Starting off my thread with a Play of the Week

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  • forloveofthegame
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-01-09
    • 5288

    #211
    Magic Nuggets ov 205 2u love billups being out
    Comment
    • forloveofthegame
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-01-09
      • 5288

      #212
      sorry for being late guys took me 5 minutes to post this on my phone
      Comment
      • forloveofthegame
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-01-09
        • 5288

        #213
        cash the lake show under

        lawson at point is going over all day. hate watching billups old ass walk it up the floor
        Comment
        • tqpolo
          SBR Hustler
          • 10-08-10
          • 76

          #214
          Missed the play but gl.
          Comment
          • Lakers714
            SBR MVP
            • 06-17-09
            • 4671

            #215
            You have a play for the Warriors game bro? I'm a little bit on tilt and didn't have time to look into that game. It's strictly a tail at this point. Thx. I'll shoot some points for the winner. The good new is I won 46 points from the SBR book for the Sixers game so it's not a total loss.
            Comment
            • tqpolo
              SBR Hustler
              • 10-08-10
              • 76

              #216
              Min/GS under 215. What do you think? Public is on the over but total dropped from 217.
              Comment
              • forloveofthegame
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-01-09
                • 5288

                #217
                Do like the under. glad to see were on the same page..

                Min/GS un 215.5 .5u
                Comment
                • forloveofthegame
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-01-09
                  • 5288

                  #218
                  Originally posted by Lakers714
                  You have a play for the Warriors game bro? I'm a little bit on tilt and didn't have time to look into that game. It's strictly a tail at this point. Thx. I'll shoot some points for the winner. The good new is I won 46 points from the SBR book for the Sixers game so it's not a total loss.
                  make the under a small play nothing to big. really like the play dont think min goes over 100.
                  Comment
                  • Lakers714
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-17-09
                    • 4671

                    #219
                    Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                    make the under a small play nothing to big. really like the play dont think min goes over 100.
                    Damn, looks like were on opposite sides on this one bro. I decided to tail NoCoin with his formula before I checked your thread again. BOL to you though.
                    Comment
                    • forloveofthegame
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-01-09
                      • 5288

                      #220
                      looks like we can cash the houston pick. Both early plays cash
                      Comment
                      • forloveofthegame
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-01-09
                        • 5288

                        #221
                        cant believe the nuggets over didnt just cash

                        will have to settle for a push
                        Comment
                        • lyon804
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-02-09
                          • 6526

                          #222
                          Nice nite buddie..to bad you had to settle for a push in Denver... I heard it was rigged
                          Comment
                          • forloveofthegame
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-01-09
                            • 5288

                            #223
                            Originally posted by lyon804
                            Nice nite buddie..to bad you had to settle for a push in Denver... I heard it was rigged
                            thanks

                            i think orlando just sucked that bad. nothing stood out to me of any kind of fix just a sharp line
                            Comment
                            • forloveofthegame
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-01-09
                              • 5288

                              #224
                              Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                              weak card tonight. keeping it small...
                              Lal/Was un204 1u
                              Hou -9 .5u
                              Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                              Magic Nuggets ov 205 2u
                              Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                              Do like the under. glad to see were on the same page..

                              Min/GS un 215.5 .5u
                              3-0 +2u with the nuggets game pushing

                              Be back tommorrow for another winning day
                              Comment
                              • lyon804
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-02-09
                                • 6526

                                #225
                                Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                                3-0 +2u with the nuggets game pushing

                                Be back tommorrow for another winning day

                                Man, I made a killing tailing your picks again We were on the right side of it tonite
                                Comment
                                • tqpolo
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 10-08-10
                                  • 76

                                  #226
                                  Any plays for tonight?
                                  Comment
                                  • forloveofthegame
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 06-01-09
                                    • 5288

                                    #227
                                    Early game..

                                    Lac/Phi un194 1u
                                    Comment
                                    • tqpolo
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 10-08-10
                                      • 76

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                                      Early game..

                                      Lac/Phi un194 1u
                                      Thought on public is on Under but total goes up from 191 since opened?
                                      Comment
                                      • forloveofthegame
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 06-01-09
                                        • 5288

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by tqpolo
                                        Thought on public is on Under but total goes up from 191 since opened?
                                        yeah try to pay attention to line movements. dont know much about the move up but i did notice it and didnt affect my bet. i like it because both teams have been going under as of late. my favorite stat is with baron davis back. the under is 10-0-1 when baron davis plays this year. he plays with a slower pace kinda like billups
                                        Comment
                                        • tqpolo
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 10-08-10
                                          • 76

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                                          yeah try to pay attention to line movements. dont know much about the move up but i did notice it and didnt affect my bet. i like it because both teams have been going under as of late. my favorite stat is with baron davis back. the under is 10-0-1 when baron davis plays this year. he plays with a slower pace kinda like billups
                                          Ok. Cool.
                                          Comment
                                          • forloveofthegame
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 06-01-09
                                            • 5288

                                            #231
                                            Spurs -9 .5u
                                            Comment
                                            • forloveofthegame
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-01-09
                                              • 5288

                                              #232
                                              just missed the under. first half did us in
                                              Comment
                                              • forloveofthegame
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-01-09
                                                • 5288

                                                #233
                                                just saw the spurs blew a 16 pt half time lead

                                                tommorrows a new day
                                                Comment
                                                • forloveofthegame
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-01-09
                                                  • 5288

                                                  #234
                                                  Play of the Week

                                                  Spurs -1 5u

                                                  I know Nuggets have won 10 straight at home but thats all they have going for them

                                                  I suggest everybody get on this!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lyon804
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-02-09
                                                    • 6526

                                                    #235
                                                    Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                                                    Play of the Week

                                                    Spurs -1 5u

                                                    I know Nuggets have won 10 straight at home but thats all they have going for them

                                                    I suggest everybody get on this!!

                                                    Wow man, what do you see here and why so much? This isn't a chase bet because of last nite's 0-2 is it???
                                                    Comment
                                                    • aireent777
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-21-09
                                                      • 5930

                                                      #236
                                                      Spurs by 8 or more.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • forloveofthegame
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-01-09
                                                        • 5288

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by lyon804
                                                        Wow man, what do you see here and why so much? This isn't a chase bet because of last nite's 0-2 is it???
                                                        spurs aren't affected much by the b2b. the line is a trick by vegas to look like nuggets are the play. if you know me i am a huge nuggets fan. last time i faded them i won and swore i never would fade them again because i was pulling for them to win down the stretch

                                                        Too much value here imo. the line movement made this play from a 2u bet to 5u POTW

                                                        Im 10-2 documented on any game nuggets are playing in. Also forgot to mention, my plays of the week are 3-0 so far. BOL on tonights game lyon and everyone else

                                                        edit- 3-1 so far in POTW. lost bulls under couple weeks ago
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lyon804
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-02-09
                                                          • 6526

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                                                          spurs aren't affected much by the b2b. the line is a trick by vegas to look like nuggets are the play. if you know me i am a huge nuggets fan. last time i faded them i won and swore i never would fade them again because i was pulling for them to win down the stretch

                                                          Too much value here imo. the line movement made this play from a 2u bet to 5u POTW

                                                          Im 10-2 documented on any game nuggets are playing in. Also forgot to mention, my plays of the week are 3-0 so far. BOL on tonights game lyon and everyone else


                                                          OK! Fair enough, but do you have any other angles here that you like? Other than Spurs are not affected much by B2B, line movement, and value? Really, I am kinda hesitant to bet this game to tell you the truth because I know the Spurs are a mirage.. They are not nearly as good as there early record would believe you to think they are. And you being a Nuggets fan you know what the 2H @ the pepsi center looks like for opposing teams on a B2B.


                                                          The Nuggets are a fickle bunch that play when they want to play but they seem to get up for these type game especially nationally televised. They stunned the Lakers,Magic at home as dogs on national TV, what makes you think they won't just do it again? At the end of the day the Lakers and the Magic are both better than the Spurs, records not withstanding..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • forloveofthegame
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-01-09
                                                            • 5288

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by lyon804
                                                            OK! Fair enough, but do you have any other angles here that you like? Other than Spurs are not affected much by B2B, line movement, and value? Really, I am kinda hesitant to bet this game to tell you the truth because I know the Spurs are a mirage.. They are not nearly as good as there early record would believe you to think they are. And you being a Nuggets fan you know what the 2H @ the pepsi center looks like for opposing teams on a B2B.


                                                            The Nuggets are a fickle bunch that play when they want to play but they seem to get up for these type game especially nationally televised. They stunned the Lakers,Magic at home as dogs on national TV, what makes you think they won't just do it again? At the end of the day the Lakers and the Magic are both better than the Spurs, records not withstanding..
                                                            i have been on the winning side of most of the games mentioned. Nuggets are a team you have to pick your spots with. they did look great against orlando but orlando kinda fell off their at the end with no contest. nuggets d is pathetic while the spurs have the offense to take advantage of it. here are some trends that came into mind.
                                                            Spurs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.
                                                            Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                                                            Spurs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

                                                            Nuggets are 6-17-3 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
                                                            Nuggets are 5-23-5 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS win.

                                                            They are notorious for letting down after a big win. also keep in mind as well as they have been at home there ats is a losing record.

                                                            Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

                                                            As you said with bigger games, you are right on point. nuggets always seem to get the win on tnt.

                                                            Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
                                                            Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.

                                                            I am very confident spurs will take this game out right by 5-10. also well aware that if the game is tied going into the fourth i can throw my ticket in the garbage
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lyon804
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-02-09
                                                              • 6526

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                                                              i have been on the winning side of most of the games mentioned. Nuggets are a team you have to pick your spots with. they did look great against orlando but orlando kinda fell off their at the end with no contest. nuggets d is pathetic while the spurs have the offense to take advantage of it. here are some trends that came into mind.
                                                              Spurs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.
                                                              Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                                                              Spurs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

                                                              Nuggets are 6-17-3 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
                                                              Nuggets are 5-23-5 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS win.

                                                              They are notorious for letting down after a big win. also keep in mind as well as they have been at home there ats is a losing record.

                                                              Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

                                                              As you said with bigger games, you are right on point. nuggets always seem to get the win on tnt.

                                                              Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
                                                              Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.

                                                              I am very confident spurs will take this game out right by 5-10. also well aware that if the game is tied going into the fourth i can throw my ticket in the garbage


                                                              one stat or trend you missed is the underdog is 8-0 ATS in this series. Nevermind that, I personally don't put much stock in trends anyhow, if they were any real value the books would not give those out on there websites, besides just about anything you can find on the internet is"baken into the cake" so to speak in regards to trends. You being a Nuggets fan should know that they like to play against the big boys and after the embarrasment of getting thrashed twice at home to the Spurs one could assume a big effort tonite. Spurs might be starting to regress as well, since it took a buzzer beater to beat the Bucks last nite. Spurs are due to regress to the means as there offense has been heavily predicated on perimiter shooting... the same perimiter shooting that led to an awful game on the road to the Clips not long ago and a loss. Sure Denver is not know for any defense, but that doesn't bother me with the Spurs since they are pretty much a jump shooting team and get little points in the paint lately.. Last, but not least.. Billups being out works agaisnt the Spurs imo with Lawson setting the tempo against a veteran team off a B2B in thin air.. You better hope Spurs have secured this game well before the 4Q.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • forloveofthegame
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 06-01-09
                                                                • 5288

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by lyon804
                                                                one stat or trend you missed is the underdog is 8-0 ATS in this series. Nevermind that, I personally don't put much stock in trends anyhow, if they were any real value the books would not give those out on there websites, besides just about anything you can find on the internet is"baken into the cake" so to speak in regards to trends. You being a Nuggets fan should know that they like to play against the big boys and after the embarrasment of getting thrashed twice at home to the Spurs one could assume a big effort tonite. Spurs might be starting to regress as well, since it took a buzzer beater to beat the Bucks last nite. Spurs are due to regress to the means as there offense has been heavily predicated on perimiter shooting... the same perimiter shooting that led to an awful game on the road to the Clips not long ago and a loss. Sure Denver is not know for any defense, but that doesn't bother me with the Spurs since they are pretty much a jump shooting team and get little points in the paint lately.. Last, but not least.. Billups being out works agaisnt the Spurs imo with Lawson setting the tempo against a veteran team off a B2B in thin air.. You better hope Spurs have secured this game well before the 4Q.
                                                                again very valid points on either side tonight. i felt comfortable enough to play the spurs with this much cheddar and you feel the same about the nuggets. Bol on your plays and points your way if your right about denver

                                                                edit- point about the underdog is 8-0 ats well the spurs are 4-0 ats last 4 matchups. as you said it doesnt put to much weight into the game besides a team just having the others number
                                                                Comment
                                                                • lyon804
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-02-09
                                                                  • 6526

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                                                                  again very valid points on either side tonight. i felt comfortable enough to play the spurs with this much cheddar and you feel the same about the nuggets. Bol on your plays and points your way if your right about denver

                                                                  edit- point about the underdog is 8-0 ats well the spurs are 4-0 ats last 4 matchups. as you said it doesnt put to much weight into the game besides a team just having the others number

                                                                  I don't see that. Spurs covered and won last 2 games which were in Denver, Nuggets won and covered the previous 2 matchups in San An. I am not a huge stat tracker, but I browse Bodog web site because they give the last 10 mathcups and it's easy to view. Link Below.




                                                                  Haven't played Denver, should have already played them if I was going too and got a better #
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • forloveofthegame
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 06-01-09
                                                                    • 5288

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by lyon804
                                                                    I don't see that. Spurs covered and won last 2 games which were in Denver, Nuggets won and covered the previous 2 matchups in San An. I am not a huge stat tracker, but I browse Bodog web site because they give the last 10 mathcups and it's easy to view. Link Below.




                                                                    Haven't played Denver, should have already played them if I was going too and got a better #
                                                                    opps misread last 4 in denver*

                                                                    also did you notice this one..

                                                                    Road team is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lyon804
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-02-09
                                                                      • 6526

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by forloveofthegame
                                                                      opps misread last 4 in denver*

                                                                      also did you notice this one..

                                                                      Road team is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

                                                                      yes, I did, but the underdog 8-0 seems more likely to continue tonite.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • forloveofthegame
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 06-01-09
                                                                        • 5288

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by lyon804
                                                                        yes, I did, but the underdog 8-0 seems more likely to continue tonite.
                                                                        wouldnt be surprised if its at pk at tip off
                                                                        Comment
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