Zwer23 NBA plays 2010-2011

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  • Zwer23
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-22-10
    • 465

    #1
    Zwer23 NBA plays 2010-2011
    Hi, i started to bet few months ago, went threw all kinds of stuff to finally find best plays to be on a winning side, last 2 weeks i had tons of plays, as u can see in my spreadsheet which i started few days ago, but i filtered many and last 7 days went with new way of picking games and i was 18-12-1 on that plays. So i will post them her for a while, if it will continue to go on a profit side, expect me to hang out here for a while )

    Numbers you will see are created from home team scoring + away team defence /2, and away team scoring + home team defence/2.
    ATS means team winning more then 57% ATS
    NOATS team is less then 43% ATS wins
    ------------------------------------------
    WAS 96.4 ... NOATS ... +7.5
    ATL 102.35 ... NOATS ... -7.5
    totals combined: 198.75 ...line at o/u196.5 ...
    too close, both teams neather over or under team.. and no play!

    Even with Was on NOATS, the way Atl plays lately, especially at home, and Was getting better, my play is:
    Was +7.5
    -------------------------------------------
    SAC 101.35 ... NOATS ... +2
    LAC 101.25 ... NOATS ... -2
    totals combined: 202.6 ...line at 193.5 ...
    Big difference, and even sacramento is scoring low last few games, i think it will open up a bit today with bad clippers, and they will go on over side a few points, so my play is:
    SAC-LAC OVER 193.5
    ----------------------------

    OVERALL RECORD 0-0-0
    ATS RECORD 0-0-0
    O/U RECORD 0-0-0
  • Zwer23
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-22-10
    • 465

    #2
    As i feared, when i start posting, it will go this way..ah, we will see after a day or two, maybe it will be a good fading material

    OVERALL RECORD 0-2-0
    ATS RECORD 0-1-0
    O/U RECORD 0-1-0
    Comment
    • Zwer23
      SBR Sharp
      • 06-22-10
      • 465

      #3
      CLE...94.5....Under.... +11
      ORL...104.5..NOATS... -11
      Difference is 10, not really shure about that, Orlando dosn't cover ATS thiy year, and Cleveland nether, so i'm gonna stay away...
      totals combined...199...line at 193..good enozgh difference for me, i think, Orl will score good today, and Cleveland will have enough points to cover the over...so my play is:
      ORL-CLE OVER 193
      --------------------
      HOU...103.2...NOATS,Under... +3.5
      CHA...105.5...OVER..... -3.5
      Charlotte should get this one, good interior defence to slow down Scola, and Houston just dosn't cover ATS at all, so i'll go with Cha -3
      Totals combined are 208...line is at 199...i'm going for OVER 199 on this one
      ----------------------
      TOR...96.......UNDER,ATS...+10
      BOS...102.8...OVER,ATS....-10
      I can see Tor cover the line, but to be more shure, i'll take TOR +11
      Totals combined 198.8, line at 196.5... but I'm going with Under 196.5
      --------------------
      OKC...96.5...over............-1.5
      IND...100.....under,ATS....+1.5
      Totals at 196.5, line at 204.5...deffinetly going with Under 204.5
      -------------------
      DAL...101.1...under,ATS...+4
      SAS...102.7...over,ATS....-4
      Totals at 203.8, line at 196.5...I'm going with Over 196.5
      and Dallas plays very good on road, i can see them at least cover ATS,and to be more shure, so my play is:
      Dallas +5
      -------------------
      LAL.....105.4...ATS...-1.5
      UTAH..102.3...ATS...+1.5
      Going with LAL -1.5, i just think they are a better team, and Utah is not good enough
      Totals combined at 207.7, line at 204, and the was Utah plays, its OVER 204
      -------------------
      LAC...102.3...NOATS...........+9
      PHX...108.7...NOATS,OVER...-9
      tOTALS COMBINED AT 211, LINE AT 214.5,and I'm not shure about that play at all..
      But i think Phx -8 is the play
      -------------------
      GSW...98.2...under..+7
      MEM...105..............-7
      Totals at 203.2, line at 208.5, and GSW playin a lot under lately, i take UNDER 208.5
      -------------------
      CHI....101.4...under,ATS......+3.5
      DEN...106......under,NOATS..-3.5
      Totals combined at 207.4..line at 204.5, both teams play mostly Under thus year, but not so shure about that here, and not shure abouth over eathee..so no play..
      My play is DEN -3
      -------------------
      MIL....97...noats,under...+1
      DET...95...ats,under.......-1
      Totals combined at 192, line at 183.5...it should mean Over, but the way this teams play def and shoots lately, I'm sticking with UNDER 183.5
      second play is Milw -1, they are a better team, should get this one
      ---------------------
      2-6 o/u
      3-3 spread
      push

      OVERALL RECORD 5-11-1
      ATS RECORD 3-4-1
      O/U RECORD 2-7-0


      Looks like a good fader so far xD
      Last edited by Zwer23; 11-26-10, 11:41 PM.
      Comment
      • Zwer23
        SBR Sharp
        • 06-22-10
        • 465

        #4
        Too lazy for writeup...

        DAL-MIA UNDER 189.5
        GSW-MIN UNDER 219.5
        ATL-NYK OVER 209.5


        more plays later
        Last edited by Zwer23; 11-28-10, 05:53 AM.
        Comment
        • Zwer23
          SBR Sharp
          • 06-22-10
          • 465

          #5
          NJN +3
          MEM ML
          MIL -2
          MIA +3
          WAS +7
          ORL 1Q -1.5
          ORL-WAS over49 1Q
          GSW-MIN u55 1Q
          Last edited by Zwer23; 11-28-10, 05:54 AM.
          Comment
          • Zwer23
            SBR Sharp
            • 06-22-10
            • 465

            #6
            min 1q -1
            mil 1q -1
            Last edited by Zwer23; 11-27-10, 09:45 PM.
            Comment
            • Zwer23
              SBR Sharp
              • 06-22-10
              • 465

              #7
              totals 3-2
              spread 4-4

              OVERALL RECORD 12-17-1
              ATS RECORD 7-8-1
              O/U RECORD 5-9-0
              1Q RECORD 4-1-0
              Last edited by Zwer23; 11-28-10, 03:51 PM.
              Comment
              • Zwer23
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-22-10
                • 465

                #8
                jazz-lac 1Q over 47.5
                SAS +3, buyed the points
                NJN+5.5
                den 1Q -1
                LAL 1Q -3
                IND +10
                LAL-IND over 200
                POR-NJN Over 185
                JAZZ-LAC Over 195
                Last edited by Zwer23; 11-29-10, 03:39 AM.
                Comment
                • Zwer23
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-22-10
                  • 465

                  #9
                  noh 1q -0.5
                  Last edited by Zwer23; 11-28-10, 03:42 PM.
                  Comment
                  • Austin103
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-19-10
                    • 1407

                    #10
                    Nice man, no worries about your record, at least your posting your plays.

                    I will check your thread out man, feel free to check out mine as well: A103's NBA Thread
                    Comment
                    • Zwer23
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-22-10
                      • 465

                      #11
                      Phx +5.5
                      Hou-OKC Under 211
                      DEN-PHX Under 220

                      Last edited by Zwer23; 11-29-10, 03:38 AM.
                      Comment
                      • Zwer23
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 06-22-10
                        • 465

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Austin103
                        Nice man, no worries about your record, at least your posting your plays.

                        I will check your thread out man, feel free to check out mine as well: A103's NBA Thread
                        thx man, i still dont put big money on this, just been testing my picking skills, but i get better by day, so if i start picking winners, i will start bet normal on them )
                        Comment
                        • Zwer23
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-22-10
                          • 465

                          #13
                          ...
                          was looking into Den-PHX 1Q under 54.5, but stayed away
                          also for hou 1Q...det 1Q too...
                          Comment
                          • Austin103
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-19-10
                            • 1407

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Zwer23
                            thx man, i still dont put big money on this, just been testing my picking skills, but i get better by day, so if i start picking winners, i will start bet normal on them )
                            Sounds good man!
                            Comment
                            • Zwer23
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 06-22-10
                              • 465

                              #15
                              10-2-1

                              totals 4-2
                              spread 6-0-1
                              (1Q 3-0-1)

                              OVERALL RECORD 22-19-2
                              ATS RECORD 13-8-2
                              O/U RECORD 9-11-0
                              (1Q RECORD 7-1-1
                              )
                              Comment
                              • Zwer23
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 06-22-10
                                • 465

                                #16
                                points allowed is already in formula.. i take points scored away + points allowed, and i take some middle number
                                lets say some team scores 100 away, and opponent allows 104 at home, i take 102 as a number to look into...
                                i tried this last 5 days
                                and if u go every day with a litteral bet, the way "sistem" says, for spreads and for over- under, it eded up 42-26-2 ...maybe i was just lucky

                                but if i look at that , lets say today, i would hit ATL UNDER, and ML
                                NYK over and +2 for NYK
                                JAZZ over, but missed LAC +7, which i wouldn't bed anyway...SAS +2 and OVER...
                                these were the numbers

                                atl 100
                                tor 99.2

                                nyk 104
                                det 104

                                jazz 100.2
                                LAC 97.5

                                SAS 98.5
                                NOH 99
                                It vas overall 42-26-2

                                last night 12-4

                                updated 54-30-2 ..btw, in this "system" i really like buying 0.5 or 1 point to get advantage...it helped me in 6-7 games to get a winner or a push!

                                btw... betting on dogs +1.5 point was overall 70-25 since i track....
                                last night 6-2
                                overall 76-27!!

                                I'm gonna start betting from now on with that "system"!! ))
                                Last edited by Zwer23; 11-29-10, 06:20 AM.
                                Comment
                                • Zwer23
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-22-10
                                  • 465

                                  #17
                                  Hou +10
                                  Hou-Dal Under 199
                                  (System says Over, but I'll go with Under, because houston will slow down game, and Dallas allow 92 points at home)
                                  Last edited by Zwer23; 11-29-10, 10:54 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • Zwer23
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 06-22-10
                                    • 465

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Austin103
                                    Sounds good man!
                                    and looks good from last day record!

                                    Comment
                                    • Zwer23
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 06-22-10
                                      • 465

                                      #19
                                      Was +12
                                      was-mia over 197
                                      noh +4
                                      jazz-mil over 188
                                      hou 1q +3

                                      Last edited by Zwer23; 11-29-10, 10:41 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • Zwer23
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 06-22-10
                                        • 465

                                        #20
                                        I have some college hoops, just to follow it and see how it goes, no money on that for now

                                        Minnesota -13
                                        UAB -8
                                        St.Peters +13
                                        NC Wilmington +10
                                        USC +2
                                        Florida Intl +10

                                        this college bball is just crazy, hard to pick games, when a team that has -15,they can easily can lose by 10, and the other way, team with +10, looses by 20 even when they should be sticking under 10...

                                        COLLEGE BBALL RECORD 3-3-0
                                        Last edited by Zwer23; 11-29-10, 11:19 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • Zwer23
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 06-22-10
                                          • 465

                                          #21
                                          ANOTHER GREAT DAY
                                          5-1-1

                                          totals 3-0-0
                                          spread 2-1-1
                                          (1Q 1-0-0)


                                          OVERALL RECORD 27-20-3

                                          SPREAD RECORD 15-9-3
                                          TOTALS RECORD 12-11-0
                                          (1Q RECORD 8-1-1
                                          )

                                          LAST 2 DAYS 15-3-2
                                          Last edited by Zwer23; 11-29-10, 11:22 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • Zwer23
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 06-22-10
                                            • 465

                                            #22
                                            1 PHI 76ers +4.0

                                            2 NJ Nets +5.0

                                            3 CLE Cavaliers +8.0

                                            4 BOS-CLE Under 193.0

                                            5 POR-PHI Under 192.0

                                            6 IND-SAC Under 191.0


                                            7 GS Warriors +4.0 (0.5 Units)


                                            8 LAL-MEM Over 204.0

                                            9 MEM Grizzlies +7.0

                                            10 NYK-NJN Under 206.0

                                            11 IND -3
                                            Last edited by Zwer23; 12-01-10, 04:37 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • Zwer23
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 06-22-10
                                              • 465

                                              #23
                                              CBB

                                              Fullerton +14
                                              Illinois -5
                                              Northwestern -6
                                              Western Carolina -2
                                              St.Louis +5
                                              Ohio st. -4.5
                                              Cornell +17
                                              Sacramento st. +22
                                              Iowa -2
                                              Indiana st +15.5
                                              Houston +9
                                              South Dakota st. -6
                                              Michigan +9
                                              Georgetown -1
                                              Last edited by Zwer23; 12-01-10, 04:38 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • brahmabull117
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 8622

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Zwer23
                                                1 PHI 76ers +4.0

                                                2 NJ Nets +5.0

                                                3 CLE Cavaliers +8.0

                                                4 BOS-CLE Under 193.0

                                                5 POR-PHI Under 192.0

                                                6 IND-SAC Under 191.0

                                                7 GS Warriors +4.0

                                                8 LAL-MEM Over 204.0

                                                9 MEM Grizzlies +7.0

                                                10 NYK-NJN Under 206.0

                                                11 IND -3

                                                I'm with you on nearly every pick but that golden state one is really baffling to me


                                                every form of analysis I'm doing right now points to San Antonio Winning by 10-15 points...and the spread isn't even 5 points


                                                the last 2 times these 2 teams played in Golden State, the spurs won by a combined 43 points

                                                oh and the spurs beat Golden state in 4 out of 4 games last year by a combined 88 points
                                                Comment
                                                • Zwer23
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 06-22-10
                                                  • 465

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                  I'm with you on nearly every pick but that golden state one is really baffling to me


                                                  every form of analysis I'm doing right now points to San Antonio Winning by 10-15 points...and the spread isn't even 5 points


                                                  the last 2 times these 2 teams played in Golden State, the spurs won by a combined 43 points

                                                  oh and the spurs beat Golden state in 4 out of 4 games last year by a combined 88 points
                                                  I was looking at that too, wasn't really shure at all, actually, i don't know why i'm on it, lol, looking for a surprise I guess, Ellis playing great against Spurs, Lee is back, Curry and Wright playin very good, and teams always put more effort on home games, I'm on this with 0.5 unit, didn't mension that on my play's list...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Zwer23
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 06-22-10
                                                    • 465

                                                    #26
                                                    12 BOS Celtics 1Q -2.5

                                                    13 ORL Magic 1Q -3.5


                                                    14 GS Warriors 1Q +1.0 (0.5 Units)


                                                    15 ORL-DET 1Q Under 49.0

                                                    16 IND-SAC 1Q Under 50.0

                                                    17 DET +11(I wrote it wrong, i had it at 12, buyed 1 point)
                                                    Last edited by Zwer23; 11-30-10, 11:07 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Zwer23
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 06-22-10
                                                      • 465

                                                      #27
                                                      too many plays, and later i filtered out 5 plays that i wouldn't play if i can choose again, gotta do that for tommorow before posting and betting again!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Zwer23
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 06-22-10
                                                        • 465

                                                        #28
                                                        Cbb 8-6
                                                        college bball record 11-9-0
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Zwer23
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 06-22-10
                                                          • 465

                                                          #29


                                                          RECAP, NBA
                                                          7-9-1

                                                          totals 3-3-1
                                                          spread 4-6-0
                                                          (1Q 2-3-0)


                                                          OVERALL RECORD 34-29-4

                                                          SPREAD RECORD 19-15-3
                                                          TOTALS RECORD 15-14-1
                                                          (1Q RECORD 10-4-1
                                                          )


                                                          [/color]
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Zwer23
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 06-22-10
                                                            • 465

                                                            #30
                                                            CBB

                                                            Arkansas
                                                            Pacific
                                                            Utah st.
                                                            W.Michigan
                                                            C.Michigan
                                                            Michigan st.
                                                            Commenvealth
                                                            Loyola mymt
                                                            Arkansas RL
                                                            UC Davis
                                                            Irvine
                                                            W.Kentucky
                                                            Alabama
                                                            Indiana
                                                            St.Josephs
                                                            Florida Intl
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Zwer23
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 06-22-10
                                                              • 465

                                                              #31
                                                              1. was-tor 1q u51.5
                                                              2. min-dal 1q u52
                                                              3. mil-den 1q u51
                                                              4. noh 1q -2.5
                                                              5. noh 1h -4.5
                                                              6. dal 1h -6
                                                              7. tor 1h -2.5
                                                              8. tor-was under 208
                                                              9. sas-lac over 203
                                                              10. utah-ind over 197
                                                              11. lal-hou under 205
                                                              12. hou +7
                                                              13. ind +8
                                                              14. mem +6
                                                              15. LAC 1Q +2
                                                              Last edited by Zwer23; 12-02-10, 01:13 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Zwer23
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 06-22-10
                                                                • 465

                                                                #32
                                                                Test plays:
                                                                Mia 3Q -3
                                                                SAS 4Q -1.5
                                                                Cha 4Q +2
                                                                CHI 4Q -0.5

                                                                fail, no plays again for this
                                                                Last edited by Zwer23; 12-02-10, 01:15 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Zwer23
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 06-22-10
                                                                  • 465

                                                                  #33
                                                                  RECAP, NBA
                                                                  9-6-0

                                                                  totals 3-4-0
                                                                  spread 6-2-0
                                                                  (1Q & 1H 6-2-0)


                                                                  OVERALL RECORD 43-35-4

                                                                  SPREAD RECORD 25-17-3
                                                                  TOTALS RECORD 18-18-1
                                                                  (1Q & 1H RECORD 16-6-1)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Zwer23
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 06-22-10
                                                                    • 465

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Cbb 5-11
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Zwer23
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 06-22-10
                                                                      • 465

                                                                      #35
                                                                      After a few days testing, gonna be much more selective from now on for CBB, no more 15games like the other night..starting a fresh record count

                                                                      Cbb

                                                                      oregon +6
                                                                      ucla +16.5
                                                                      Baylor-9


                                                                      3-0-0
                                                                      Last edited by Zwer23; 12-03-10, 11:11 AM.
                                                                      Comment
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