NBA Dogs ATS 62.09%

[balman]

if NBA dogs (road or home doesnt matter) win 62% of the time why not blindly bet all dogs ATS? anyone ever tried that?

past 3 days, my record is 11-5 69% ..... just wondering as i'm new to nba betting? so i dont have long term data... is this just a flike to start the year?

NBA 2010-11 Dogs95-58-6 62.09% here is a link to NBA league trend

covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/trends/league/season.html&t=0

Cheers
Balman

[Whippit]

seeing variance like that just indicates how important money mgmt is

[ManBearPig]

So far dogs today are 2-0 with a chance of going 4-0...very interesting stat. Makes me feel better about my PHO play tonight

[Brp27345]

all this means is that favs should go off at a 100-60 clip over the next 160 games... good to know...

[thefonzo]

Last year double-digit dogs hit at an almost impossible rate. Not exactly sure, but we're talkin 70-80%

[riskyProps]

To do that you would have to bet every game. How many does that here?

[balman]

yes thats what i did I bet every game.. always the dog taking the point spread.. and same amount every game... i bet 1/2 unit 1st 3 days and did 1 uint today... but would like to see long term stats if anyone has them.. like for 2009/10 whats was win % of dogs ATS

i will bet 1 unit ATS ever dog tomorrow...........if someone has stats to tell me long term that will fail please let me know.. however if i can hit 56% to 60% then i will keep doing it

cheers
Bal

[head_strong]

it always comes back close to 50/50

[jboy4]

Yep, it will even out, so start betting the favorites

[Foals]

It will even out eventually but dogs have looked good this early in the season

[Pauulzcappin]

ALL dogs covered today. It's gonna be a massive killing for favs soon. The lines are bit too wide right now when the league is a lot more competitive than books think.

[monkeyking]

when teams fall 20 games below .500 and start tanking for a draft pick, you'll see more dogs get blown out like they're supposed to

[Whippit]

1230 game season

for sake of argument say dogs/faves 615-615 ats after 1230 games

lets say that you, like big dummy, bet faves starting now

615-58 = 557 wins ats
615-95= 520 losses ats

u effin morans gonna get raped by the juice

save ur $$$ & thank me later when you still have money to treat gf to olive garden for holidays

[balman]

when teams fall 20 games below .500 and start tanking for a draft pick, you'll see more dogs get blown out like they're supposed to

yeah that makes sense i could see that happening and i guess the bookmakers will start making the lines tighter as the season goes on... oh well i guess its worth riding while it lasts... i wont go to crazy just keep making 1 unit bets and hope i can hit 56-60%

[EasyHustlin]

Quit while you're ahead!

[balman]

where are my dogs? lines are all like 2-3 points today, basicly pickems..... i had a great week playing dogs for the last week 17-6... i guess the jig is up.... is it time to play the favs
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