First post here on SBR.
My first two games are:
1. Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers -> Denver -5
2. Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic -> Orlando -2
Total odds: 2
I know that Clippers won against Spurs a couple of days ago. I know Clippers won 3 out of their last 5. But I also know that they are Clippers. No consistency. I don't know if Carmelo will return 100% or how much he will play, but I know this: Clippers are 0-8 on the road. They might keep it close until late 3rd quarter maybe, but at the moment the Nuggets are playing quality basketball even without Melo. That -10 line offered by the bookies seems a little high. Nuggets are 3-5-1 ATS at home and Clippers are 5-3 ATS on the road, even with their 0-8 record. Maybe they will manage to keep it close, but I doubt that it will be closer than 5 points.
Pistons...In my book one of the the worst NBA teams right now, altough there are a few quality players. One reason that I don't like that -6,5 line for tha Magic is that DW & Co are 1-6 ATS on the road and that one single time they covered happened 2 days ago in Chicago. While I think Magic will win, I don't expect them to cover. But when you are Pistons, you can always help the bettors with a 9-10 points in a whole quarter.
Good luck to all!
My first two games are:
1. Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers -> Denver -5
2. Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic -> Orlando -2
Total odds: 2
I know that Clippers won against Spurs a couple of days ago. I know Clippers won 3 out of their last 5. But I also know that they are Clippers. No consistency. I don't know if Carmelo will return 100% or how much he will play, but I know this: Clippers are 0-8 on the road. They might keep it close until late 3rd quarter maybe, but at the moment the Nuggets are playing quality basketball even without Melo. That -10 line offered by the bookies seems a little high. Nuggets are 3-5-1 ATS at home and Clippers are 5-3 ATS on the road, even with their 0-8 record. Maybe they will manage to keep it close, but I doubt that it will be closer than 5 points.
Pistons...In my book one of the the worst NBA teams right now, altough there are a few quality players. One reason that I don't like that -6,5 line for tha Magic is that DW & Co are 1-6 ATS on the road and that one single time they covered happened 2 days ago in Chicago. While I think Magic will win, I don't expect them to cover. But when you are Pistons, you can always help the bettors with a 9-10 points in a whole quarter.
Good luck to all!
