Blazers Bulls -1.5

h3da · 11-01-10, 12:29 AM

portland will win

fessman · 11-01-10, 01:02 AM

Portland is hot right now. Don't see them losing to Chicago.

Michaelmakesit · 11-01-10, 02:05 AM

if portland is soo much better why aren't they favored in this game?
line came out as chicago -1.5 and is now at -1 with most $ coming in on portland.

I LOVE SMALL HOME DOGS IN ANY SPORT WHERE PUBLIC ISN'T ON THEM!

ABSOLUTELY LOVE THEM

$

sweetjones55 · 11-01-10, 02:10 AM

Originally posted by Michaelmakesit

if portland is soo much better why aren't they favored in this game?
line came out as chicago -1.5 and is now at -1 with most $ coming in on portland.

I LOVE SMALL HOME DOGS IN ANY SPORT WHERE PUBLIC ISN'T ON THEM!

ABSOLUTELY LOVE THEM

$

The reason you absolutely love them is completely wrong, I really think you should reconsider this play. The Bulls are actually getting all of the public pounding on them at 60% yet the line has dropped from Blazers +1.5 to +1, significant Reverse Line Movement. Sportsinsights is the most accurate public betting tracking site around and that's what they have it at. Covers also shows 58% on Chicago. Thespread also shows 60% on Chicago.

Your only explanation for the play is the line movement yet it is strongly in the favor of Portland thusfar.

sweetjones55 · 11-01-10, 02:14 AM

Since you are also looking at line movement, look at what Pinnacle was doing for a while. Giving +100 and +102 for Bulls at -1.5. Then juicing -113 on Portland at the same time. Until eventually just moving the line down to Portland +1

10/31 16:44 +1½ -110 / -1½ +100
10/31 16:45 +1½ -113 / -1½ +102
10/31 17:03 +1½ -110 / -1½ +100

Michaelmakesit · 11-01-10, 03:24 AM

theres still another 15 hours until game starts and you are talking about 60% of the $ bet has come onto chicago...??

so?////????

theres a full day left and the $ will move onto portland.

chicago -1.5 was already placed so im sticking to it

not ever gonna take portland in this spot

Manboy · 11-01-10, 03:35 AM

BOL.

pokerwhiz90 · 11-01-10, 04:24 AM

sorry im gonna agree the bulls are the right play
vegas says portland will win and that is the obvious smart play
i think the squares get this one because this game is full of too many intangibles and the bulls have the edge on that
of course portland is playing hot but come on people its the 3rd game of the season - you really cant tell much for either team except they both are very good and can light each other up

The big question here will be how many more offensive rebounds Portland gets as the Bulls have Noah opposed to Portland's Camby.
If Camby has a career night expect a portland win and a under, if Noah wins the battle, than its the Bulls and the over - easy as pie

TGHMak · 11-01-10, 04:24 AM

Originally posted by Michaelmakesit

if portland is soo much better why aren't they favored in this game?
line came out as chicago -1.5 and is now at -1 with most $ coming in on portland.

I LOVE SMALL HOME DOGS IN ANY SPORT WHERE PUBLIC ISN'T ON THEM!

ABSOLUTELY LOVE THEM

$

Did you mean small home favorites?

Coolsmarti · 11-01-10, 05:16 AM

We are down to 52% on Portland .. I'm am Going with Bulls -1!
BOL.

dude_bg · 11-01-10, 06:12 AM

thespread com shows 66 % on Portland, and line is still Por+1, , what would that mean, that vegas wants people to continue betting on Portland?

shantystar · 11-01-10, 06:35 AM

GL.

beanbag · 11-01-10, 11:28 AM

blazers got this!

lolbear · 11-01-10, 11:40 AM

BOL to everyone, should garner quite a bit of action. I am on the blazers and under on this one. Blazer's pace should slow down on this one

chaseutleyfan26 · 11-01-10, 11:55 AM

go portland tonight

BernardMadoff · 11-01-10, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by dude_bg

thespread com shows 66 % on Portland, and line is still Por+1, , what would that mean, that vegas wants people to continue betting on Portland?

Can't tell what it means,normally it would mean more money is on Chicago, could mean they don't want to move to +½.

dskibin2 · 11-01-10, 12:25 PM

The bulls look like a confused team, even with the comeback win against Detroit. When Rose is out of the game, there is no where to turn for scoring and play making. Deng may have filled this role last season, but he is off to a terrible start. The blazers are playing well and look like they have a better all around team at this point in the season. I like portland

stuntin909 · 11-01-10, 01:13 PM

Portland 1st half for me. Bulls always start slow at home.

Raynor21 · 11-01-10, 01:20 PM

I don't even really like the under on this. 187? This game really seems entirely too risky. At first I wanted Chicago and I was sure that they were going to be give maybe +3, but the fact that they're favorited at -1 has me really confused? Could this really be Vegas wanting the public to pound the hot team at underdog?

Michaelmakesit · 11-01-10, 04:07 PM

at 5 Dimes 32% are on the moneyline on the bulls.

adding bulls -1 at 5dimes

d2bets · 11-01-10, 04:11 PM

Originally posted by pokerwhiz90

sorry im gonna agree the bulls are the right play
vegas says portland will win and that is the obvious smart play
i think the squares get this one because this game is full of too many intangibles and the bulls have the edge on that
of course portland is playing hot but come on people its the 3rd game of the season - you really cant tell much for either team except they both are very good and can light each other up

The big question here will be how many more offensive rebounds Portland gets as the Bulls have Noah opposed to Portland's Camby.
If Camby has a career night expect a portland win and a under, if Noah wins the battle, than its the Bulls and the over - easy as pie

If it comes down to Noah-Camby then Bulls win hands down end of story. It's a bit more involved than that, though I lean Bulls. I wanna see who the Bulls use on Roy.

hawley · 11-01-10, 04:13 PM

dont let the fact chicago won their last game fool you here

how many points did the pistons score in the last quarter?

bulls are not playing good basketball yet

Michaelmakesit · 11-01-10, 04:49 PM

Originally posted by hawley

dont let the fact chicago won their last game fool you here

how many points did the pistons score in the last quarter?

bulls are not playing good basketball yet

so why are they -1 ????? AND NOT +3 OR +4 IF THERE NOT BETTER???

THIS GAME IS 100% THE SAME AS RAMS AND LIONS GAME IN NFL SUNDAY!

starfire · 11-01-10, 04:52 PM

Blaaaaazers easy! so I'm taking Bullies

hawley · 11-01-10, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by Michaelmakesit

so why are they -1 ????? AND NOT +3 OR +4 IF THERE NOT BETTER???

THIS GAME IS 100% THE SAME AS RAMS AND LIONS GAME IN NFL SUNDAY!

chicago wont be home dogs to often this season buddy

Michaelmakesit · 11-01-10, 10:09 PM

Everyone should have listen

johnnymapalo · 11-01-10, 11:20 PM

You know I was gonna say something about this play but thought nah, forget it. Last year, Portland and Chicago was in this same situation. Portland winning, Chicago losing and Chicago bussed Portland wide open. I had a feeling it would happen again this year. Dejavue

biker1284 · 11-02-10, 12:57 AM

pokerwhiz90 · 11-02-10, 02:15 AM

told ya the bulls would win... you guys need to read my "right play" columns more

Glitch · 11-02-10, 03:17 AM

Originally posted by Michaelmakesit

bulls show up monday and get it done. bulls -1.5 is good to go.

youve been hot lately but for some reason i still have no respect for you. good work.

BernardMadoff · 11-02-10, 03:45 AM

Originally posted by dskibin2

The bulls look like a confused team, even with the comeback win against Detroit. When Rose is out of the game, there is no where to turn for scoring and play making. Deng may have filled this role last season, but he is off to a terrible start. The blazers are playing well and look like they have a better all around team at this point in the season. I like portland

And Deng just happens to put up a career high 40 points.

Michaelmakesit · 11-02-10, 03:46 AM

Originally posted by Glitch

youve been hot lately but for some reason i still have no respect for you. good work.

is it bc im honest with JJ gold ?

or is it bc u r jealous?

Glitch · 11-03-10, 01:13 PM

Originally posted by Michaelmakesit

is it bc im honest with JJ gold ?

or is it bc u r jealous?

nah, i think when people like you win 2 or 3 picks and they're like "you shoulda listened....see? i was right...look at that, right side- I TOLD YOU" it makes people think they're not really right that much.

or because your picture looks like someone that i would likely punch in the face.

but hey, i gave you a few points right before i posted that...im not hatin...

solid, solid logic, and a good eye for traps. still def. gonna take into account what you have to say.

Michaelmakesit · 11-03-10, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by Glitch

nah, i think when people like you win 2 or 3 picks and they're like "you shoulda listened....see? i was right...look at that, right side- I TOLD YOU" it makes people think they're not really right that much.

or because your picture looks like someone that i would likely punch in the face.

but hey, i gave you a few points right before i posted that...im not hatin...

solid, solid logic, and a good eye for traps. still def. gonna take into account what you have to say.

i didnt mean to come off arrogant. thankz