their interior defense a lot, so even if Jameer gets around Kidd he is not gonna have an easy time scoring. I also see the Mavs going with Stevenson/Terry/Barea on him and have Kidd on the SG.

The thing i hate about the Orl trade is that it makes it harder for them to take advantage of those teams where Jameer has the edge (like Mavs and Heat for example). He has to share the ball with Turk and Arenas now and find shots for JRich. I've heard Van Gundy talking about who'll start and he sounded irritated with the idea when someone suggested Nelson could come off the bench. He quickly killed that saying Nelson will start and Arenas or Turk will be the one coming off the bench. He just sounds like he wasn't happy with this trade at all and know that this will effect how and when his best guys get the ball big time.

[demens]

@demens -

Very good post. I agree with all of it. I wasn't very clear in my first post, but I'm taking Dallas too. I have to think about whether to go with the spread or ML though. I'm leaning towards the ML, so hopefully something funny doesn't happen.

And yeah, I think the Heat are overvalued on every spread. I made the mistake of going with the crowd on Heat -12.5 a few nights ago. I don't think I'd touch them on anything above -4 now.

VS the Wiz? Yeah, i took that too , That was a shocking game. Really want the Heat to lose even though i had them.

[mattmc419]

Yeah, I always want them to lose.

I felt like it wasn't a very good pick - really, I think -12.5 is too big in almost any situation - but I was up on the day and everyone was confident about it.

Guess that's how betting goes sometimes.

[Avon Barksdale]

Thats 1 thing you are wrong about. Jameer will blaze by Kidd with ease. Kidd hasn't been able to stay with a quick PG since his Nets days, no surprise they kept him on Wade tonight more then Chalmers.

I love how Mavs go into a zone with easy though, and i like their interior defense a lot, so even if Jameer gets around Kidd he is not gonna have an easy time scoring. I also see the Mavs going with Stevenson/Terry/Barea on him and have Kidd on the SG.

The thing i hate about the Orl trade is that it makes it harder for them to take advantage of those teams where Jameer has the edge (like Mavs and Heat for example). He has to share the ball with Turk and Arenas now and find shots for JRich. I've heard Van Gundy talking about who'll start and he sounded irritated with the idea when someone suggested Nelson could come off the bench. He quickly killed that saying Nelson will start and Arenas or Turk will be the one coming off the bench. He just sounds like he wasn't happy with this trade at all and know that this will effect how and when his best guys get the ball big time.

I guess what I meant that neither guard is really going to dominate the game and takeover and that Nelson isn't really likely to use his speed advantage on Kidd to put up a bunch of points since he is a dish first type guard and I don't think that will help them very much in this game.

I really like Dallas here. Orlando still hasn't had a full practice together and the new guys basically don't know the offense or defense. They just got killed by an Atlanta team that has been pretty poor lately so I don't see how they are going to beat the best team in the league.

[SolarisPoker]

Maverics +7

Maverics +7 !!!

Correct score 101-97 Miami Heat win.

[Steamed]

let me get this straight.....

Miami's scorched earth campaign has just incinerated 12 straight opponents....leaving nothing behind but smoldering ashes......and you think Dallas is gonna pull the upset AT Miami????

Yeah. Hang up that heat jersey

[portnoy65]

Dallas

[BernardMadoff]

I guess what I meant that neither guard is really going to dominate the game and takeover and that Nelson isn't really likely to use his speed advantage on Kidd to put up a bunch of points since he is a dish first type guard and I don't think that will help them very much in this game.

I really like Dallas here. Orlando still hasn't had a full practice together and the new guys basically don't know the offense or defense. They just got killed by an Atlanta team that has been pretty poor lately so I don't see how they are going to beat the best team in the league.

Nelson a dish first type of guard? Probably not ever in his life not even in middle school. He's a shoot first pass if I cant get my shot off.

[demens]

Nelson a dish first type of guard? Probably not ever in his life not even in middle school. He's a shoot first pass if I cant get my shot off.