CMattis22's NBA Plays

[CMattis22]

I'm a 20 year old kid who loves to gamble. I started around the age of 18 online and now through a bookie. I've done quite well with my picks. I'll have my plays posted daily. I bet on all sports so I will have a thread under each sport I bet. You're welcome to tail along, fade, whichever you prefer. Your input is welcome. Figured I'd give this a try so I can see my progress. I don't have GOY, GOM, etc...I bet 1 unit per game. Unit just depends on your bankroll. So enough of the chatter. Lets make some cash!


NCAA Plays (11/17/10)

Game: Louisiana Lafayette @ Creighton (8:00 PM ET)
Play: Creighton -12 (1 unit)
Write Up: This is just one of those games that I feel the oddsmakers didnt spend much time on. I see this being a blow out. I have Creighton winning this one by 18-20 points. Giving this play plenty of value.


Game: Drake @ Iowa State (8:00 PM ET)
Play: Drake +7.5 (1 unit)
Write Up: I feel Iowa State is over valued here. They lost there top 3 scorers from last year. (70% of there production.) And they were only able to win 15 games. Drake returns there leading scorer and rebounder, and also added Rayvonte Rice out of Illinois. Drake will give them all they can handle.

Game: Murray State @ Mississippi (8:00 PM ET)
Play: Murray State +6 (1 unit)
Write Up: Murray State returns an experienced squad here from last years 31-5 NCAA tourney team that only lost by a bucket to tourney runner up Butler. Ole Miss only returns 6 players from a 24-11 team and add 9 new players. This is a big game for Murray St who's looking to increase there RPI with a win over a bigger name school. This is gonna be closer than the experts think. Look for Murray State to go for the win. Gonna take those 6 points in this matchup.

Good Luck! Lets get it!

[zebo1337]

Not betting any on the NCAA today, but have backed Phoenix +8. The line just seems to good to me =)

[CMattis22]

posted wrong plays. meant for ncaa. nba will be up shortly. sorry about this

[CMattis22]

NBA Plays 11/17/10

Game: Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Hornets (8:05 PM ET)
Play: Over 190.5 (1 unit)
Write Up: Mavs play at a high speed pace on the road. This line is based on there last game at Dallas which ended at 187. My system projects this to finish around 198 giving this play much value. James Capers is the ref crew chief here so you'll see plenty of free throws in this game. I'd be suprised if this didnt hit

Game: Chicago Bulls at Antonio Spurs (9:35 PM ET)
Play: Over 204.5
Write Up: The line opened at 207 and has fallen to 204.5 in most shops. My system has this landing on average 210.5. Spurs defensive days are over now that they play at a higher pace. Even though the Bulls are on back to back. They are a younger squad and the back to back will not affect them as it would with a more experienced squad. So look for the Bulls to play along with the fast pace.

[mrsolodolo21]

I like the creighton bet, they play well in the qwest center. Their last game against N. Arizona where they only won by 4 was a fluke as NAU went bizzerk from the 3 point line in the 2nd half.

[CMattis22]

Added Play 11/17

Game: Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Hornets (8:05 PM ET)
Play: Dallas Mavericks +5 (1 unit)
Write Up: Normally I would look for the revenge factor with New Orleans losing 95-92 last outing. But thats not the case here. Dallas plays better on the road than they do at home. My system has New Orleans -1 giving us a buckets. I put New Orleans in fade mode after they covered there first 8 games.