Suns vs Nuggets

[buztah]

This is going to be the epic battle of the Shits versus the Giggles. Both teams deserve to lose. Anyone playing it?

[freeVICK]

over is the play

[MakeMoney]

UNDER 231.5 i remeber a month or so ago when the suns played the warriors and the O/U was 234 i watched that game and two teams could not have possibly put up more shots. that total ended up being around 240 but thats about as high as an nba game will go in regular time. There won't be much D played in this one but the total will be somewhere in the 220's

[kkhimji2001]

go under, nuggets had a poor performance against rockets and i can see the suns slowing down their offense,

also how many bets you think each night is feasible , 1, 2, or 3?

[Poker_Beast]

I am on the under - kkh I have been making 5-8, upto 10 or more bets as of late but would probably be better of with fewer, bigger "best bets". I like action so I bet more games but the games I bet just to bet are the ones I rack up more loses on. They are usually smaller in nature.

[kkhimji2001]

yes its better to do a few bets on the main games where you see obvious money grabbing like last night on the lakers, and suns minus the points and ohio state

[ryanXL977]

cant thin of two more overrated craptastic teams
i guess i would take suns ml but man, they both suck

[mundane]

i got nuggets -6.5 on a small bet parlay. so Go NUGGETS!

both teams are crappy... but who is crappier??? lol. hopefully nuggets at home put in 4 (x2) more buckets than the suns.

[ManInChains]

over 230 looklikes so far
new style of shaq"s suns is not on to run and gun

in fact they dont know wat they must do to win
now suns is just a little defensive

[chipski]

best of the run it up teams square off

UNDER 231.5 i remeber a month or so ago when the suns played the warriors and the O/U was 234 i watched that game and two teams could not have possibly put up more shots. that total ended up being around 240 but thats about as high as an nba game will go in regular time. There won't be much D played in this one but the total will be somewhere in the 220's

The o/u for that monday jan 7th game was 227 , went to 227.5 .
The Suns outscored the Nuggets in an 80 pt 1st q 46 - 34 .
The final sore hit 252 pts . 137 pts were scored in the 1st half , only 115 pts scored in the 2nd half . Was no ot .

Warriors game eclipsed the 250 mark yesterday at 253 pts .

I dont like any play for tonights on the surface no defense game in Den .
But no way I could do the under with 2 teams not interested in playing defense in high altitude gym .

Is hard to say what kind of offense the Suns will run .
If I had to make a prediction it would be that they average 114 - 115 pts each half so could come down to last possession if it goes over or not .
The 80 pts 1st q in the last meeting was just a fluke , should be around what it is supposed to be tonight 58 - 60 pts 1st q .

[kkhimji2001]

yeah i dont think the offense can keep up 80 1st q points thats why i chose the under..... and i think the 4th q will be tight so a slow down of both offenses is to be expected

[chipski]

If they average 58 pts a q , it would finish at around 232 .
Is tough one , because of what we dont know about what the Suns will do with the slow big man in there .
No way you should ever take an under in this situation though .
But , doing the opposite of what makes sense works in the nba , so what do I know .

[kkhimji2001]

hahah yeah i got burned on unders a few time in recent years.. its a tough situation its really a 50-50 ...it helps that it will be a close game because then both teams will be FORCED to play good defense!

[chipski]

Definitely ! a close game would make them buckle down more .
I guess it comes down to shooting % and the quarters staying more balanced as opposed to an explosive over the top 1st q like in the last game .
Each team should break 100 , so you need it to be something like 114 - 110 , 115 - 112 or just low 100s period .
117 - 114 would go over the total .
Win by the spread of 7 if Nuggets hit 115 would be 115 - 108 equals 223 which is what the o/u probably should be , 223 .
One down q as a result of bad shooting % , say a 47 - 50 pt q would be big for the under to hit with such a high total of 229 .

[ryanXL977]

i dont see any reason not to take the suns. they are better then denver
though they bothsuck

[JBC77]

I like the points in this one.

[gizmo2431]

i feel like this game is a trap... everywhere i look major money is on the suns both side and ML... yet the line still moved in their favor since it opened... i think the line movement shows that sharps may be on denver and this is probably the correct bet here IMO. either way, staying away from it.

[chipski]

i feel like this game is a trap... everywhere i look major money is on the suns both side and ML... yet the line still moved in their favor since it opened... i think the line movement shows that sharps may be on denver and this is probably the correct bet here IMO. either way, staying away from it.

It really comes down to the Suns offensive gameplan .
If they choose to shoot a bunch of 3s and shoot a high % then they could have the Nugs chasing . Scenario after scenario really , etc , turnovers .
If they shoot a low % it could spiral out of reach with the Suns +7 . I know what you mean by the public betting and the line change but really it comes down to what happens on the court . Because someone bets alot of money on the Nuggets - pts to influnce the line has nothing to do with how well the Suns play on the court .
Unless it is fixed and I dont know how we could know that .

[gizmo2431]

It really comes down to the Suns offensive gameplan .
If they choose to shoot a bunch of 3s and shoot a high % then they could have the Nugs chasing . Scenario after scenario really , etc , turnovers .
If they shoot a low % it could spiral out of reach with the Suns +7 . I know what you mean by the public betting and the line change but really it comes down to what happens on the court . Because someone bets alot of money on the Nuggets - pts to influnce the line has nothing to do with how well the Suns play on the court .
Unless it is fixed and I dont know how we could know that .

no way of knowing! at least not for me... and i agree.

[kkhimji2001]

oops on the under

[ryanXL977]

Gizmo
I didnt bet suns, except in a .25 parlay with gsw, so no biggy
i saved money bc of your post
thanks

[chipski]

I thought it was halftime , game is over ?

[ryanXL977]

nope
it isnt
but i think suns will lose outright
game is only half done
first half means jack . i am just thanking him in advance IF he is right
going out for dinner.

go sharks

[picantel]

I need phoenix +12 on a 6 team +5 point teaser that pays +500.

[gizmo2431]

Gizmo
I didnt bet suns, except in a .25 parlay with gsw, so no biggy
i saved money bc of your post
thanks

glad it helped... i've learned to stay away from bets when what i stated above is happening, and usually it turns out to be correct, but of course there are always exceptions. like chipski said, you can never know for sure what's gonna happen on the court.

[NEP Dynasty]

Suns might miss playoffs.

[ryanXL977]

suns will makeplayoffs unless denver learns to win
denver is horrid on the road
they dont show up