NLF 2010-2011 NBA thread

[NittanyLionsFan]

I haven't done this in a couple years (tracked plays on a forum) but have much more free time nowadays, so figured I'll start again.

I'll post plays each day I have them. The majority of them will be 1-3 units each, and a maximum of 5 units. I'll update the record daily with record and units.

[NittanyLionsFan]

It's also worth noting now that I'll probably post more money line plays (both favorites, and underdogs) than most other players. I have an extremely good understanding of expectation/probability and know value when I see it (in ML prices). I don't just take a favorites ML because I think they're gonna win, but if they're -160 and I think they're gonna win the game 75% of the time then there's obviously value ($100*.75 - $160*.25 = $35).

All plays will be to win X units if the price is +100 or worse, and risking X units if the price is +101 or better.

Good luck everyone!

[NittanyLionsFan]

Portland Trail Blazers ML +130 (Risking 2 units)
New York Knicks/Orlando Magic Over 202.5 -103 (1 unit)

[NittanyLionsFan]

Knicks game cancelled, so only 1 play ended up happening.

Record: 1-0, +2.60 units

[NittanyLionsFan]

Saturday:

Houston Rockets ML +2.35 1 unit
Washington Wizards -4.5 1 unit